极端天气
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“安全冗余”不多余(纵横)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-13 21:50
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of "safety redundancy" in mitigating risks associated with extreme weather events, which have been increasingly recognized as a global risk [1][2][3] - It highlights that the construction of "safety redundancy" requires significant upfront investment, but the benefits are often realized in the form of "accidents that did not happen," making it easy to overlook [1][2] - The article points out that a lack of "safety redundancy" can lead to severe consequences, as it serves as a backup when primary defenses fail [1][2] Group 2 - The Central Urban Work Conference has called for the construction of resilient cities, emphasizing the need to focus on "safety redundancy" to enhance urban resilience [2][3] - It suggests that improving urban resilience requires attention to detail, process control, and proactive risk assessment, rather than just addressing current needs [2] - The article advocates for public awareness and education to enhance individual protective capabilities, which is also considered a necessary form of "redundancy" [2]
北京将遭强降雨、雷电、大风三连击 今日晚高峰请注意防范
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-08-12 07:27
Core Points - Heavy rainfall occurred in western and northern Beijing, with a cumulative rainfall of 23.8 millimeters recorded in Baicaopan from 11 AM to 2 PM on August 12 [1] - A blue alert for strong winds, heavy rain, and thunderstorms is currently in effect, with expectations of moderate to heavy rain in Beijing, localized heavy downpours, and gusts reaching 7 to 8 levels, with some mountainous areas exceeding level 10 [3] - The rainfall is expected to significantly impact traffic during the evening peak today and the morning peak tomorrow, prompting the public to plan their travel accordingly and carry rain gear while avoiding low-lying areas prone to flooding [5]
西班牙热浪持续 14地发布高温预警
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-08-08 10:23
Core Points - Spain is experiencing an extreme heatwave that began in early August and is expected to last until at least August 13, marking a duration of 11 consecutive days, one of the longest in recent years [1] - On August 7, Toledo recorded the highest temperature in Spain at 42.4 degrees Celsius [1] - Most regions in Spain are forecasted to maintain high temperatures, with many areas expected to exceed 34 to 36 degrees Celsius, and some regions surpassing 40 degrees Celsius [1] - A total of 14 autonomous communities in Spain have issued heat warnings, with several regions under orange and yellow alert levels [1] - Experts warn that high temperatures increase health risks such as heatstroke and may lead to secondary disasters like wildfires and droughts [1]
“平民水果”价格飙升!极端天气会影响菜篮子吗?
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-08 03:37
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in lemon prices in China, nearly doubling due to extreme weather conditions, has raised concerns about the stability of agricultural product prices amid climate challenges [1][2]. Price Trends - As of August 7, 2025, the average wholesale price of lemons in China reached 14.55 yuan per kilogram, up from 7.96 yuan per kilogram a year earlier, indicating a nearly 83% increase [1]. - Watermelon prices have also increased by approximately 20% due to reduced production from extreme heat and flooding in key growing regions [5]. Production Impact - Over 70% of China's lemons are produced in Sichuan's Anyue, which experienced severe high temperatures and drought last year, leading to a significant drop in lemon yield [2]. - The quality of lemons has declined due to heat stress, resulting in lower rates of premium fruit [2]. Supply Chain Resilience - The overall prices of vegetables and grains have remained stable due to the dispersed production areas and the resilience of the supply chain, allowing for cross-regional adjustments [3]. - The short growth cycle of vegetables enables quicker recovery from price spikes compared to lemons, which have a longer growth cycle [3]. Consumer Demand Factors - The demand for lemons in tea and seasoning markets is inelastic, making them less substitutable compared to other vegetables, which can be easily replaced [4]. - Export factors may also contribute to the rising lemon prices, as domestic supply has not increased while international production has decreased [4]. Future Price Volatility - Other agricultural products, such as leafy vegetables and citrus fruits, may experience price fluctuations due to ongoing extreme weather conditions [5][6]. - The potential for price increases in crops like pepper and citrus fruits is noted, particularly if dry conditions persist into the fall [5]. Recommendations for Supply Stability - Experts suggest optimizing production area layouts, expanding cold chain logistics, and implementing price insurance to enhance supply chain resilience [7][8]. - The establishment of backup production areas and a national agricultural supply-demand platform is recommended to monitor prices and inventory effectively [8]. - Continuous investment in high-standard farmland and disaster insurance systems is crucial for protecting farmers' interests and ensuring food security [8].
热浪干旱致伊朗水电供应危机加剧 大量政府部门暂停办公
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-07 08:18
Core Viewpoint - The Iranian government has ordered the suspension of government offices and public institutions in 16 out of 31 provinces to reduce electricity consumption amid extreme heat waves, with temperatures expected to reach 50°C in some areas [1] Group 1: Weather Impact - The extreme weather is predicted to last for at least five days across most of the country [1] - Tehran is experiencing its lowest rainfall in 60 years, severely affecting the city's water resources [1] Group 2: Government Warnings - Iranian President Pezeshkian has warned against excessive water consumption, indicating that Tehran may face severe water shortages in September if consumption is not controlled [1] - Pezeshkian emphasized the urgency of water conservation, stating that without cooperation, reservoirs may run dry by September or October [1]
气象学者:我们已经身处危机时代,而不是在讨论一个遥远的未来
Hu Xiu· 2025-08-06 23:53
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that extreme weather events are becoming a norm due to climate change, with significant impacts on agriculture, urban operations, and daily life [3][4][6] - The average temperature in Henan province reached 30.5°C in July, which is 3.2°C higher than the historical average, marking the hottest period in 64 years [1][2] - The article highlights the urgent need for scientific understanding and effective responses to climate change challenges, as the current preparations are insufficient [11][12] Group 2 - The frequency of extreme weather events has increased significantly, with a notable rise in climate-related disasters over the past two decades [4][6] - The article discusses the dual impact of global warming, leading to more severe droughts and floods, which poses a threat to major grain-producing areas in China [3][8][16] - The agricultural sector is facing challenges such as increased irrigation costs and crop growth disruptions due to extreme temperatures [17][19] Group 3 - The article suggests that the transition to green energy is essential, requiring five times the current efforts to mitigate future disaster losses [12][13] - It points out that the agricultural infrastructure needs significant upgrades to adapt to extreme weather, including improved irrigation and drainage systems [20] - The potential for "weather-related price hikes" in agricultural products is highlighted, with extreme weather already causing fluctuations in global commodity prices [21][22] Group 4 - The article indicates that extreme weather will increasingly affect various industries, necessitating new financial tools for agricultural insurance [23] - It mentions that sectors like renewable energy and urban planning must adapt to the challenges posed by extreme weather events [24][25] - The need for a long-term strategy to combat climate change is emphasized, with a focus on adhering to national carbon neutrality goals [26]
气象学者魏科:我们已经身处危机时代,而不是在讨论一个遥远的未来
经济观察报· 2025-08-06 13:47
Core Viewpoint - Climate extremization has become a norm, with global warming leading to intensified rainfall and drought conditions in specific regions, resulting in sudden shifts between drought and flooding [1][3][8]. Group 1: Extreme Weather Events - Recent years have seen a significant increase in extreme weather events globally, with high temperatures, floods, and storms becoming more frequent and intense [5][6]. - In July, the average temperature in Henan Province reached 30.5°C, 3.2°C higher than the historical average, marking the hottest period in 64 years [2]. - Northern China experienced above-average rainfall, with Inner Mongolia recording the highest precipitation for this period since 1961 [2][3]. Group 2: Impact on Agriculture - Extreme weather is adversely affecting major grain-producing areas in China, with high temperatures and heavy rainfall impacting crop growth and increasing irrigation costs [3][14]. - The growth of winter wheat is particularly vulnerable to insufficient low-temperature periods, which can lead to premature ear formation and reduced yields [15]. - High temperatures can cause corn leaves to curl, affecting photosynthesis and increasing water requirements, thus raising irrigation costs for farmers [15]. Group 3: Future Projections and Preparedness - The ongoing climate crisis requires urgent action, with a need for five times the current effort to effectively address climate challenges [11]. - Transitioning to green renewable energy is essential, despite the associated costs, as it presents significant industrial opportunities while mitigating future disaster losses [11]. - The upcoming weather patterns indicate that northern regions may continue to face flooding, while southern areas will experience heightened drought conditions [12]. Group 4: Economic Implications - The volatility of agricultural prices due to extreme weather events is expected to persist, with "weather-related price hikes" becoming more common [16]. - Developing countries may be disproportionately affected by extreme climate events, leading to potential resource conflicts and social instability [17]. - Industries related to agriculture may need to adapt their insurance models and financial tools to better manage the risks associated with climate change [18]. Group 5: Urban Planning and Infrastructure - The concept of sponge cities is being emphasized, but their capacity to handle extreme rainfall is limited, necessitating additional strategies for flood management [19][20]. - Urban planning must evolve to incorporate designs that can effectively manage high temperatures and heavy rainfall, ensuring resilience against climate impacts [18][20].
气候俗语不灵了,农业生产怎么办?
和讯· 2025-08-05 10:13
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the urgent need to address climate change impacts on agriculture, highlighting the vulnerability of small-scale farmers and the necessity for adaptive strategies to mitigate risks associated with extreme weather events [2][5][16]. Group 1: Climate Change Research and Impact - Initial research on climate change in China focused on glaciers, aiming to visually demonstrate the reality of climate change to the public [2]. - The urgency of climate change discussions has increased significantly since 2021, particularly following severe weather events like the 2021 Henan floods, which affected millions and caused substantial economic losses [2][3]. - Extreme weather events have been frequent in 2023, with significant impacts on urban infrastructure and agriculture, indicating a direct correlation between climate change and daily life [4][6]. Group 2: Agricultural Vulnerability and Adaptation - Agriculture, being highly dependent on natural resources, is among the first sectors to face challenges from climate change, necessitating a focus on smallholder farmers who are often the most vulnerable [4][5]. - Research indicates that small farmers are reluctant to abandon their land despite increasing climate risks, relying on traditional practices and community support to adapt [4][8]. - The study highlights the need for a robust protective framework to enhance the resilience of agricultural stakeholders against climate change [5][10]. Group 3: Policy and Community Support - The article discusses the evolution of policy regarding disaster prevention and climate adaptation, emphasizing the need for improved meteorological services and community support for farmers [11][14]. - Successful examples of community support networks have emerged, where agricultural cooperatives collaborate to share resources and mitigate climate risks [12][13]. - The report suggests that effective climate resilience requires a multi-faceted approach, integrating policy support, technological innovation, and local knowledge [14][18]. Group 4: Future Directions and Recommendations - The article calls for enhanced research on regional climate change impacts, particularly in sensitive agricultural areas, to inform long-term adaptation strategies [10][18]. - It stresses the importance of integrating climate adaptation planning with national strategies to secure funding and reduce adaptation costs for farmers [18][19]. - The urgency of addressing climate change is underscored, with a call for prioritizing climate action to prevent further losses and damages [19].
再现“最热7月”!滚滚热浪会加重今夏日本的大米危机吗?
第一财经· 2025-08-03 11:48
Core Viewpoint - The extreme heat in Japan this summer is exacerbating the ongoing rice crisis, with significant price increases expected due to adverse weather conditions affecting crop yields [3][4][7]. Weather Impact - July 2023 was the hottest month on record in Japan, with an average temperature 2.89 degrees Celsius above normal, and multiple locations recording temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius [4][5]. - The extreme heat has led to increased instances of heat-related illnesses, with a rising number of deaths attributed to heatstroke over recent years [5]. Rice Price Trends - The price of rice in Japan has surged, with a 5-kilogram bag reaching prices between 4268 and 4285 yen (approximately 213 to 214 RMB), more than double the price from the previous year [7]. - Despite a recent decline in average rice prices to 3432 yen (approximately 166.43 RMB) per 5 kilograms, prices remain elevated compared to previous years [8]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Japan's rice demand for the year was 711 million tons, exceeding previous government forecasts by 380,000 tons, while the projected rice production for 2024 is only 679 million tons, indicating a persistent supply-demand imbalance [8]. - The Japanese government has released 360,000 tons of reserve rice to stabilize prices, selling it at half the current market price [7]. Economic Implications - The Bank of Japan has raised its inflation forecast, with core consumer price index (CPI) expected to reach 2.7% by March 2026, driven largely by rising food prices, particularly rice [9]. - The persistent inflationary pressure is prompting the Bank of Japan to reconsider its monetary policy to mitigate the economic impact of rising prices [9].
极端天气正推高全球基本食品价格
news flash· 2025-08-03 06:39
Core Viewpoint - Japan experienced record high temperatures in July, with the highest temperature reaching 41.2 degrees Celsius, indicating a trend of extreme weather impacting food prices and overall inflation globally [1] Weather Impact on Food Prices - Extreme weather conditions are driving up the prices of essential food items globally, with a notable increase in prices due to heatwaves [1] - In 2024, a heatwave in East Asia is projected to cause a 70% year-on-year increase in cabbage prices in South Korea and a 48% increase in Japan [1] Economic Implications - The rise in food prices due to extreme weather is expected to exacerbate overall inflation, posing a variable impact on the global economy [1]