Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company is facing operational pressure due to a weak demand environment, but is actively transforming to respond to market changes [2][6] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 3.074 billion, 173 million, and 119 million yuan respectively, representing year-on-year declines of 16%, 35%, and 49% [2][6] - In Q3 2025, the revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 1.174 billion, 35 million, and 32 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year declines of 20%, 70%, and 70% [2][6] Revenue Analysis - Revenue is significantly impacted by a decline in bulk business, while retail shows relative resilience, and the whole-house solution contributes incremental growth [2][6] - For the first three quarters, retail, bulk, and export revenues declined by 8%, 43%, and increased by 65% respectively, with whole-house solutions showing better growth [2][6] - In Q3, retail, bulk, and export revenues declined by 14%, 38%, and increased by 54% respectively [2][6] Profitability Analysis - The industry demand pressure has led to a decline in profitability, with gross margin decreasing by 2.6 percentage points year-on-year for the first three quarters [2][6] - In Q3, gross margin decreased by 5.6 percentage points, with net profit margins attributable to the parent and excluding non-recurring items declining by 5.0 and 4.6 percentage points respectively [2][6] Store Optimization - The company has reduced the number of dealerships for kitchen cabinets, wardrobes, and wooden doors by 164, 236, and 8 respectively, focusing on enhancing the resilience of existing stores and optimizing the store structure [2][6] Operational Outlook - The company aims to explore potential and control costs, actively transforming to meet changing consumer trends and firmly executing its overseas strategy [2][6] - The company plans to continue developing whole-house solutions and strengthen its capabilities in this area, while also focusing on high-end and light customization markets [2][6] - The company expects net profits attributable to the parent for 2025-2027 to be approximately 270 million, 300 million, and 360 million yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 15, 13, and 11 times [2][6]

Core Viewpoint - Zhigang Home's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 173 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 34.94% [1] - In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 35 million yuan, down 70.09% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - The company faced significant pressure in its bulk business, leading to a decline in overall profitability [1] - The steady growth of the kitchen cabinet business contributed positively, while the wardrobe and wooden door segments are in a rapid development phase [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively expanding its overseas business to mitigate domestic challenges [1] - The implementation of the whole-home strategy is progressing steadily, with expectations for improved gross margins in the wardrobe and wooden door segments due to economies of scale [1] Market Positioning - The company is focusing on stabilizing its bulk channel while seeking new opportunities, particularly in the South China market [1] - The new production base in Qingyuan is expected to contribute significantly to revenue [1] - Ongoing efforts to deepen market penetration and promote integrated store formats are being pursued [1] Investment Rating - The company maintains a "Buy" rating based on its strategic initiatives and market positioning [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to temporarily adjust the use of idle space in its fundraising project by leasing out part of the unused factory area to enhance resource allocation efficiency and overall asset yield, while ensuring that current order demands are met [2][6][7]. Summary by Sections Fundraising Project Adjustment - The company intends to lease out up to 26,000 square meters of idle factory space, which accounts for no more than 7% of the total building area of the fundraising project, for a period not exceeding 12 months [2][6]. - This decision has been approved by the company's board and supervisory committee and will be submitted for shareholder approval [2][8]. Fundraising Background - The company raised a total of RMB 200,000 million through the issuance of 20 million convertible bonds, with a net amount of RMB 199,500 million after deducting underwriting fees [2][4]. - The funds are primarily allocated to the "Oppein Home Intelligent Manufacturing (Wuhan) Project," which aims to establish a comprehensive production base for various home products [4][5]. Project Implementation Status - As of June 30, 2025, the project has utilized RMB 168,716.85 million, representing 84.57% of the total funds, leaving a balance of RMB 36,412.45 million for future equipment purchases [5]. - The project completion date has been extended to December 31, 2026, due to the gradual ramp-up of production capacity [5]. Impact of the Adjustment - The temporary adjustment is aimed at improving the efficiency of space utilization and enhancing overall operational effectiveness without adversely affecting the company's normal operations [7][10]. - The company emphasizes that this decision will not harm the interests of the company or its shareholders [7][10]. Approval Process - The board meeting on September 26, 2025, approved the proposal with unanimous support, indicating a careful decision based on current operational conditions [8][14]. - The supervisory committee also approved the proposal, confirming compliance with relevant regulations and that it would not negatively impact the fundraising project's implementation [9][45].

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to temporarily adjust the use of idle space in the "Oppein Home Intelligent Manufacturing (Wuhan) Project" to enhance resource allocation efficiency and overall asset yield while meeting current order demands [1][3]. Fundraising and Project Situation - The company has issued 20 million convertible bonds with a total fundraising amount of 2 billion yuan, netting 1.995 billion yuan after deducting underwriting fees [2] - The total investment for the "Oppein Home Intelligent Manufacturing (Wuhan) Project" is 2.5 billion yuan, with 1.995 billion yuan allocated from the net fundraising amount to build a smart manufacturing base in Wuhan [2] - As of June 30, 2025, 1.687 billion yuan has been invested, representing 84.57% of the funding progress, leaving a balance of 364 million yuan [2] Idle Space Leasing Plan - Due to changes in the industry market environment, the project’s operational readiness has been delayed until December 31, 2026, resulting in temporary idle space [3] - The company plans to lease up to 26,000 square meters of idle space, which is no more than 7% of the total building area of the fundraising project, for a period not exceeding 12 months [3] Impact on the Company and Approval Process - The adjustment aims to improve resource allocation efficiency and overall asset yield without significantly impacting normal operations, thereby enhancing operational efficiency [4] - The adjustment has been approved by the company's board and supervisory board and will be submitted for shareholder approval [4]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Report's Core View - Macro factors include China's September LPR remaining unchanged, potential bank deposit - rate cuts in Q4, and various overseas trade policies such as US tariff hikes and South Korea's anti - dumping duties. Supply has been rising since mid - May, inventory has increased significantly, and costs and demand have changed. Technically, the manganese silicon main contract's weekly K - line is bearish. The market is expected to be weak after the holiday, and it is recommended to reduce or empty positions [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Week - ly Key Points Summary - **Macro**: China's September LPR: 5 - year above at 3.5%, 1 - year at 3%. Guangdong prepared for Typhoon "Hua Jiasha". More banks may cut deposit rates in Q4. Overseas, the US will impose high tariffs on certain products from October 1, and South Korea imposed anti - dumping duties on steel products [6]. - **Supply and Demand**: Production has been rising since mid - May, inventory increased significantly. Imported manganese ore port inventory decreased by 25.3 tons, and hot metal production returned to previous levels. Inner Mongolia's spot profit is - 80 yuan/ton, and Ningxia's is - 190 yuan/ton. HeSteel Group's September silicon - manganese price is 6000 yuan/ton, down 200 yuan/ton [6]. - **Technical**: The manganese silicon main contract's weekly K - line is below the 60 - day moving average, indicating a bearish trend [6]. - **Strategy**: Before the holiday, funds reduced positions, market sentiment declined, and the sector was weak. After the holiday, prices are expected to be weak. It is recommended to reduce or empty positions [6]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Market - **Futures Market**: As of September 26, the silicon - manganese futures contract's open interest decreased by 50,300 lots to 501,000 lots, and the 5 - 1 contract spread increased by 8 points to 46. Manganese silicon warehouse receipts decreased by 4,563 to 56,113, and the manganese silicon - ferrosilicon January contract spread decreased by 8 points to 220 [12][16]. - **Spot Market**: As of September 26, Inner Mongolia's silicon - manganese spot price was 5,700 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton, and the basis was - 138 yuan/ton, up 56 points [23]. 3.3 Industry Chain - **Industry**: Manganese silicon inventory increased rapidly, and production declined from its peak. The national 187 - enterprise sample's capacity utilization was 44.18%, down 1.50%. Daily production was 29,490 tons, down 335 tons. Five major steel products' silicon - manganese weekly demand was 122,484 tons, up 0.87%, and national production was 206,430 tons, down 1.12% [25]. - **Inventory**: As of September 25, the national 63 - enterprise sample's inventory was 233,800 tons, up 34,900 tons. Inner Mongolia decreased by 1,500 tons, Ningxia increased by 30,600 tons, etc. [30]. - **Upstream**: As of September 26, Tianjin Port's South32 South African semi - carbonate lump was 34.3 yuan/ton - degree, down 0.2. Ningxia and Inner Mongolia's electricity prices were flat. Imported manganese ore port inventory decreased by 25.3 tons to 427.2 tons. South African manganese ore arrivals decreased by 25%, while Australian, Gabonese, and Ghanaian arrivals increased [34][40]. - **Profit**: On September 26, the northern region's spot production cost was 5,830 yuan/ton, up 20, and the profit was - 140 yuan/ton, down 50. The southern region's cost was 6,230 yuan/ton, up 20, and the profit was - 530 yuan/ton, down 40 [44]. - **Downstream**: Daily hot metal production was 2.4236 million tons, up 13,400 tons week - on - week and 175,000 tons year - on - year. HeSteel Group's September silicon - manganese price was 6,000 yuan/ton, down 200 yuan/ton [48].

Group 1 - Wayfair (W.US) pre-market drop of over 5.2%, trading at $80.5 [1] - RH (RH.US) pre-market drop of 4.4%, trading at $202 [1] - Announcement of new tariffs by President Trump effective October 1 [1] Group 2 - 50% tariff on all cabinets, bathroom vanities, and related products [1] - 30% tariff on upholstered furniture [1]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government, under President Trump, is implementing new tariffs on heavy trucks and furniture to protect domestic manufacturers from foreign competition, citing national security concerns [1][4]. Group 1: Tariff Details - Starting from October 1, a 25% tariff will be imposed on heavy trucks manufactured overseas [1][3]. - Additionally, a 50% tariff will be applied to cabinets and sinks, while upholstered furniture will face a 30% tariff [1][3]. - The U.S. Department of Commerce initiated an investigation into the import situation of medium and heavy trucks in April, with heavy trucks defined as those weighing over 26,000 pounds (approximately 11.7 tons) [3]. Group 2: Domestic Manufacturing Protection - Trump emphasized that the tariffs aim to protect American manufacturers such as Mack Trucks, Kenworth, and Peterbilt from foreign competition [3]. - The focus on tariffs for furniture products aligns with previous discussions about imposing tariffs on wood products, including furniture made from wood [3]. Group 3: Political Implications - The furniture manufacturing hubs are primarily located in swing states like North Carolina and Michigan, which are critical for electoral votes [3].

Macroeconomic Overview - The U.S. second quarter real GDP annualized final value increased by 3.8%, exceeding the expected 3.3% and the revised value of 3.3% [3] - The final value of real personal consumption expenditure increased by 2.5%, surpassing the expected 1.7% and the revised value of 1.6% [3] - The second quarter PCE price index annualized final value rose by 2.1%, higher than the expected 2% and the revised value of 2% [3] - The core PCE price index annualized final value increased by 2.6%, above the expected 2.5% and the revised value of 2.5% [3] Industry Insights - U.S. President Trump announced a 50% tariff on imports of cabinets and related products starting October 1, and a 100% tariff on all brand or patented drugs [7] - The tariffs on heavy trucks are expected to have a minimal impact on Chinese manufacturers, while tariffs on home decor products may negatively affect domestic exports [7] - The China Coking Industry Association decided to raise the wet coke price by 50 yuan/ton and dry coke price by 55 yuan/ton, suggesting a continued push against irrational competition in the industry [7] Automotive Sector - The China Passenger Car Association forecasts that total annual sales of automotive manufacturers will reach 40 million units during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with an average annual growth rate of 3% [9] - The growth in the automotive sector is expected to be driven by demand from midwestern and small county markets, as well as the international market [9] - The trend towards larger capacity batteries in range-extended vehicles is anticipated to create a significant new market for high-capacity power batteries, benefiting leading battery manufacturers [11] Consumer Trends - Domestic travel demand is showing strong growth ahead of the National Day holiday, with cross-province travel orders increasing by 58% year-on-year [13] - The inbound tourism market is also active, with a 75% year-on-year increase in Russian traveler bookings due to visa-free policies [13] - The overall high demand for travel during the holiday period is expected to positively impact related industries in the tourism sector [13]

Group 1: Tariff Announcements - The U.S. will impose high tariffs on various imported products starting October 1, including 50% on cabinets and vanities, 30% on furniture, 25% on heavy trucks, and 100% on patented and branded drugs [1][2] - The tariffs are aimed at addressing perceived unfair competition from foreign manufacturers and restoring U.S. manufacturing strength [1][3] Group 2: Impact on Furniture Prices - Furniture prices have significantly increased due to the tariffs, with a reported 4.7% rise in August 2024 compared to the previous month, and a 9.5% increase over the past 12 months [1] - Prior to the tariffs, furniture prices had been declining for nearly two and a half years [1] Group 3: Heavy Truck Manufacturing - The 25% tariff on heavy trucks is intended to create a fair competitive environment for U.S. truck manufacturers [2] - The tariffs on steel, aluminum, and copper have raised costs for U.S. truck manufacturers, potentially making domestically produced trucks more expensive than foreign ones [2] Group 4: Market Reactions - Following the tariff announcements, stocks of furniture and home goods companies, including Wayfair, RH, and Williams-Sonoma, fell sharply in after-hours trading [1]

Trade Policy - The US will impose a 50% tariff on imports of all kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanities, and related products starting October 1 [1]