Core Insights - The report highlights the overall stability of China's population and improvements in population quality, employment stability, and steady growth in residents' income, which provide foundational support for high-quality economic and social development [1] Population Development - By the end of 2024, China's total population is projected to reach 1,408.28 million, with an urban population of 943.50 million and an urbanization rate of 67.00%, an increase of 3.11 percentage points since the end of 2020 [2] - The urban unemployment rate is expected to average 5.1% by the end of 2024, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from 2020 [2] - Employment in the tertiary sector has increased by 600,000 since 2020, with its share of total employment rising by 1.1 percentage points [2] Income and Consumption - By the end of 2024, the per capita disposable income of residents is projected to reach 41,314 yuan, an increase of 9,125 yuan since 2020, with an average annual real growth rate of 5.5% from 2021 to 2024 [2] - Expenditure on education, culture, entertainment, transportation, communication, and healthcare has seen an average annual growth of 10.0% from 2021 to 2024, while service consumption has grown at an average annual rate of 9.5%, outpacing goods consumption by 3.8 percentage points [2] Public Services - The report emphasizes the improvement in public services, with basic medical insurance coverage reaching 1.33 billion people by the end of 2024, maintaining a coverage rate of around 95% since 2018 [3] - The per capita financial subsidy for urban and rural residents' basic medical insurance has increased to 670 yuan, a growth of 21.8% since 2020 [3] - The average standards for minimum living guarantees in urban and rural areas have increased by 17.8% and 19.5%, respectively, since 2020 [3] Cultural Consumption - By the end of 2024, per capita cultural and entertainment consumption is expected to grow by 67.8% compared to 2020, outpacing the growth of overall per capita consumption [4] - The user base for online video, music, and literature has reached 1.07 billion, 750 million, and 570 million, respectively, with growth rates of 15.5%, 13.6%, and 24.9% since the end of 2020 [4] Support for Key Groups - The report indicates that the income of rural residents in poverty-stricken counties has increased from 12,588 yuan in 2020 to 17,522 yuan by 2024, with an average annual real growth rate of 7.8% from 2021 to 2024 [5] - The infant mortality rate and under-five mortality rate have decreased to 2.5‰ and 5.6‰, respectively, by 2024, showing improvements in child health [5] Rehabilitation Services - By 2024, the coverage rate for basic rehabilitation services and assistive devices for disabled individuals is expected to remain above 85%, with 1.225 million households receiving home modifications [6]

Core Insights - The report highlights the continuous improvement in social welfare and living standards in China since the start of the 14th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing the government's commitment to enhancing the quality of life for its citizens [2][26]. Population and Labor Market - By the end of 2024, China's total population is projected to reach 1,408.28 million, with a labor force aged 16-59 comprising 857.98 million, accounting for 60.9% of the total population, indicating sustained demographic advantages [4][3]. - The urbanization rate is expected to rise to 67.0% by the end of 2024, reflecting a 3.11 percentage point increase since 2020 [4]. Employment and Income - The total employment figure is anticipated to be 734.39 million by the end of 2024, with urban employment at 47.35 million, marking an increase of 10.74 million since 2020 [5]. - The average disposable income per capita is projected to reach 41,314 yuan in 2024, an increase of 9,125 yuan since 2020, with an average annual real growth rate of 5.5% from 2021 to 2024 [7][8]. Public Services and Social Security - By the end of 2024, the number of people covered by basic pension insurance is expected to reach 1.07 billion, with the average monthly pension for retirees increasing from approximately 2,900 yuan in 2020 to 3,162 yuan in 2023 [10]. - The basic medical insurance coverage is projected to stabilize at around 95%, with per capita financial subsidies for rural residents increasing by 21.8% since 2020 [10]. Education and Health - The gross enrollment rate for preschool education is expected to reach 92.0% by 2024, with the nine-year compulsory education consolidation rate at 95.9%, indicating significant advancements in educational access [11]. - The infant mortality rate is projected to decline to 4.0 per thousand by 2024, reflecting improvements in child health indicators [20]. Cultural and Economic Development - The cultural industry is expected to achieve a revenue of 1,914.23 billion yuan in 2024, representing a growth of 37.7% since 2020, with digital cultural consumption becoming increasingly integrated into daily life [15]. - The average per capita cultural and entertainment expenditure is projected to reach 955 yuan in 2024, a 67.8% increase since 2020 [14]. Social Stability and Quality of Life - The crime rate in China has been decreasing, with public safety perceptions remaining high, as evidenced by a continuous 98% satisfaction rate since 2020 [23]. - The average number of household appliances per hundred households is expected to increase, indicating an enhancement in living standards and convenience [24].

Core Insights - The report indicates that China's total population is projected to reach 1,408.28 million by the end of 2024, maintaining a significant global position in population size [1] - The working-age population (ages 16-59) is expected to be 857.98 million, accounting for 60.9% of the total population, highlighting the ongoing demographic advantage and potential economic benefits [1] Population Distribution - Urban population is projected to be 943.50 million by the end of 2024, with an urbanization rate of 67.00%, an increase of 3.11 percentage points since the end of 2020 [1] - The eastern region's resident population is expected to be 567.02 million, representing 40.32% of the national population, which is an increase of 0.30 percentage points since 2020 [1] Population Quality - The average life expectancy in China is projected to reach 79.0 years by 2024, an increase of 1.07 years since 2020, which is 5 years higher than the global average [1] - The average years of education for the working-age population (ages 16-59) is expected to be 11.21 years, an increase of 0.46 years since 2020 [1] - The proportion of citizens with scientific literacy is projected to reach 15.37%, an increase of 4.81 percentage points since 2020 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need to improve the fertility support policy system and create a fertility-friendly society, focusing on optimizing population structure and promoting high-quality population development [1] - The policy goals have shifted from merely increasing birth rates to enhancing population quality and structure [1] - The implementation logic has been restructured to share responsibilities among the state, society, and families, aiming to reduce the costs associated with child-rearing [1] - The support scope has expanded from a single fertility policy to a comprehensive support system covering marriage, childbirth, upbringing, education, and elderly care [1] Group 2 - Building a fertility-friendly society requires addressing economic burdens that weigh heavily on young people, necessitating increased support measures such as enhanced maternity benefits and expanded childcare services [1] - The construction of a gender-equal safety net in the workplace is crucial, as workplace discrimination against women due to childbirth can hinder their career advancement and lead to social waste [2] - There is a need to reshape societal values and cultivate public spirit regarding childbirth, as traditional views are being replaced by self-centered attitudes, which affects social vitality and the continuity of civilization [2] - Creating a supportive social environment for families with children is essential for encouraging higher birth rates and fostering a culture that values life [2]

Core Insights - The article discusses the transition of China's population development from growth to reduction, highlighting the challenges and strategies for promoting high-quality population development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [4][5][6]. Group 1: Population Trends and Challenges - China is entering a new phase of population development characterized by declining birth rates, aging population, and regional population disparities [4][5]. - The total fertility rate in China is expected to fluctuate at low levels during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, indicating that low birth rates will accompany the entire process of building a modern strong country [5][6]. - The reduction of the school-age population is projected to decrease by approximately 130 million from 2020 to 2035, presenting both challenges and opportunities for educational reform [6]. Group 2: Policy Recommendations - It is recommended that the government elevate the response to declining birth rates to a national strategy, develop a high-quality population development plan, and establish a comprehensive population governance system [4][7]. - The establishment of a Chinese-style fertility guarantee system is crucial, focusing on maternity insurance, childcare services, and reproductive health services [7][9]. - The article emphasizes the need for increased investment in early childhood development, particularly for children aged 0-6, to enhance human capital and address family support issues [9][10]. Group 3: Transition from Population Dividend to Talent Dividend - The transition from a "population dividend" to a "talent dividend" requires high-quality talent to meet the demands of new productive forces, supported by appropriate policy measures [11][12]. - The integration of education, health, and technology into a multi-dimensional population analysis framework is essential for improving overall population quality and countering the negative impacts of declining labor force numbers [11][12]. - The shift in policy terminology from "birth subsidies" to "child-rearing subsidies" reflects a significant milestone in China's population development, indicating a new phase focused on high-quality population growth [12].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of accurately grasping the "stage requirements" for the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, which is a critical phase for achieving socialist modernization in China by 2035 [2][4]. Economic Growth - The economic growth rate is closely related to the development stage, with a focus on maintaining reasonable growth while expanding the economy steadily. The target is to achieve a per capita GDP level comparable to that of moderately developed countries by 2035 [2][3]. Population Changes - The "15th Five-Year Plan" will focus on improving the overall quality of the population, maintaining an appropriate birth rate, and optimizing the structure and distribution of human resources to transition from a demographic dividend to a talent dividend [3][4]. New Development Concepts - The new development concepts introduced during the "13th Five-Year Plan" will continue to be emphasized, with a focus on innovation, coordination, green development, openness, and shared benefits [3][4]. Reform and Opening Up - The "15th Five-Year Plan" will prioritize institutional construction and the completion of over 300 major reform tasks by 2029, coinciding with the 50th anniversary of reform and opening up in 2028 [4]. Development and Security - The plan will also address the need to balance development and security, considering both internal and external risks, and enhancing the national security system to support high-quality development [4].

8月30日，市委举办第七期干部学习大讲堂暨理论学习中心组学习会，深入学习贯彻习近平总书记 关于人口工作的重要论述，围绕准确把握人口发展新形势、推动人口高质量发展进行专题学习。市委书 记周红波主持并讲话，市人大常委会党组书记吕德明、市政协主席王立平、市委副书记李佰平出席。 会上，中国人口学会会长杨文庄作辅导报告，深入分析了我国人口发展的态势、面临的主要矛盾， 就推动"十五五"和更长时期人口高质量发展提出意见建议。 周红波表示，人口工作是事关国计民生和长远发展的全局性、战略性问题。党的十八大以来，习近 平总书记深刻洞察人口发展形势变化，阐释了一系列重大理论和实践问题，为做好新时代人口工作提供 了科学指引和根本遵循。要深入学习领会，全面认识、正确看待人口发展新形势，适应、引领人口发展 新常态，结合"十五五"规划编制，以系统观念统筹谋划人口问题，加快塑造素质优良、总量充裕、结构 优化、分布合理的现代化人力资源，以人口高质量发展支撑中国式现代化南京新实践。 周红波强调，要树立"大人口观"，加快研究人口高质量发展专题规划，健全生育支持政策，建设青 年发展型城市，综合施策破解人口总量增长乏力困局，多措并举增强城市吸引力、产 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of accurately grasping the phased requirements of the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on high-quality development and the integration of traditional and emerging industries [1][2][3] - The need for a comprehensive approach to expand domestic demand, highlighting the role of macroeconomic policies and effective investment [2][4] - The promotion of digital economy and its integration with the real economy is crucial for building a modern industrial system [3][4] Group 2 - The strategy to boost consumption involves enhancing consumer capacity, willingness, and expanding consumption scenarios [4][5] - The focus on improving the quality of education resources to meet the challenges posed by demographic changes and economic transformation [7][8] - The development of new agricultural productivity and the promotion of rural revitalization are essential for building an agricultural powerhouse [9][10] Group 3 - The emphasis on enhancing original and disruptive technological innovation capabilities to foster new productivity [6][11] - The need for a harmonious development between population growth and resource environment, ensuring sustainable economic and social development [15][16] - The importance of social governance systems to ensure social stability and public welfare [17][18] Group 4 - The construction of a beautiful China through high-level ecological protection and sustainable development practices [19][20] - The strategic planning for important energy and mineral resources to support high-quality economic development [21][22] - The promotion of a collaborative innovation framework that integrates domestic and international resources for technological advancement [22][23]

Group 1: Economic Development and Planning - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is crucial for achieving socialist modernization and requires a focus on maintaining reasonable economic growth while emphasizing quality and sustainability [1] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is seen as a key period for advancing rural revitalization and building a strong agricultural nation, with a focus on technological innovation and efficient resource reallocation [2] - The need for a strategic approach to population development is highlighted, emphasizing the importance of quality, quantity, structure, and distribution in relation to high-quality economic and social development [2] Group 2: Environmental and Ecological Considerations - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is a pivotal time for ecological improvement, necessitating a commitment to high-level protection that supports high-quality development [3] - Recommendations include accelerating the transition to a green and low-carbon economy and promoting the construction of beautiful China initiatives [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Competition - The impact of "involution" competition on market vitality and public welfare is addressed, with a call for orderly exit of backward production capacity and regulation of low-price competition [4] - The need for collaborative efforts across policy, market, and public welfare to achieve high-quality economic development and improve living standards is emphasized [4]

Group 1 - The meeting of the 14th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference focused on the formulation of the 14th Five-Year Plan for national economic and social development [1] - Wang Guosheng suggested prioritizing the development of new quality productivity and expanding domestic demand as a strategic basis for planning [2] - Miao Wei emphasized the deep integration of the digital economy with the real economy and accelerating the process of industrial intelligence [2] Group 2 - Ma Jiantang proposed multiple measures to enhance consumer capacity, boost consumption willingness, expand consumption scenarios, and increase consumption supply to cultivate a complete domestic demand system [2] - Wang Zhigang recommended enhancing original and disruptive technological innovation capabilities to provide strong momentum for the development of new quality productivity [2] - Chen Qun suggested optimizing and dynamically adjusting the structure of education at all levels to better meet the needs of economic and social development [2] Group 3 - Kong Lingzhi advocated for driving agricultural production factor restructuring and deep industrial transformation through technological innovation, promoting comprehensive rural revitalization [2] - Xie Ru proposed deepening the "Ten Thousand Enterprises Prosperity in Ten Thousand Villages" initiative to enable private enterprises to play a greater role in promoting urban-rural circulation and common prosperity [2] - Li Qun recommended further exploring and utilizing historical facts, archaeological artifacts, and cultural relics of various ethnic groups to strengthen the study of the Chinese national community [2] Group 4 - Chen Yan emphasized adhering to a people-centered creative orientation to enhance the subjectivity of Chinese culture and promote artistic creation to new heights [2] - Lin Yifu suggested constructing a support system for high-quality population development to inject sustainable momentum into Chinese-style modernization [2] - Li Wenzhang proposed improving the social governance system and ensuring social stability and order through effective community service [2] Group 5 - Wang Jinnan advocated for high-level protection to support high-quality development and the construction of a beautiful China in harmony with nature [2] - Qian Zhiming suggested improving the recycling system and market for renewable resources to enhance China's energy and resource security [2] - Zhang Baiqing recommended increasing efforts in "going out" and "bringing in" to create a new pattern of coordinated development between independent innovation and open innovation [2]