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DUALITYBIO(9606.HK):EMERGING AS A GLOBAL LEADER IN ADC INNOVATION WITH NEXT-GEN PLATFORMS AND STRATEGIC COLLABORATIONS
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-07 09:53
Core Insights - DualityBio has a strong pipeline of antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) candidates, showcasing its innovation capabilities in the ADC space [1][2] - The company has established multiple strategic partnerships with global biopharmaceutical firms, enhancing its development efforts and validating its platform [3] - Revenue projections indicate significant growth, with expectations of reaching RMB2.0 billion by FY25E, primarily from licensing and collaborations [4] Group 1: ADC Product Pipeline - DB-1303/BNT323 (HER2 ADC) is expected to file for FDA accelerated approval by 2025 for HER2-expressing endometrial cancer [1] - DB-1311/BNT324 (B7-H3 ADC) shows promising early results with a 70.4% response rate in 3L+ SCLC patients [1][2] - DB-1310 (HER3 ADC) has demonstrated a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 8.3 months in heavily pre-treated 4L+ EGFR-TKI resistant NSCLC [2] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - DualityBio has formed partnerships with major companies like BioNTech, BeiGene, and GSK, resulting in a total deal value exceeding US$6.0 billion [3] - The partnerships focus on various ADC programs, including B7-H3, HER2, and TROP2 ADCs, which enhances the company's market position [3] - The replicable partnership model is seen as a sustainable path for future innovation and growth in the ADC sector [3] Group 3: Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to reach RMB2.0 billion in FY25E, with expectations of product sales revenue starting in 2027E [4] - The target price for DualityBio is set at HK$270.34 based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation [4]
2025年ASCO中国之声:映恩生物公布两项ADC药物最新试验结果 首次评估时肿瘤缩小
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-05 11:32
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the preliminary results of clinical trials for DB-1310 and DB-1311 by the Chinese ADC company, InnoCare Pharma, presented at the 2025 ASCO annual meeting, highlighting the potential of these drugs in treating advanced solid tumors and castration-resistant prostate cancer. Group 1: Clinical Trial Results - DB-1310, an HER3 ADC drug, is currently in Phase I/IIa clinical trials, focusing on safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and preliminary anti-tumor activity in patients with advanced/metastatic solid tumors [2] - Among 123 evaluable patients, the preliminary objective response rate (ORR) was 31%, with a disease control rate (DCR) of 84%, indicating that nearly one-third of patients showed tumor shrinkage upon first evaluation [2] - In the subgroup of patients with EGFR mutation non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), the ORR reached 44%, and the DCR was 91%, with a median progression-free survival of 7 months and a median overall survival of 18.9 months [3] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - In the ADC field, Chinese companies are leading, with 11 HER3 ADC drugs in clinical stages globally, 8 of which are from domestic firms, including InnoCare Pharma [4] - The Japanese company Daiichi Sankyo reported Phase III trial results for its HER3 ADC, Patritumab deruxtecan, showing a median progression-free survival of 5.8 months and an ORR of 35.2% [4] - The withdrawal of the BLA for Patritumab deruxtecan by Merck and Daiichi Sankyo may impact the competitive landscape for similar drugs being developed by InnoCare Pharma [5][6] Group 3: Future Directions - The company is optimistic about the therapeutic potential of HER3 as a target across various cancers, including breast cancer, melanoma, ovarian cancer, and pancreatic cancer, which are associated with poor prognosis and resistance to existing therapies [6] - DB-1310's molecular design differs significantly from that of Daiichi Sankyo's drug, allowing it to block HER2 and HER3 dimerization and inhibit NRG binding to HER3, suggesting a unique mechanism of action [6] - The company plans to release more data on DB-1310's efficacy in EGFR wild-type lung cancer and breast cancer in the future [6]
映恩生物20250603
2025-06-04 01:50
Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - The conference call discusses **Ying En Bio** and its clinical developments in the field of oncology, particularly focusing on **DB-1,311 (B7-H3 ADC)** for treating **castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC)** [2][5][14]. Key Points and Arguments DB-1,311 (B7-H3 ADC) Efficacy and Safety - **DB-1,311** shows significant anti-cancer activity in heavily pre-treated CRPC patients, including those who have undergone nuclear medicine treatment and those who have not received taxane therapy [2][4]. - The **FURTHER study** included 73 advanced or metastatic CRPC patients, demonstrating an overall objective response rate (ORR) of **31%** and a disease control rate (DCR) exceeding **90%** [2][8]. - The ORR for the 6 mg and 9 mg dose groups was **42%** and **43%**, respectively, indicating substantial and durable anti-tumor activity [8][10]. - Radiographic progression-free survival (PFS) data showed that only **20.6%** of patients experienced confirmed disease progression, with a **6-month RPFS rate of 67%** and a **9-month RPFS rate of 58%** [10]. Patient Demographics and Treatment Background - The 73 patients in the FURTHER study were from the US (44%), Australia (29%), and East Asia (27%), with a median treatment duration of **4.8 months** [7]. - These patients had undergone multiple lines of prior treatment, including hormone therapy, docetaxel, cabazitaxel, nuclear medicine, platinum-based chemotherapy, immunotherapy, and PARP inhibitors, indicating a poor prognosis and typically low response to new drugs [7][11]. Safety Profile - Among the 73 patients, the incidence of treatment-related grade 3 or higher adverse events was **42.5%**, with the 6 mg dose group showing a lower rate of **28.9%** compared to the 9 mg group at **60%** [13]. - The overall permanent discontinuation rate was low at **6.5%**, with gastrointestinal and hematological toxicities primarily at grade 1 or 2 [13]. Future Development and Research Directions - DB-1,311 has received **FDA Fast Track designation**, and further studies are ongoing to optimize dosing and evaluate its efficacy in various patient cohorts [5][6]. - The company is actively recruiting patients for ongoing studies, including those who have undergone nuclear medicine treatment and taxane-naive patients [6][14]. HER3 ADC Developments - The conference also highlighted the **DB1,310 project**, a novel ADC targeting HER3, which has shown promising results in heavily pre-treated advanced solid tumor patients, with an ORR of **31%** and a DCR of **84%** [15][16]. - The project is currently in clinical trials in the US and China, with a focus on optimizing dosing and evaluating safety [18][20]. Additional Important Insights - The waterfall plot analysis indicated that nearly all patients experienced some degree of tumor shrinkage, with many achieving partial response (PR) [9][27]. - The company is considering various strategies for maximizing drug value, including starting from later lines of treatment and gradually moving to earlier lines [32]. - The collaboration with **Biotech** for the development of DB-1,311 and the potential for joint commercialization is under discussion, reflecting the positive data observed so far [35][38]. This summary encapsulates the critical findings and future directions discussed during the conference call, emphasizing the promising developments in oncology therapeutics by Ying En Bio.
Merck(MRK) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-03 00:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has achieved significant growth, reaching over 3.4 million patients treated globally with its oncology medicines, supported by strong commercial execution [56] - Keytruda is approved in 56 indications in the US, 44 in the EU, and 41 in Japan, showcasing its leadership in immuno-oncology [56][59] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The oncology portfolio has yielded 35 phase three trials with statistically significant overall survival and 56 FDA approved indications [7] - The development of subcutaneous pembrolizumab with barahyaluronidase alfa has shown comparability to IV Keytruda, with a median injection time of two minutes [17][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focusing on expanding its presence in earlier stage diseases, particularly in head and neck cancer, where there is a significant unmet medical need [60] - The anticipated peak uptake of subcutaneous pembrolizumab in the US is expected to reach between 30-40% within 18 to 24 months [62] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to diversify its oncology portfolio beyond Keytruda, focusing on additional therapeutic areas such as HIV vaccines, immunology, cardiovascular, and ophthalmology [6] - The strategy includes leveraging the proven track record of Keytruda to sustain leadership in oncology beyond its loss of exclusivity in 2028 [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing development of innovative therapies and the potential for significant impact on cancer care through a diversified pipeline [55] - The company is committed to maximizing patient access and improving outcomes through its robust commercial engine and innovative product offerings [63] Other Important Information - The company has a strong focus on biomarker development, which is crucial for patient selection and optimizing treatment outcomes [36] - There are ongoing phase III studies for various agents, including MK1084 and Sac TMT, which are expected to read out in the near future [53][64] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the company's perspective on the evolving market for PD-1, PD-L1, and VEGF bispecifics? - Management highlighted the consistent improvements in progression-free survival across multiple indications and expressed optimism about the ongoing trials in China, with plans to expand to the US [75][78] Question: How does the company view the market opportunity for head and neck cancer treatments? - Management clarified that patients receiving preoperative Keytruda did not lose the opportunity for surgery, and emphasized the safety and efficacy of the treatment [79]
ZAI LAB(ZLAB) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-02 19:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a confirmed overall response rate (ORR) of 68% and a disease control rate of 93% across all dose levels in the ongoing clinical trial for ZL1310 [12][21] - The median follow-up for the efficacy evaluable patients was 3.4 months, with some patients remaining in response for over 9 months [22][43] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ZL1310, the investigational DLL3 targeted antibody-drug conjugate, demonstrated promising clinical activity in patients with relapsed or refractory extensive stage small cell lung cancer [6][19] - The safety profile of ZL1310 was reported as manageable, with only 16% of patients in the low-dose group requiring dose interruptions [10][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Small cell lung cancer accounts for approximately 15% of all lung cancers, affecting around 372,000 patients worldwide, with a poor prognosis and a median overall survival of about 13 months [6][19] - The estimated global prevalence of DLL3 expressing neuroendocrine carcinomas is roughly 350,000 to 400,000 patients, indicating a significant market opportunity for ZL1310 [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to initiate a registrational study in second-line small cell lung cancer later this year, with overall survival as the primary endpoint [22][23] - There is a strategy to expand ZL1310 into first-line small cell lung cancer and other DLL3 expressing solid tumors, aiming to reduce treatment burden for patients [25][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the potential for accelerated approval based on the promising data and ongoing discussions with the FDA [56][57] - The company is optimistic about the efficacy of ZL1310 in the competitive landscape, particularly in comparison to existing therapies [48][49] Other Important Information - The company is exploring combination therapies with ZL1310, including carboplatin and atezolizumab, to enhance treatment efficacy [38][39] - The company has received fast track designation from the FDA, which may facilitate the development process [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you comment on the therapeutic window and confidence in the selected dose for pivotal studies? - Management indicated that the 1.6 mg/kg dose shows a good balance of efficacy and safety, with a slight attrition in response at higher doses [29][30] Question: What is the dosing strategy and safety consideration for the combination trial? - The company is methodically exploring combinations with existing chemotherapy regimens and is confident in the competitive activity of ZL1310 [37][38] Question: How does the durability of ZL1310 compare to competitors in refractory small cell lung cancer? - Management noted that the durability of response is clinically meaningful, with a median follow-up of 6.9 months for the most mature data set [42][43] Question: What gives confidence in potential accelerated approval for ZL1310? - Ongoing discussions with the FDA suggest that accelerated approval is a viable option, contingent on the results of the randomized trial [56][57] Question: What are the remaining items to align with the FDA before initiating the pivotal study? - The main focus is to finalize the dosing strategy and ensure alignment on study design with the FDA [65][66]
AbbVie Secures FDA Nod for New ADC Drug Emrelis in Lung Cancer
ZACKS· 2025-05-15 13:46
Core Insights - AbbVie has received FDA accelerated approval for its antibody-drug conjugate, telisotuzumab vedotin (Emrelis), for treating certain patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) [1][2] - Emrelis is the first FDA-approved therapy for adult patients with locally advanced or metastatic, non-squamous NSCLC with high c-Met protein overexpression who have received prior systemic therapy [2] - The approval is based on data from the phase II LUMINOSITY study, which demonstrated a 35% overall response rate in patients with high c-Met protein overexpression [5] Company Developments - Emrelis marks a significant milestone for AbbVie as it is the company's first internally developed solid tumor drug and its first solid tumor therapy approved for lung cancer [4] - AbbVie has expanded its oncology portfolio to five therapies, including Imbruvica, Venclexta, Epkinly, Elahere, and Emrelis [8] - The company is also developing another c-Met targeting ADC, Temab-A, for metastatic colorectal cancer and gastroesophageal cancer [10] Pipeline and Collaborations - AbbVie is conducting a phase III confirmatory study called TeliMET NSCLC-01 to convert the accelerated approval of Emrelis into a full approval [5] - The company has entered into a collaboration with ADARx Pharmaceuticals to develop small interfering RNA (siRNA) therapeutics across multiple disease areas [11] - AbbVie will make an upfront payment of $335 million to ADARx, with potential milestone payments reaching several billion dollars [13]
ADC Therapeutics(ADCT) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-14 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues for Q1 2025 were $23 million, including net product revenues of $17.4 million, which is consistent with Q1 2024 and an increase from $16.4 million in Q4 2024 [5][16] - Net loss for Q1 2025 was $38.6 million, an improvement from a net loss of $46.6 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to higher license revenues and lower expenses [17] - Cash and cash equivalents as of March 31, 2025, were $194.7 million, down from $250.9 million at December 31, 2024, mainly due to net loss from operations and timing of cash receipts [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Milestone and royalty payments contributed an additional $5.6 million to total revenue for the quarter [6] - The LOTUS-seven study showed a 95.5% overall response rate and a 90.9% complete response rate in 22 efficacy evaluable patients [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focusing on maintaining its position as a treatment option for third-line plus DLBCL patients, with ongoing trials showing promising data [5][9] - The competitive landscape is highlighted by the potential of ZYNLATA plus glufitamab to be a best-in-class combination in a highly competitive market [6][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand the use of ZYNLATA into earlier lines of therapy in DLBCL and indolent lymphomas, believing in the potential for significant patient reach and commercial opportunity [9][10] - Regulatory discussions are planned based on data from 100 patients, aligning with recent examples of bispecific combination therapies [10][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the cash runway extending into the second half of 2026, positioning the company to deliver on upcoming catalysts [20] - The management is encouraged by the promising data from ongoing trials and believes in multiple pathways to achieve peak revenue goals [22] Other Important Information - The LOTUS-five trial is on track to reach the pre-specified number of progression-free survival events by the end of 2025, with top-line data expected thereafter [7][19] - The company is engaged in discussions for potential research collaborations to advance its preclinical assets [8][19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Follow-up time for patients and CR conversion times - Management indicated that follow-up assessments are ongoing, with encouraging complete response rates serving as strong biomarkers for durability [24][27] Question: Competitive strategy and regulatory engagement - Management plans to engage with regulatory authorities after gathering data from approximately 100 patients, assessing the best path forward [29][47] Question: Expected patient numbers at upcoming conferences - Management confirmed that 40 patients have been enrolled, with additional patients expected to be presented at the EHA conference [33][34] Question: LOTUS-five trial data expectations - Management reiterated that the timing for top-line data from the LOTUS-five trial could be late 2025 or early 2026, depending on the number of PFS events [42][43] Question: Discontinuation of the ADCT-602 program - Management clarified that the discontinuation of the ADCT-602 program has minimal financial impact, allowing focus on other research programs [49][50]
FibroGen(FGEN) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-12 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, total revenue was $2.7 million, a significant decrease from $25.4 million in Q1 2024 [27] - Total operating costs and expenses for Q1 2025 were $17.7 million, down 76% year-over-year from $74.5 million in Q1 2024 [28] - The net loss from continuing operations for Q1 2025 was $16.8 million, or $0.16 per share, compared to a net loss of $49 million, or $0.49 per share, in Q1 2024 [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focused on advancing FG3246 and FG3180 in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) [6] - Roxadustat is being developed for anemia associated with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS), with a Type C meeting request filed with the FDA [8][23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - There are approximately 290,000 men diagnosed with prostate cancer annually in the U.S., with 65,000 being drug-treatable patients in the mCRPC stage [9] - The total addressable market for FG3246 in mCRPC is estimated to exceed $5 billion in annual sales [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is divesting FibroGen China to AstraZeneca, with total consideration expected to increase to approximately $185 million, extending the cash runway into the second half of 2027 [5][26] - The strategic focus is on U.S. pipeline opportunities, particularly FG3246 and FG3180, and advancing clinical trials [4][6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the refined focus and multiple near-term catalysts across clinical programs to create shareholder value [9] - The company anticipates important feedback from the FDA regarding roxadustat and plans to initiate the Phase II monotherapy study for FG3246 and FG3180 in mCRPC [31] Other Important Information - The company recorded cash flow positive results in Q1 2025, generating $7.3 million in cash flow on a consolidated basis [29] - The IND for FG3180 was cleared, allowing it to be used alongside FG3246 in upcoming trials [7][12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding clinical development on FG3246 and market dynamics after Pluvicto approval - Management confirmed that Pluvicto experienced patients will be allowed in the Phase II monotherapy trial to mitigate enrollment challenges [38][39] Question: Comments on recent FDA communications regarding roxadustat - Management reported favorable interactions with the FDA, including timely responses to IND filings and Type C meeting requests [40][42] Question: Feasibility studies in colorectal cancer due to cash infusion from AstraZeneca - Management indicated that while colorectal cancer is a potential opportunity, the immediate focus is on starting the Phase II monotherapy trial [44][45]
AbbVie:突破 Humira 专利壁垒,即将迎来蓬勃发展
美股研究社· 2025-04-10 11:29
Core Viewpoint - AbbVie has shown resilience in its financial performance despite facing challenges from the loss of exclusivity of its blockbuster drug Humira, with strategic acquisitions and strong growth in other product lines [1][17]. Group 1: Financial Performance - AbbVie’s stock price increased by 16% since November 2023, outperforming the S&P 500 index which returned 9.41% [1]. - Humira's revenue peaked at $21 billion in 2022 but is projected to decline by approximately 38% in 2024 to $8.993 billion due to the entry of biosimilars [2]. - The total revenue for AbbVie in Q4 was $15.1 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 6.1% [6]. Group 2: Product Performance - AbbVie’s immunology drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, have compensated for Humira's losses, with Skyrizi's revenue expected to reach $11.718 billion in 2024, a 50.9% increase, and Rinvoq's revenue projected at $5.971 billion, a 50.5% increase [4]. - The oncology segment, represented by Imbruvica, is facing competition, leading to a revenue decline of 6.9% to $3.347 billion in 2024, but Venclexta and Elahere are showing strong growth [5]. - AbbVie’s neuroscience efforts are yielding a 16.6% growth, driven by Botox Therapeutic and Vraylar [6]. Group 3: Strategic Acquisitions - AbbVie acquired ImmunoGen for $10 billion, enhancing its oncology portfolio with the ADC drug Elahere, approved for platinum-resistant ovarian cancer [1]. - The company also invested $8.7 billion in Cerevel Therapeutics, focusing on neuroscience products [1]. Group 4: Financial Guidance and Valuation - AbbVie adjusted its 2025 earnings guidance, projecting adjusted diluted EPS between $11.99 and $12.19, with a negative impact from acquired IPR&D expenses [7]. - The company maintains a stable operating cash flow between $18 billion and $22 billion annually, providing liquidity and leverage [8][9]. - A discounted cash flow analysis suggests AbbVie is undervalued by approximately 10% based on historical free cash flow margins [11]. Group 5: Market Outlook - AbbVie forecasts that total revenue from Rinvoq and Skyrizi will exceed $31 billion by 2027, indicating a compound annual growth rate of about 21% [4]. - The company’s strong cash generation capabilities and strategic positioning in immunology and oncology suggest a positive outlook despite challenges [17].
ADC Therapeutics(ADCT) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-27 15:17
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended 2024 with $251 million in cash and cash equivalents, expected to fund operations into the second half of 2026 [24] - ZYNLONTA net product revenues in Q4 2024 were $16.4 million, slightly down from $16.6 million in Q4 2023, while full-year revenues were $69.3 million compared to $69.1 million in 2023 [25] - The net loss for Q4 2024 was $30.7 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $85 million in Q4 2023, and the full-year net loss was $157.8 million compared to $240.1 million in 2023 [26][27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ZYNLONTA achieved commercial brand profitability and maintained its position in the competitive third-line-plus DLBCL market [9] - The company reported a 13% year-over-year reduction in operating expenses on a non-GAAP basis, with a 15% decrease in Q4 due to operational efficiencies [25][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focusing on expanding ZYNLONTA's use in earlier lines of DLBCL therapy, with potential peak revenues estimated between $600 million to $1 billion in the US [19][32] - The LOTIS-5 trial aims to expand ZYNLONTA's market opportunity in the second-line setting, potentially leading to peak sales of $200 million to $300 million [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is pursuing a strategy to expand ZYNLONTA's usage beyond current indications, focusing on commercialization efforts in the US and research collaborations for early-stage solid tumor pipelines [28][29] - The management is confident in the potential of ZYNLONTA to transform lymphoma treatment paradigms, particularly in indolent lymphomas, with an estimated peak revenue opportunity of $100 million to $200 million [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's path forward, highlighting the importance of upcoming data readouts in 2025 to support ZYNLONTA's expansion strategy [31] - The competitive landscape is expected to evolve with the introduction of new therapies, but management believes the impact will be limited due to the established position of ZYNLONTA [76] Other Important Information - The company achieved a double-digit reduction in operating expenses for the second consecutive year, strengthening its balance sheet through equity financing [12][24] - The management plans to engage regulatory authorities and pursue compendia strategies as data from ongoing trials become available [50] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on LOTIS-7 - The company has not disclosed the specific forum or timing for sharing LOTIS-7 data but is on track to enroll 40 patients in the second quarter [42] Question: Impact of ADCETRIS Approval - Management believes the approval of ADCETRIS will have limited impact, as physicians have multiple options and may replace older regimens rather than directly compete [44] Question: Regulatory Meetings for LOTIS-7 - Discussions with regulatory authorities are planned once sufficient data is available, likely in the second half of the year [50] Question: Market Opportunity in Indolent Lymphoma - The peak opportunity for indolent lymphomas is estimated to be in the $100 million to $200 million range based on compelling data presented [51] Question: LOTIS-5 and LOTIS-7 Strategy - Both LOTIS-5 and LOTIS-7 are seen as complementary approaches to address different patient needs in the DLBCL market [56] Question: Importance of Upcoming Presentations - Upcoming presentations at AACR are expected to provide differentiating data on the company's ADC platform compared to competitors [60] Question: Compendia Listing and Market Share - Recent additions to NCCN guidelines require approximately 100 patients for compendia listing, which is seen as a benchmark for gaining market share [81] Question: Peak Penetration Timeline - Peak penetration for ZYNLONTA is typically achieved within the first two years post-approval, based on historical trends in the DLBCL setting [86]