Group 1 - The current technical signal for Alibaba is "sell," with support levels at HKD 106.7 and HKD 102, and a potential drop to HKD 110 is being monitored [1] - As of the latest update, Alibaba's stock price is HKD 110, down 1.52%, having breached both the 10-day moving average (HKD 113.46) and the 30-day moving average (HKD 117.46) [1] - The RSI indicator is at 39, nearing the oversold zone, while the MACD maintains a sell signal, although the bull-bear power indicator suggests a potential bottoming out [1] Group 2 - Key support levels for Alibaba are at HKD 105.3 and a strong support at HKD 101.1, while the primary resistance is at HKD 113.8, with a potential challenge to HKD 119.1 if broken [1] - The Bollinger Bands indicate that the stock price has touched the lower band, and the VR trading ratio shows oversold signals, increasing the probability of a short-term technical rebound to 56% [1] Group 3 - Recent performance of derivatives linked to Alibaba shows significant gains, with a bear certificate from Societe Generale rising 43% and a put option from HSBC increasing by 45% following a 4.18% drop in the stock price [3][4] - Current bullish instruments include UBS call options with a strike price of HKD 118.88 and BOC call options with a strike price of HKD 125.1, while bearish instruments include UBS put options with a strike price of HKD 99.83 [6][8]

Core Viewpoint - Meituan's stock price is currently at HKD 132, showing a rebound of 2.64%, but is struggling near the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands, with significant resistance at the 10-day and 30-day moving averages [1][3] Technical Analysis - The first support level at HKD 122.5 is crucial; if breached, the stock may drop to the strong support zone at HKD 113.3 [3] - The upper resistance level is at HKD 136.6, and a breakthrough could lead to a challenge of HKD 142.7 [3] - The RSI indicator shows an oversold state at 38, while the VR ratio indicates a buy signal, suggesting a potential technical rebound with a 56% probability [3] - The MACD maintains a sell signal, but momentum oscillators show signs of divergence, indicating possible buying opportunities [1][3] Derivative Products Performance - Citigroup's put option (16254) achieved an 18% increase within two trading days following a 3.53% drop in Meituan's stock price [3][5] - Other put options, such as Morgan Stanley's (64017) and UBS's (63423), recorded gains of 18% and 19%, respectively, with UBS's product being the best-performing short tool of the day [3][5] - HSBC's call option (26318) has a strike price of HKD 150.1 with a leverage of 7.6 times, offering a cost-effective choice for bullish investors [6] - UBS's call option (26512) has a lower leverage of 7.3 times but provides a stable investment option due to its relatively low implied volatility [6] Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment indicates a potential test of the support at HKD 122.5 or a direct challenge to the resistance at HKD 136.6 [12] - The analysis suggests that the breakout of either key price level could significantly alter trading strategies [12]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is gradually recovering, with specific high-quality blue-chip stocks, such as China Merchants Bank (3968.HK), showing potential for technical breakthroughs, making it a noteworthy option for short to medium-term traders [1][4]. Price Performance - As of June 23, China Merchants Bank's stock closed at HKD 53.9, up 1.51% for the day, indicating a favorable technical position [1]. - The stock recorded a 5% price fluctuation over the past five trading days, with a trading volume of HKD 1.078 billion, reflecting high market interest [1]. - The stock is currently above several key moving averages, suggesting a strengthening overall trend [1]. Technical Indicators - The 10-day moving average is at HKD 52.74, while the 30-day and 60-day moving averages are at HKD 50.5 and HKD 47.4, respectively, forming a bullish pattern known as a "golden cross" [1]. - The RSI indicator is at 67, indicating a slight overbought condition but still showing strong buying momentum without signs of a pullback [1][2]. - Other momentum indicators, such as CCI, MACD, and various oscillators, are also signaling bullish trends [2]. Support and Resistance Levels - Short-term support is at HKD 51.5, with a stronger support zone at HKD 49.4, indicating solid downside protection [2]. - The first resistance target is set at HKD 55.5, with a further target of HKD 57.2 if the initial resistance is breached [2]. - The estimated probability of an upward movement is 53%, slightly favoring bullish strategies [2]. Overall Technical Summary - The technical indicators collectively suggest a "strong buy" rating, with a high intensity score of 17 on June 23, making it one of the few stocks in the Hong Kong market to receive such a high technical evaluation [2][4]. - If the market continues to stabilize and trading volume remains active, the stock is expected to break through the HKD 55.5 resistance level, initiating the next upward phase [4]. Derivative Products - Two call options linked to China Merchants Bank are analyzed for potential investment strategies: - The first product, issued by UBS (code 17405), has a strike price of HKD 61.55 and an expiration date of November 24, 2025, with a premium of 18.11% and approximately 7.5 times leverage, suitable for conservative investors [5][6]. - The second product, issued by Citigroup (code 16652), has a lower premium of 14.16% and a higher leverage of 12.6 times, making it more suitable for aggressive investors looking to capitalize on short-term price movements [6][8]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to consider entering positions near support levels (e.g., HKD 51.5) with initial target prices set between HKD 55.5 and HKD 57.2, while placing stop-loss orders below HKD 49.4 to manage risk [4][8]. - The two call options provide different risk-return profiles, allowing investors to choose based on their risk tolerance and investment horizon [8].

Cryptocurrency Exchanges & Trading Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as a preferred platform for technical analysis [1] - Binance is mentioned as the largest global exchange, offering a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX is noted as an established exchange with commission waivers [1] - Pionex is recommended for grid trading [1] Cryptocurrency Topics & Keywords - The document references various cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Binance Coin (BNB), Ripple (XRP), Polkadot (DOT), Avalanche (AVAX), and Luna/Terra [1] - Key concepts include technical analysis, Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci sequence, harmonic patterns, natural trading theory, Gann theory [1] - Mentions of fundamental concepts such as hardware wallets, Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin contracts, Bitcoin options, and Bitcoin ETFs [1] - Trading strategies and terms like "buy the dip", "long", "short", and "hedging" are included [1] Resources & Community - Links are provided for a Discord membership, Discord/Telegram customer support, a Twitter account, a course website, and a Telegram announcement group [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently showing weak signals, with a potential drop to support levels around 22,855 points and a lower Bollinger Band at 22,900 points [1] - Investors are considering entering the market at 23,000 points, with a focus on bear certificates with a recovery price of 23,865 HKD [1] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings (00700) is experiencing a bearish trend, with a technical signal indicating "sell." The stock price is currently above the lower Bollinger Band but has dipped below it during the day [3] - Key levels to watch include the middle Bollinger Band at 490 HKD; if it fails to hold, further declines may occur [3] Group 3 - Meituan-W (03690) is also showing a "sell" signal, with potential support levels at 121.9 HKD and 114.5 HKD, close to the lower Bollinger Band at 116.7 HKD [5] - Investors are advised to observe these support levels before considering a rebound at around 120 HKD [5] Group 4 - HSBC Holdings (00005) has shown relatively smaller declines compared to other stocks, but the technical signal remains "sell." The stock is nearing the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a weak trend [8] - The support level to watch is 88.1 HKD, with the middle Bollinger Band at 86.3 HKD [8] Group 5 - BYD (01211) is trading near its support level of 121 HKD, with a bearish signal indicating further potential declines [10] - Key support levels are identified at 119.5 HKD and 112 HKD [10] Group 6 - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981) is also under a "sell" signal, with the stock approaching the lower Bollinger Band [13] - Short-term support levels are at 38.1 HKD and 36.4 HKD, with the weekly Bollinger Band bottom at 36.6 HKD [13]

朋友們 2025年6月17日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現今天的日線 好像要完全跌回來的感覺 意味著說過去這4天 就這樣白漲了嗎 那麼為什麼會這樣 以及接下來會跌到什麼位置 以及上漲的ABC三浪 還在不在，那麼這個是我們今天 要討論的主要話題 那麼昨天的時候往下跌 那是從技術面 有非常明顯的信號 那麼昨天我在社群裡面 提醒大家要留意108000一帶 目前看多頭有點擁擠 可能會盤整幾天 那我就盡可能把昨天 在社群的及時更新 快放給大家聽一下 複盤一下它當時 到底出現了什麼樣的問題 今天本來反彈的好好的 但是出現了一個急速的下跌 這個下跌它的意圖很明顯 是要來測試這一帶的支撐阻力互換位 那麼原先這邊你可以看 好像是一個杯柄形態或者說是個W底 然後平行的高點一個突破 那麼這是一根一小時級別的 裸根k線沒有來補過，然後迅速往上漲 漲了之後就極速往下跌 來到這樣一個位置 同時也是補缺口支撐阻力互換 而且從盤口來看 也是蠻支持這樣的一個小反彈的 但目前出現一個情況我覺得值得留意 就是盤口這邊 出現了一個看跌的背離 那麼你可以看到的是 價格並沒有創出高點 但是CVD卻 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tencent's stock price is currently at 506 HKD, showing a slight decline of 0.78%, with trading volume at 2.854 billion HKD, indicating a cautious market sentiment as the stock hovers below the 10-day moving average [1] Technical Analysis - The stock is experiencing narrow fluctuations below the 10-day moving average of 512.3 HKD, with the MACD indicator signaling a sell but nearing the zero axis, suggesting reduced volatility [1] - Key support is identified at 491 HKD, with potential downside to 474 HKD if this level is breached; resistance is noted at 522 HKD, with a breakthrough potentially leading to a challenge at 539 HKD [1] - Despite multiple moving averages indicating sell signals, the RSI at 52 is in a neutral zone, while the Williams indicator shows an oversold buy signal, reflecting a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces [1] Market Instruments - In the current market, bullish options include HSBC call warrant 15418 (16.3x leverage, exercise price 576.38 HKD) and UBS call warrant 17137 (11.6x leverage, exercise price 563.5 HKD), both exhibiting relatively low implied volatility [5] - For bearish strategies, options such as Morgan Stanley put warrant 15137 (10.3x leverage, exercise price 443.33 HKD) and UBS put warrant 16669 (10.7x leverage, exercise price 443.13 HKD) are available, along with Morgan Stanley bear certificate 58426 (16.9x leverage, redemption price 540 HKD) and UBS bear certificate 54414 (13.2x leverage, redemption price 550 HKD) [8]

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藥明生物(02269)表現強勢，截至14點20分，股價報26.4元，升幅1.54%，資金持續流入。技術面上，RSI升至67，接近超買區，但MACD及一目均衡表仍釋出 買入訊號，短線動能強勁。目前關鍵阻力位在27.5元，若突破則有望挑戰29元；下方支撐位24.7元，若回調至此可視為低吸機會。 技術分析：多頭格局穩固，短線關注突破 藥明生物近期走勢呈現築底回升，10日、30日及60日均線（25.09、23.98、23.91元）呈多頭排列，顯示中期趨勢向好。MACD黃金交叉後持續擴張，保力加 通道亦顯示股價沿上軌運行，短線仍有上行空間。不過，RSI已接近70超買水準，投資者需留意若股價未能突破27.5元，可能面臨短線獲利回吐壓力。 技術 信號總結為"買入"其中有3個賣出信號，6個中立信號以及15個買入信號。 窩輪產品回顧 在2025年6月6日，藥明生物正股兩日內上漲7.1%，相關窩輪產品表現強勁。其中，瑞銀牛證（56751）漲幅最高，達43%，摩通牛證（57118）緊隨其後，上 漲38%。兩只認購證漲幅相對較低，摩利認購證（14687）和中銀認購證（15841）分別上漲11%和22%。 窩輪與牛熊證機會：高槓桿捕捉 ...

2025年6月9日，中國海洋石油有限公司（中海油，00883.HK）以18.52港元作收，單日上漲1.31%，延續過去多日的穩健升勢，股價穩步向第一阻力位18.8靠 攏，市場信心持續增強。從整體趨勢觀察，自短期支撐位18.0反彈以來，股價已連續收復並穩站於所有主要技術均線之上，包括10日線18.14港元、30日線 17.52港元與60日線17.60港元，形成標準的多頭排列型態，技術面趨勢明確偏強。截止今日10點最新數據，股價報18.58元，升幅0.43%。 5日振幅為3.6%，顯示近期價格波動屬於可控範圍，並無明顯過度炒作現象。從資金面來看，成交額達11.28億港元，反映市場參與度活躍，並支撐價格穩步 上行。技術面整體訊號綜合評級為「強力買入」，總強度評為17分，是極具一致性的正面訊號，涵蓋多條移動平均線、MACD、VR成交比率、心理線與 ADX等關鍵指標均發出積極看多訊號。 回顧在2025年6月5日，中海油（00883）正股上漲1.20%，其相關衍生品均錄得優於正股的表現。法興牛證（57666）兩日後上漲6%，槓桿效應明顯；匯豐認 購證（15958）和瑞銀認購證（16031）均上漲8%。 RSI目前為69， ...