在週二的專欄【港股Podcast】中，有投資者問到：快手-W (01024.HK)：股價逼近上週四提到的80元，目前有阻力還是挑戰85-90元？過夜牛穩陣嗎？Simon: 走勢接近保力加通道的頂部80.73元，全日收79.15元。信號總結為"買入"。數據系統分析的阻力位82.4元和86元。如果投資者想部署牛證過夜，收回價可參 考支持位72.9元和67.1元。建議收回價挨近67-66元的產品，雖然槓桿4-5倍，但始終收回水準比較安全。 快手(01024)在週二的股價上漲2.79%，收報79.15元。今日（6日）股價跌0.02%，報79.1元。技術指標顯示，RSI69接近超買區域，MACD維持買入信號，但 隨機震盪指標發出賣出信號，顯示短期可能面臨技術性調整。股價目前遠高於MA10(75.16元)和MA30(68.4元)，短期上升動能強勁，但超買狀態值得警惕。 從關鍵位觀察，73.1元構成重要支撐，更強支撐位於67.2元；上方82.4元為短期阻力，突破後可能挑戰86.3元。保力加通道顯示股價接近上軌，若不能突破上 軌，可能回落至中軌附近。動量指標顯示買盤有所減弱，投資者需密切注意成交量變化。 窩輪產品方面，回顧8 ...

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年8月6日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖，從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣之前在這邊盤整 然後往下面跌，跌到前面這一帶就止住了 因為它是之前這一帶的高點 然後就出現了一個還不錯的反彈 因為你可以看到 這樣的一根k線 其實是一根看漲吞沒的k線對不對 然後它就反彈到前面 這一帶的低點附近 好像受到了一些阻礙 給人一種感覺 這邊是盤整 然後跌破了這一帶 應該是支撐阻力互換對不對 然後來到這邊一直站不上去 我相信在這種時候 很多人會覺得 現在是背靠著阻力去做空的時機 但是我不會嘗試這樣子去做 因為這一帶如果說重新給它站回去 我會覺得這邊從小級別 因為我們現在看的是日線 可能會出現4小時 或者說一小時級別 比較大的一根陽線 那麼只要是出現了這樣的k線 那麼你可以跟進去 因為它會小小的回落 那麼你這個時候跟進去的話 它之後有可能會漲到更高的地方去 至少是把前面這三個 比較臨近的高點給它拿掉 那目前來說有沒有站上去呢 目前還是沒有站上去 所以我們來看一下小級別它到底在怎麼做 那麼這個是4小時級別 我們可以看到好像嘗試沒有站上去 然後 ...

Core Viewpoint - Kingdee International (00268) has shown strong performance recently, with a significant increase of 4.67% to HKD 18.82, indicating continued capital inflow [1] Price Movement and Technical Analysis - The stock price reached a high of HKD 19 during intraday trading, with a current price of HKD 18.57 as of 9:50 AM [1] - The closing price of HKD 18.82 has surpassed the upper Bollinger Band at HKD 18.6, signaling a "buy" direction [1] - The first resistance level is at HKD 19.7, and if broken, the price may challenge HKD 21.4 [1] - Technical indicators show that the RSI has reached the overbought zone at 70, while MACD maintains a buy signal; however, the stochastic oscillator indicates a sell signal, suggesting potential short-term adjustments [1] - The stock price is significantly above the 10-day moving average (MA10) of HKD 17.25 and the 30-day moving average (MA30) of HKD 16.01, indicating a clear short-term upward trend, but the overbought condition warrants caution [1] Support and Resistance Levels - Key support is at HKD 16.9, with stronger support at HKD 16.2; the upper resistance is at HKD 19.7, which, if surpassed, could lead to a challenge of HKD 21.4 [3] - The Bollinger Bands indicate that the stock price is nearing the upper band, and failure to break through may result in a pullback to the middle band [3] Derivative Instruments - On July 30, Kingdee's stock rose by 7.41%, with related warrants showing significant leverage, such as the warrant 13464, which increased by 24% in a single day [4] - Investors optimistic about Kingdee's future performance may consider high-leverage call warrants, including: - Bank of China warrant 16701: exercise price HKD 22.73, leverage 3.14, suitable for conservative investors [5] - JPMorgan warrant 18077: out-of-the-money by 21.61%, leverage 3.05, suitable for those anticipating a breakout [5] - UBS warrant 18108: leverage 5.44, premium 36.86%, suitable for short-term high-leverage traders [5]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index shows mixed signals with a neutral summary, indicating no clear direction, with resistance at 25,230 and support at 24,100 [1] - Investors in Hua Hong Semiconductor are optimistic about a potential rise to 50, needing to break resistance at 44.1 and 48.3 [3] - Kingdee International's stock price closed at 18.82, indicating a buy signal with resistance at 19.7 and potential to reach 21.4 [6][7] - Great Wall Motors has seen a rebound, closing at 13.36, with a buy signal and resistance at 13.8 and 14.4 [10][13] - Xiaomi Group's trading signal is a sell, with overall bearish sentiment and support at 52.7 and resistance at 56.9 [16] - XPeng Motors shows a neutral signal with no clear direction, suggesting caution before entering, with support levels at 70.1 and 68.6 [20]

Group 1 - Xiaomi Group (01810) saw a 2.15% increase in stock price, closing at 54.55 HKD with a trading volume of 5.354 billion HKD, indicating heightened investor interest [1] - Technical indicators show mixed signals; while most indicators remain in the sell zone, the stochastic oscillator has issued a buy signal, and the RSI has moved away from the oversold area, suggesting a potential short-term technical rebound [1] - The stock price is currently below the 10-day moving average (56.02 HKD) and the 30-day moving average (57.03 HKD), but above the 60-day moving average (54.79 HKD), indicating that the medium-term trend is still to be confirmed [1] Group 2 - Key support level is at 52.7 HKD; if breached, the stock may drop to 50.7 HKD. The short-term resistance is at 56.9 HKD, and a breakthrough could lead to a challenge of 58.4 HKD [1] - The Bollinger Bands indicate that the stock price is near the lower band, and if it stabilizes and rebounds, it may move towards the middle band [1] - Although the MACD maintains a sell signal, the downward momentum has weakened; if the stock can hold above the 55 HKD level, the short-term outlook may improve [1] Group 3 - Recent derivatives performance shows that on July 31, when Xiaomi's stock rose by 2.63%, UBS's bull certificate 57477 had a remarkable single-day increase of 30%, while another UBS bull certificate 69916 rose by 23% [4] - In terms of call options, UBS call certificate 17892 increased by 9%, and Bank of China call certificate 16937 rose by 8%, both outperforming the underlying stock's increase, demonstrating the leverage advantage of derivatives in trending markets [4] - Various derivatives are available for investors; for bullish positions, Bank of China call certificate 16937 offers 5.3x leverage with a strike price of 62.04 HKD, while UBS call certificate 15800 offers 8.9x leverage with a strike price of 63.05 HKD [7]

Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as a platform suitable for technical analysis [1] - Binance is mentioned as the largest global exchange, offering a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX (欧易) is noted as an established platform with commission waivers [1] Promotional Offers - Registration and deposit (or reactivation of old accounts) provide a free one-month membership experience [1] Social Media and Community - Customer support is available on Discord via @tiahelper [1] - The document references a Twitter account (https://x.com/tiabitcoin), a course (https://www.tiabtc.com), and a Telegram channel (https://t.me/tiaalert) [1] Cryptocurrency and Trading Terminology - The document includes a list of cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, SOL, ADA, BNB, XRP, DOT, AVAX, LUNA, UNI) and trading-related terms (technical analysis, Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci, Harmonic Patterns, Gann Theory, etc) [1] Bitcoin-Related Topics - Mentions Bitcoin contracts, options, ETFs, halving in 2024, analysis, trends, mining, and news [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Life Insurance's stock price has shown significant volatility, currently at 22.65 HKD, down 2.37%, with various technical indicators suggesting potential upward and downward movements in the near term [2]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is currently above the 10-day moving average of 21.93 HKD, indicating a bullish formation, but the RSI at 78 suggests it is severely overbought, creating a technical divergence with sell signals from the Williams indicator [2]. - The MACD maintains a buy signal, but the shortening of the red momentum bars indicates a potential weakening of upward momentum [2]. - The Bollinger Bands are expanding, with the stock price closely following the upper band, reflecting increased short-term volatility risk, evidenced by a 10.4% 5-day amplitude [2]. - A critical support level is identified at 20.9 HKD, which combines the 30-day moving average and a psychological barrier; a breach could lead to a drop to the 18.8 HKD yearly line [2]. - The upper resistance level is at 24 HKD, and a breakthrough could challenge the previous high of 26.3 HKD [2]. - The Ichimoku Cloud shows a bullish arrangement, but the distance from the cloud indicates accumulating technical correction pressure [2]. - Divergence in momentum oscillators and sell signals from the VR ratio indicator suggest short-term adjustment risks [2]. Derivative Products Strategy - The Morley call option 28512 stands out with a leverage of 6.7 times and the lowest premium, with an exercise price set 7% below the current stock price of 20.93 HKD [5]. - The Morgan Stanley call option 29456 offers similar terms with a leverage of 6.5 times and a lower premium as an alternative [5]. - On the bearish side, the Bank of China put option 18645 is preferred for hedging downside risk, featuring a leverage of 5.1 times and the lowest premium [5]. - The Xinda put option 18677 has an exercise price of 18.28 HKD, with a leverage of 3.4 times and is 19.11% out of the money [5].

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of CSPC Pharmaceutical Group has shown strong performance, currently at 10 HKD, reflecting a 0.71% increase, with technical indicators suggesting continued upward momentum [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price has broken through all major moving averages, with the 10-day moving average at 9.29 HKD and the 30-day moving average at 8.5 HKD forming a perfect bullish arrangement [1] - The RSI indicator is at 74, indicating an overbought condition, while the William's indicator also shows overbought status; however, the MACD maintains a strong buy signal with the fast and slow lines diverging upwards, reflecting robust upward momentum [1] Key Price Levels - A significant support level is established at 9.1 HKD, coinciding with the 30-day moving average and a psychological barrier; a stronger support level is at 8.5 HKD [2] - The initial resistance level is at 11.1 HKD, and a breakthrough could lead to a challenge of the 12 HKD mark; the Bollinger Bands indicate a clear expansion, with the stock price closely following the upper band, suggesting potential for increased short-term volatility [2] Derivative Market Performance - During the rally from July 28 to July 30, the Societe Generale call warrant (17287) achieved an impressive 52% increase, while the JPMorgan call warrant (18044) saw a 46% rise, showcasing the explosive potential of leveraged products during CSPC's single-day surge of 10.99% [4] Selected Warrant Products Analysis - The Morgan Stanley call warrant (17483) offers a 4x actual leverage with an exercise price of 10.99 HKD, making it suitable for short-term participation in breakout scenarios; the Bank of China call warrant (17351) provides a more conservative 3.3x leverage for cautious investors [7] - UBS call warrant (17646) has an exercise price of 10.95 HKD with a leverage of 2.83x, while another Bank of China call warrant (17640) at the same exercise price offers a leverage of 2.8x with a premium of 28.93% [7] Operational Strategy Recommendations - In the context of the stock being in an overbought zone, aggressive investors may consider holding call warrants to capitalize on the potential breakout above the 11.1 HKD resistance level; conservative investors are advised to wait for the RSI to retreat to neutral territory before making further investments [10] - Close attention to policy changes in the pharmaceutical industry is recommended, as these can serve as significant catalysts for short-term price fluctuations [10]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining's stock price is currently at 21.3 HKD, showing a 1.67% increase, indicating a critical turning point with mixed signals in short-term direction [1] Technical Analysis - The RSI is at 52, indicating a neutral zone, while the Williams and Stochastic indicators also show neutral signals, reflecting a strong market wait-and-see sentiment [2] - The MACD shows a sell signal, but the green momentum bars are shortening, suggesting a decrease in downward momentum [2] - The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the stock price hovering near the middle band, indicating a potential upcoming directional choice [2] Key Price Levels - A significant support level is at 20.4 HKD; if breached, it may drop to a strong support area at 19.5 HKD. The initial resistance level is at 22.2 HKD, and a breakthrough could challenge the previous high of 23.3 HKD [3] - The Ichimoku Cloud indicates the stock price is above the cloud, but the conversion line and baseline show a bearish arrangement, suggesting ongoing medium-term adjustment pressure [3] - Momentum indicators signal a buy, which contradicts the neutral signal from the psychological line indicator [3] Signal Summary - The overall signals indicate a sell signal and neutral signals, with some buy signals present [5] Selected Warrant Strategies - The CCB call warrant 16128 offers a leverage of 3.8 times with an exercise price of 21.88 HKD, close to the current price, suitable for investors optimistic about a short-term rebound in Zijin Mining [6] - The Societe Generale call warrant 16404 has an exercise price of 25.33 HKD, 19.2% out of the money, with a leverage of 5.6 times [6] - The UBS call warrant 16416 also offers a leverage of 5.6 times with a premium of 25.41% and an exercise price of 25.33 HKD [6]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock has been underperforming due to a 3% quarter-over-quarter decline in overseas smartphone shipments and disappointing electronic consumer goods retail data, leading to a significant drop in stock price over the past two days [1]. Technical Analysis - The overall technical indicators for Xiaomi signal a "sell" with a strength of 13, indicating a bearish medium to long-term trend [1]. - Multiple moving averages are showing a "strong sell" signal, while several oscillators are in a neutral state, suggesting a potential for short-term oversold rebound [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43, indicating it is within a normal range [1]. - The system's assessed probability of an upward movement is 57%, with a recent 5-day price fluctuation of 7.7%, reflecting moderate volatility but clear short-term downward pressure [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - The first support level is at 53.7 HKD; if this level is breached, the next target is 52.1 HKD [3]. - The initial resistance level is at 57.6 HKD, and a breakthrough here would allow for a challenge of 60.5 HKD [3]. - The current stock price is positioned between the support and resistance levels, leaning towards the lower end, making the maintenance of the 53.7 HKD support critical for a potential short-term rebound [3]. Product Performance - Previously recommended leveraged products, such as the Societe Generale bear certificates (54560) and HSBC bear certificates (59572), showed significant gains of 48% and 54% respectively within two days [3]. - Other put options from JPMorgan and UBS also outperformed, with increases of 18% and 16%, significantly exceeding the underlying stock's decline of 3.66% [3]. Investment Products - For investors anticipating a short-term rebound, UBS call options (15800) offer a leverage of 8.1 times with a strike price of 63.05 HKD, while Bank of China call options (13385) provide a leverage of 8.4 times, presenting a better cost-performance ratio [6]. - For bearish investors, HSBC put options (14333) and Morgan Stanley put options (14322) offer a leverage of 3.5 times with a strike price of 46.45 HKD, suitable for those expecting significant downside [6]. Market Sentiment - Despite the bearish technical outlook for Xiaomi, the probability of an upward movement remains above 50%, indicating market divergence [12]. - The ability to hold the 53.7 HKD support level is crucial; a breakdown with increased volume could trigger further selling pressure, while support at this level could lead to a short-term rebound opportunity [12].