11月7日，每日经济新闻主办的"2025金融发展年会"在北京召开。 北银理财首席投资官孙俊杰在现场发言中指出，低票息时代，资产配置向多元化发展是必然趋势，重点 在于配置的有效性和及时性。 面对多元化资产配置，应提前对境外市场、资本市场、商品市场、REITs市场进行深度布局。"对于权益 市场的布局，重点对打新策略、对冲策略、量化策略以及定增策略、FOF策略进行细分，并积极运用衍 生品进行对冲，降低波动率。"孙俊杰说，低票息时代，反而成就了多资产配置的重要布局机会，这是 难得的机遇。 为了佐证自己的观点，孙俊杰分享了一个生动的案例。他回忆道，在2023年4月份之前，境内外美元存 款收益率存在差异，境外利率高于境内。然而到了4月份后，形势突然发生逆转，境内的存款利率开始 高于境外。 "当时我们发现，一家中资机构在境内分行给出的存款利率，竟然比其在香港分行的还要高。我们团队 立刻意识到这是一个机会，随即开始发行美元理财，一下子就在市场上把空间打开了。"孙俊杰说。 对此，有人曾不解地问他，这个机会每家理财公司都能发现，只要有外汇业务牌照，大家完全可以做， 为什么他们没有行动？ 中小机构突围核心在于抓住投资机会 孙俊杰观 ...

Core Insights - Public FOF (Fund of Funds) achieved a record profit in Q3, surpassing the total scale of the peak year 2020, with over 98% of FOF products generating positive returns and a nearly 50% increase in scale year-to-date [1][2] Performance Highlights - In Q3, FOF products generated a total profit of 14.606 billion yuan, marking a historical high for a single quarter, which is over 5.3 times the profit of the previous quarter and exceeds the best annual performance of 10.927 billion yuan in 2020 [2] - The average return for FOF products reached 10.42% in Q3, a significant increase from 1.87% in Q2, with over 98% of products achieving positive returns [2] - As of October 31, the average annual return for 987 FOF products was 14.02%, with the highest return being 69.53% for Guotai's selected leading fund [2] Scale Growth - The total scale of FOF products reached 193.419 billion yuan by the end of Q3, a nearly 48.15% increase from 130.558 billion yuan at the end of the previous year [3] - More than half of existing funds saw growth in scale, with some funds experiencing significant increases, such as Xingsheng Global's fund growing nearly 4.6 times [3] Investment Preferences - FOF managers are focusing on multi-asset allocation and passive investment strategies, with a notable decrease in active equity holdings and an increase in passive index products [5][6] - Bond funds remain the primary investment choice, accounting for 66% of FOF holdings, with significant investments in various bond ETFs [5] - Gold ETFs have seen increased holdings, with the Huaan Gold ETF being the only non-bond fund in the top ten holdings, reflecting a shift towards commodity assets [5][6] Market Outlook - Fund managers express cautious optimism for Q4, with expectations of limited upward movement in the stock market and potential for sectoral corrections [8][9] - There is a focus on gold stocks due to rising gold prices, with plans to balance investments in gold and rare earth sectors [8] - Managers are adjusting their portfolios based on macroeconomic conditions, with a preference for technology and resource assets while reducing financial sector exposure [10]

Core Viewpoint - The public fund of funds (FOF) achieved a record profit in Q3 2023, surpassing the total scale of the peak year 2020, with over 98% of FOF products generating positive returns and a nearly 50% increase in scale year-to-date [3][4]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - In Q3 2023, FOF products generated a total profit of 14.606 billion yuan, marking a historical high for a single quarter, which is a 5.3-fold increase from the previous quarter's profit of 2.317 billion yuan [4]. - The average return for FOF products reached 10.42% in Q3, a significant increase of 8.56 percentage points from the previous quarter's average of 1.87% [4]. - By October 31, 2023, the average annual return for 987 FOF products was 14.02%, with the highest return being 69.53% for the Guotai Preferred Navigation One-Year Holding Fund [4]. Group 2: Scale Growth - The total scale of FOF products reached 193.419 billion yuan by the end of Q3 2023, a nearly 48.15% increase from 130.558 billion yuan at the end of the previous year [5]. - More than half of the existing funds saw growth in scale, with some funds experiencing significant increases, such as the Xingsheng Global Preferred Stable Six-Month Holding Fund, which grew from 0.462 billion yuan to 2.583 billion yuan [5]. Group 3: Investment Strategy Changes - FOF managers have shifted their investment strategies, focusing more on multi-asset allocation and passive investment, with a decrease in active equity holdings and an increase in passive index products [7][9]. - The proportion of active equity assets decreased, while the holdings in ETF products increased from 6.51 billion units to 7.148 billion units [9]. - Gold and silver assets have seen a resurgence in allocation, with significant increases in holdings of gold ETFs, reflecting a strategic pivot towards commodities [8][9]. Group 4: Market Outlook for Q4 - Fund managers anticipate limited upward potential for the stock market in Q4, with expectations of local corrections and a focus on gold stocks due to rising gold prices [10][12]. - The macroeconomic environment is viewed as more favorable than in previous years, with expectations for structural highlights in the domestic market [13]. - There is a consensus among fund managers that while opportunities exist, caution is warranted due to potential structural bubble risks in the market [13][14].

Core Insights - The public FOF (Fund of Funds) achieved a record profit in Q3, surpassing the total scale of the peak year 2020, with over 98% of FOF products generating positive returns and a nearly 50% increase in scale year-to-date [1][2] Group 1: Performance Metrics - In Q3, the total profit of FOF products reached 14.606 billion yuan, marking a historical high for a single quarter, and representing a more than 5.3 times increase from the previous quarter's profit of 2.317 billion yuan [1][2] - The average return of FOF products in Q3 was 10.42%, a significant increase from 1.87% in Q2, with the highest performers achieving returns over 56% [2] - By the end of Q3, the total scale of FOF products reached 193.419 billion yuan, a nearly 48.15% increase from 130.558 billion yuan at the end of the previous year [2] Group 2: Fund Management and Strategy - Over half of the existing funds saw an increase in scale, with some funds experiencing dramatic growth, such as the Xingsheng Global Preferred Stable Fund, which grew nearly 4.6 times [3] - Major fund companies like Xingsheng Global Fund and Zhongou Fund led the market with management scales exceeding 18.2 billion yuan, while E Fund and others also surpassed 10 billion yuan in FOF scale [3] - FOF managers are increasingly favoring multi-asset allocation and passive investment strategies, with a notable reduction in active equity holdings and an increase in bond and ETF products [4][5] Group 3: Asset Allocation Trends - By the end of Q3, bond funds accounted for 66% of FOF's top holdings, with significant investments in bond ETFs and a notable increase in holdings of gold ETFs [5][6] - The preference for active equity funds decreased, with holdings dropping from 9.417 billion units to 8.114 billion units, while ETF holdings increased from 6.51 billion units to 7.148 billion units [6] - FOF managers are focusing on gold stocks and resource assets, anticipating significant price increases and a favorable macro environment for the equity market [7][8][10] Group 4: Market Outlook - Fund managers express cautious optimism for Q4, predicting limited upward potential for the stock market and potential local corrections, while highlighting the need for balanced asset allocation [7][9] - The overall market environment is seen as favorable due to liquidity conditions, but there are warnings about potential structural risks if the market rises too quickly [10]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q3 2025, the cumulative scale of FOF reached the highest level since Q4 2022, with significant increases in both new - issue and continued - operation scales. Performance was highly differentiated, and top - performing FOFs generally preferred gold and computing power assets. FOFs showed a trend of increasing A - share equity holdings, decreasing pure - bond holdings, and continuously emphasizing passive investment. The scale of personal pension funds maintained a relatively high growth rate [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Scale Dimension - **Classification Method**: FOF funds are classified into four types: bond - type FOF, fixed - income + FOF, balanced FOF, and equity - type FOF based on post - penetration equity positions or the proportion of equity indices in the performance benchmark. For pension target funds, classification is based on the holding period [9][10]. - **Scale Review**: In 2025, the new - issue scale of FOF was relatively stable, with 11783 million yuan issued in Q3, similar to Q3 2022 but showing a decline compared to the previous quarter. The continued - operation scale increased significantly, rising by 16034 million yuan, the first significant increase since 2023, indicating high investor enthusiasm [11]. - **New - Issue Representatives**: Among fund companies, Morgan Fund had a prominent new - issue scale of 2752 million yuan. Among custodian banks, China Merchants Bank had a cumulative new - issue scale of 3851 million yuan, far exceeding other banks [14]. - **Product New - Issue and Continued - Operation**: Bond - type FOF remained popular, and some fixed - income +/bond - type FOFs had net subscriptions exceeding 3000 million yuan in Q3. Most FOF products with large net subscriptions were from the Changying Plan, reflecting investors' preference for low - risk products [16][17]. - **Fund Company Dimension**: The scale of a few leading fund managers increased significantly. China Europe Fund became the institution with the largest FOF management scale, and Fullgoal Fund also saw a significant increase in its management scale [20]. 3.2 Performance Dimension - **Overall Performance**: In Q3, the stock market was highly elastic, with the CSI 300 index rising by 17.90%. FOF performance was more affected by equity positions. As the equity position increased, FOF performance improved, and the median return of equity - type FOF reached 20.86%, surpassing the CSI 300, CSI 1000, and CSI 2000 indices [23]. - **Performance Differentiation**: The performance of top - performing fixed - income + FOF and bond - type FOF was highly differentiated. Top - performing balanced FOF and equity - type FOF tended to prefer gold funds such as gold - stock ETFs or equity funds with computing - power characteristics like E Fund Ke Rong [30]. 3.3 Investment Characteristics - **Asset Allocation of Leading Managers**: Leading managers generally emphasized multi - asset allocation. Some focused on QDII stock - type assets, some on mutual - recognition funds, and some on commodity investments [35]. - **Market - Wide Characteristics**: In Q3, FOFs generally increased A - share equity holdings, decreased pure - bond holdings, and continued to emphasize passive investment. The proportion of pure - bond funds decreased significantly, while the attention to active and passive equity funds increased, and the proportion of fixed - income + and commodity funds also rose [39]. - **Preference for Assets**: The heavy - position fund allocation in Q3 showed a preference for A - share growth stocks, especially technology - related active equity funds and passive equity funds related to technology, advanced manufacturing, and gold [40]. - **Stock Allocation**: The sector - allocation preferences of the three types of FOF (fixed - income + FOF, balanced FOF, and equity - type FOF) differed significantly. Each type had different trends in sector - specific increases and decreases [47]. 3.4 Personal Pension Funds - **Overall Scale**: In Q3, the total scale of personal pension funds was 12817 million yuan, an increase of 1983 million yuan compared to Q2 2025, maintaining a relatively high growth rate. Pension target - date funds were more popular, with a current scale of 7803 million yuan. The scale of equity - type FOF and the 2050 series FOF increased significantly [50].

Core Insights - The public fund FOF (Fund of Funds) named Huatai Bairui Yingtai Stable 3-Month Holding sold out on its launch day, achieving a scale of over 5 billion yuan [1][3][5] - The strong sales of public FOFs are largely attributed to robust distribution channels, particularly through China Merchants Bank [1][8] - The current low-interest-rate environment has created opportunities for multi-asset allocation, making FOF products more appealing to investors [1][7] Fund Details - Huatai Bairui Yingtai Stable 3-Month Holding is a mixed-type FOF with a balanced investment strategy, limiting equity investments to no more than 30% of the fund's assets, while focusing on bond funds as core underlying assets [5] - The fund's manager is Dou Xiaoman, and it was initially set to raise funds from October 23 to October 31 but closed early on October 23 due to high demand [3][5] Market Trends - In October alone, three FOFs have been established with scales exceeding 2 billion yuan, all distributed through China Merchants Bank [1][8] - A total of 11 FOFs have been established this year with scales over 1 billion yuan, with the highest exceeding 6.5 billion yuan [8] - The TREE Changying Plan by China Merchants Bank has been instrumental in promoting these FOF products, providing a one-stop asset allocation solution [8]

Core Viewpoint - An excellent FOF (Fund of Funds) team is responsible for multi-asset allocation to provide users with all-weather returns and to select fund managers to achieve excess market returns [3][10]. Group 1: FOF Investment Framework - FOF investment requires three levels of understanding: 1) understanding investment goals, 2) understanding matching assets or strategies, and 3) understanding suitable managers [1][13]. - The FOF investment framework consists of fundamental research, manager research, and dynamic portfolio balancing [18][21]. Group 2: Alpha Sources - There are three layers of alpha sources in FOF investment: top-level asset allocation, middle-level industry fundamental research, and bottom-level excellent manager research [3][21]. - The macro level employs an economic cycle model based on monetary, credit, and growth indicators to assess asset performance across different economic cycles [3][38]. Group 3: Manager Selection - The selection of fund managers is critical, with a focus on their investment philosophy, stable investment processes, diligence, and performance [26]. - The company tracks over 900 funds out of more than 5000 available, categorizing them based on investment style and industry focus [24]. Group 4: Portfolio Construction - The portfolio construction strategy involves a diversified approach, with no single manager holding more than 3% of the portfolio [5][12]. - The company has developed a robust multi-asset FOF that aims for better returns than traditional stock-bond mixes by utilizing low correlation between assets [5][43]. Group 5: Specific FOF Products - The company manages four types of FOF products: 1) "Fixed Income+" strategy, 2) Value style FOF, 3) Balanced style FOF, and 4) Pension-oriented FOF [6][7]. - The "Balanced Style FOF" achieved a return of 34.01% over the past year, while the "Pension-oriented FOF" achieved a return of 10.17% [6][7]. Group 6: Economic Cycle Analysis - The economic cycle model divides the economy into six phases: credit expansion, economic recovery, monetary tapering, credit tapering, economic slowdown, and monetary expansion [35][38]. - Different asset classes perform variably across these cycles, with equities performing well during credit expansion and economic recovery phases [38][40]. Group 7: Customization for Institutional Investors - The company offers customized FOF products to meet the needs of bank wealth management subsidiaries and institutional investors, focusing on stable strategies and all-weather asset allocation [43][46]. - The multi-asset FOF covers various asset classes, including A-shares, overseas equities, gold, commodities, and bonds, providing a more stable alternative to traditional strategies [43][46].

Core Insights - The article discusses the current challenges and strategies in the wealth management industry, emphasizing the need for multi-asset allocation and technological empowerment to adapt to a low-interest-rate environment [6][7][17]. Regulatory and Industry Dynamics - The Global Wealth Management Forum 2025 held in Shanghai highlighted the consensus among wealth management executives on the importance of multi-asset strategies, expanding overseas investments, and enhancing research capabilities through technology [6]. - Challenges faced by the banking wealth management sector include low interest rates leading to asset shortages, the need for differentiated services, and the demand for improved performance stability in the net value era [6][7]. - The performance benchmark for newly issued fixed-income wealth management products has dropped from over 4% at the end of 2021 to around 2.4% as of September 2023, indicating increased pressure on yield generation [6]. Innovations in the Industry - 招银理财 launched a self-selected account date wealth management product, allowing investors to set their expected fund arrival dates independently, enhancing cash flow management [9]. - 徽银理财 introduced a product focused on inclusive finance, targeting small and micro enterprises, with reduced management fees and no subscription or redemption fees [10]. Yield Performance - For the week of October 13-19, 2025, cash management products recorded an annualized yield of 1.31%, down 4 basis points, while money market funds yielded 1.16%, down 2 basis points [12][16]. - Long-term fixed-income products outperformed short-term ones, with the market influenced by factors such as US-China tariff policies and inflation data [16][17]. Net Value Tracking - The net value ratio of bank wealth management products was 1.69%, a decrease of 1.19 percentage points from the previous week, with credit spreads narrowing by 2.46 basis points [23][25]. - The relationship between net value ratios and credit spreads indicates potential redemption pressures when net value ratios exceed 5% and credit spreads widen significantly [23].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The wealth management industry is facing challenges due to low interest rates and asset scarcity, necessitating a shift towards multi-asset allocation strategies and enhanced technological integration [3][11] - The recent Global Wealth Management Forum highlighted the consensus among industry leaders on the importance of diversified asset strategies and overseas investments to navigate current market conditions [3][11] - The performance of cash management products has seen a decline, with a 7-day annualized yield of 1.31%, down 4 basis points from the previous week [5][15] - The report indicates a trend of decreasing performance benchmarks for wealth management products, suggesting continued pressure on yields in the medium to long term [18] Summary by Sections Regulatory and Industry Dynamics - The Global Wealth Management Forum held in Shanghai emphasized the need for multi-asset strategies and technological empowerment in the wealth management sector [3][11] - Industry leaders identified three main challenges: low interest rates leading to asset allocation difficulties, the need for differentiated services to combat "deposit migration," and the heightened performance stability requirements in the net value era [11][12] Peer Innovation Dynamics - 招银理财 launched a self-selected account date wealth management product, allowing investors to set their expected fund arrival dates, enhancing cash flow management [4][13] - 徽银理财 introduced a product focused on inclusive finance, targeting small and micro enterprises with reduced management fees [4][14] Yield Performance - Cash management products recorded a 7-day annualized yield of 1.31%, a decrease of 4 basis points, while money market funds yielded 1.16%, down 2 basis points [5][15] - Long-term fixed income products outperformed short-term ones, with the market reacting slowly to fundamental factors [17][18] Net Value Tracking - The report noted a decrease in the net value ratio of bank wealth management products to 1.69%, down 1.19 percentage points, with credit spreads also narrowing [6][25]

Core Viewpoint - Macro strategies have gained significant attention from private equity firms, with an average return of 24.54% in the first three quarters of the year, particularly strong in August and September [2][4]. Group 1: Performance of Macro Strategies - As of September 30, 272 macro strategy products recorded an average return of 24.54%, with 92.65% achieving positive returns [4]. - Monthly performance showed positive returns in all months except January, with August and September averaging returns of 5.18% and 4.70% respectively [4]. Group 2: Market Environment and Strategy Adoption - The current low interest rate environment has led to a narrowing of credit spreads and limited yield in pure bond strategies, prompting private equity firms to adopt macro strategies for flexible asset allocation [4][5]. - Macro strategies are seen as suitable for the current volatile market, providing diversified multi-asset products to meet clients' needs for stable returns [5]. Group 3: Diverse Macro Models - Different private equity firms have developed unique macro analysis frameworks based on their research backgrounds, combining systematic and active management approaches [6]. - Strategies include dynamic asset weight adjustments to balance risks and optimize returns based on various economic factors [6][7]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - The outlook for the next 6 to 12 months emphasizes the importance of monitoring Federal Reserve policies and managing risks during market volatility [8]. - There is a positive view on equities and commodities, with expectations for potential opportunities driven by geopolitical risks and the Fed's interest rate cycle [9].