【文/观察者网 齐倩】 亨特·拜登，美国前"第一公子"，曾让前总统拜登"颜面尽失"但又获父亲"特赦"力保。 但美媒发现，就在拜登致仕不到一年后，拜登55岁的"好大儿"就开始搞"背刺"。 当地时间12月24日晚，拜登在社交媒体发布家庭平安夜合照。但"奇怪的"合照站位和构图引起网民注 意：亨特站在中间显眼位置，拜登却站在角落，隐于妻子身后。 另据美媒《纽约邮报》23日报道，亨特本周接受播客节目采访时，竟公开抨击父亲拜登，称拜登政府时 期宽松的移民政策和阿富汗撤军决定都是"灾难性失败"。 《纽约邮报》和福克斯新闻网称，这张照片在社交媒体上广泛传播，网民纷纷评论其中站位和构图。 "我们需要充满活力的移民政策，但我们不希望非法移民来到这里，"在《肖恩·瑞安秀》节目中，这名 声名狼籍的前"第一公子"质疑拜登政府的移民政策，称"非法"移民正耗尽美国资源。 报道援引国会预算办公室估计，在拜登总统任期内，每年约有240万移民进入美国，其中60%通过非法 越境。拜登政府坚持通过国会立法来保障边境安全，特朗普则采取截然不同做法，在其两届任期内一直 依赖行政行动打击"非法移民"。 节目中，亨特还向主持人肖恩·瑞安承认，阿富汗撤军"显 ...

Group 1 - The Trump administration announced a new initiative offering $3,000 bonuses and travel expenses for illegal immigrants who voluntarily leave the U.S. by the end of the year, aimed at accelerating mass deportations and reducing enforcement costs [1] - The $3,000 incentive is three times the previously announced amount of $1,000 in May, indicating a significant increase in the government's efforts to encourage voluntary departures [1] - Since January 2025, approximately 1.9 million undocumented immigrants have voluntarily left the U.S., with tens of thousands using the "CBP Home" app, which was originally created during the Biden administration [1] Group 2 - The plan is presented as a cost-effective alternative to expensive arrest and deportation actions, with an estimated average cost of $17,000 per individual for arrest, detention, and deportation [2] - Despite the increased bonuses, the government claims it can still save taxpayer money, with voluntary departures potentially saving taxpayers up to millions in future welfare costs, although specific calculations were not provided [2] - The number of involuntary arrests and deportations has not yet reached the initial target of 1 million set by the government, with over 335,000 individuals deported since the Trump administration took office [2] Group 3 - During the same period, ICE arrested over 285,000 individuals accused of illegal residency or eligible for deportation, indicating ongoing enforcement actions [3] - The government has tightened legal immigration channels, including a review of all refugee cases settled during the Biden administration and freezing green card applications, with significant negative factors considered during the review process [3] Group 4 - The Trump administration has expanded its travel ban from an initial 19 countries to over 30 countries, reflecting a broader approach to immigration control [4]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：金十数据 美国总统特朗普正准备在2026年利用新资金，实施更加激进的移民打击行动，包括突袭更多的工作场所 ——尽管在明年中期选举前，反对情绪正在积聚。 特朗普此前已向美国主要城市增派大量移民执法人员，他们横扫社区并与当地居民发生冲突。虽然联邦 特工今年对企业进行了一些高调的突袭，但他们基本上避开了农场、工厂和其他在经济上至关重要、但 已知雇佣无合法身份移民的企业。 在共和党控制的国会于7月通过一项巨额支出计划后，移民和海关执法局（ICE）及边境巡逻队将在 2029年9月前获得1700亿美元的额外资金——与其目前约190亿美元的年度预算相比，这是一个巨大的增 幅。 政府官员表示，他们计划雇佣数千名新探员，开设新的拘留中心，在地方监狱抓捕更多移民，并与外部 公司合作追踪无合法身份人员。 尽管在明年中期选举前政治反弹的迹象日益明显，但驱逐计划仍在扩大。 迈阿密因拥有大量移民人口而成为受特朗普打击行动影响最严重的城市之一。上周，该市选出了近三十 年来的首位民主党市长。当选市长表示，这在一定程度上是对特朗普政策的回应。其他地方选举和民调 也 ...

"从统计角度看,赢得中期选举是很困难的事情。"美国总统特朗普在《华尔街日报》13日刊出的专访中 作出上述表态。近期美国多场地方选举结果,也印证了特朗普这种担忧。12月9日,民主党人艾琳.希金斯 以压倒性优势当选佛罗里达州迈阿密市长,该市时隔28年再次迎来民主党籍市长。此前,民主党人在11月 举行的纽约市长选举、新泽西州和弗吉尼亚州州长选举中大获全胜。 主笔王晓莹 政治风向正在发生变化 希金斯敏锐地察觉到迈阿密当地民众对特朗普政府的态度变化。在迈阿密-戴德县,拉丁裔和西班牙裔人 口约占总人口的70%。去年美国总统选举中,特朗普在该县的得票率领先,反映出当地拉丁裔在倒向共和 党。但从这次迈阿密市长选举和近期民调来看,当地拉丁裔对特朗普政府的支持率有所下降。正如佛罗 里达州民主党主席妮基.弗里德所说,这场胜利"显示出摆锤正朝对我们有利的方向摆动"。 民主党注入了"强心剂" 创造历史的迈阿密市长选举并非个例。在上个月举行的弗吉尼亚州长、新泽西州长和纽约市长选举中, 民主党大获全胜并创造多个"第一",显示出民主党的选情已开始触底反弹。 最引人瞩目的是11月4日当选纽约市长的祖赫兰.马姆达尼,这个出生在乌干达一个印度裔家 ...

Economic Policy - Trump's speech focused heavily on economic issues, blaming President Biden for the current economic turmoil and attempting to distance himself from the economic downturn [1] - Despite his claims of repairing the economy, only 33% of respondents supported his economic policies, significantly lower than his overall policy support of 39% [3] - High tariff policies have led to increased prices for imported goods, placing a heavy burden on consumers, raising questions about the sustainability of this situation [3] Immigration Policy - Trump claimed that there were no illegal immigrants entering the U.S. during his presidency and stated that the country was "cleaning up illegal immigration," but polls show that 55% of people oppose his immigration policies [3][5] - His immigration policies have been criticized for favoring wealthy white immigrants while discriminating against people from poorer countries, leading to a humanitarian crisis for non-white asylum seekers [5] Military and Foreign Policy - Trump asserted that he ended eight wars globally, but media scrutiny revealed that his claims were exaggerated [5] - He announced a plan to provide each soldier with $1,776, raising concerns about whether this indicates preparations for potential military actions, particularly regarding Venezuela [5] - Despite support from his base for his hardline policies, 60% of Americans oppose military action against Venezuela, putting pressure on Trump's military strategy [5] Overall Sentiment - Trump's speech reflects a desperate attempt to regain lost authority amid rising tensions in immigrant communities and the looming threat of war, highlighting the need for deeper reforms [7]

2025.12. 18 本文字数：1442，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 程程 封图 | 新华社 从开放吸引到逐年紧缩，加拿大移民政策"大转弯"的影响已经体现在人口数据上。 加拿大总理卡尼此前承诺，到2027年底，要将非永久居民人数控制在全国总人口的5%以下。目 前，非永久居民人口数量为284.7万，约占总人口6.8%，较上季度的7.3%有所下降。 加拿大院校的吸引力下降 上述紧缩措施的确取得了显著效果。IRCC在11月末发布的公告中表示，限制国际学生人口数量已成 为遏制加拿大临时人口增长的有效工具，持学习许可的人数从2024年1月的100多万降至2025年9 月的约72.5万。 加拿大统计局17日发布的第三季度人口初步统计显示，截至10月1日，全国总人口较上一季度减少 超7.6万人，降幅为0.18%，目前加拿大人口略低于4160万人。 数据显示，该季度非永久居民减少17万人，创下1971年有纪录以来的最大降幅。其中，国际学生群 体下降幅度最大，仅持学习许可者和同时持有工作与学习许可者分别减少近7.4万人和6.8万人，仅 持工作许可者减少3.5万人。同期，加拿大新增10万永久移民和1.8万自然人口。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant political shift in the U.S., particularly with the Democratic Party's recent victories, which indicate a decline in Trump's influence and support [1][3][5] - Erin Higgins' victory in the Miami mayoral election represents a broader trend of Democratic successes in traditionally Republican strongholds, suggesting potential challenges for Trump in the upcoming midterm elections [3][5] - Public dissatisfaction with Trump's immigration policies and rising living costs is evident, contributing to his declining approval ratings, which have reached new lows [5][7] Group 2 - The article discusses the implications of Trump's trade policies, particularly the increase in import tariffs, which have led to higher inflation rates and strained relations with the Federal Reserve [5][9] - There is a growing concern among the international community regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, especially if Trump were to appoint a candidate aligned with his views [5][9] - The article suggests that any potential meeting between Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Suga would likely be superficial and unlikely to resolve underlying issues, given the current political landscape [9][11]

Core Viewpoint - The new plan by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) requires visa-exempt travelers to provide extensive personal information, including five years of social media history, which raises concerns about privacy and may lead to dissatisfaction among international travelers [1][3]. Group 1: New Regulations - The CBP's new plan mandates that travelers from visa-exempt countries, including the UK, France, Germany, South Korea, Japan, Israel, and Australia, must submit social media information as a required field in the Electronic System for Travel Authorization (ESTA) [3]. - In addition to social media history, the CBP plans to collect applicants' phone numbers from the past five years, email addresses from the past ten years, IP addresses, and biometric data such as facial features, fingerprints, and iris scans [3][4]. - Under the current system, applicants only need to provide basic contact information and pay a fee of $40, with social media records being optional since 2016 [3]. Group 2: Public Reaction and Implications - President Trump stated that the intention behind the new regulations is to ensure safety and prevent undesirable individuals from entering the U.S. [4]. - The announcement has faced criticism from civil liberties groups, which argue that the measures amount to surveillance of foreign visitors and may deter innocent travelers from visiting the U.S., potentially harming the tourism industry and the country's global reputation [4][5]. - Reports indicate a decline in Australian visitors to the U.S., with a notable 11% drop in November compared to the previous year, reflecting growing discontent with U.S. immigration policies [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions between the United States and Europe, particularly in light of President Trump's criticisms of European governance and security issues, and the responses from European leaders [3][5][9]. Group 1: Trump's Criticism of Europe - President Trump criticized Europe as a "declining" region with "weak" leadership, particularly highlighting issues related to immigration management [3][5]. - Trump's comments included specific criticisms of European countries, such as labeling Sweden as "very unsafe" and questioning the effectiveness of Ukrainian President Zelensky in peace negotiations with Russia [7]. Group 2: European Response - European leaders, including European Council President António Costa, emphasized the need for mutual respect and cooperation between Europe and the U.S., urging Trump to recognize Europe as an ally [3][8]. - German Chancellor Merz rejected Trump's assertions, calling parts of the U.S. national security strategy "unacceptable," while EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas described the U.S. document as a "provocation" [9]. Group 3: Broader Context of U.S.-Europe Relations - The article notes that Trump's criticisms are part of a broader narrative from U.S. officials, including Vice President Vance, who previously stated that Europe's greatest threats are internal [9]. - The ongoing tensions raise questions about the future of U.S.-European alliances, with Trump suggesting that the status of these alliances may depend on specific circumstances [9].

Core Viewpoint - The "Gold Card Immigration Program" proposed by Trump is set to be implemented by December 18, aiming to attract wealthy immigrants who must pay $1 million to obtain immigration status [1] Group 1: Program Details - The program requires applicants to pay a $15,000 application fee and a $1 million sponsorship fee, with the government reviewing the source and legality of the funds [1] - The initial application numbers are expected to be low, with a potential increase in one to two years as the wealthy immigrant community adapts to the program [1][2] Group 2: Expert Opinions - Immigration law expert Stephen Yale-Loehr suggests that the program may not be as straightforward as initially claimed, indicating complexities in the application process [1] - David J. Bier from the Cato Institute expresses skepticism about the Trump administration's authority to implement the program without Congressional approval and raises concerns about the high cost of participation [1][2] Group 3: Comparison with EB-5 Visa - The EB-5 visa program, which requires a minimum investment of $800,000, has faced multiple modifications by Congress since its inception in 1990, highlighting the challenges of immigration through investment [2] - Yale-Loehr notes that single applicants are more likely to pursue the "Gold Card," while families could face prohibitive costs, such as $4 million for a family of four [2]