具体的我们切换到指数来看，上证指数已经完成了对昨天的反包，而且今天是创了新高，收了个上引 线，深证指数也反包了，那么能不能出现爆发性的走势，那么明天就很关键了。今天的这个走势走的比 较中庸，你说它差也不算很差，说它很强，但也不算很强，所以说就可以再延一天，如果说明天不能爆 发，那大家可以适当的进行短期减持，当然也跟板块有关系，今天主要还是金融板块没有发生太大的变 化，没有拉升，主要是个整理状态。那么从这个地方我们提示我们说这些地方是一个千载难逢的机会， 那么现在大盘已经完全对缺口形成了修复性的走势。今天的这个走势从短线上来讲的话，属于一个阳包 阴的一个反攻走势，只是说没有把量放出来，那么我们就期待明天能不能放量，如果明天大盘能能放出 量来，那上涨还会延续，所以说目前整体的策略依然是持股不动。 今天的大盘果然是低开高走，完成了反包。和讯投顾王海洋表示，我们昨天说了，今天大盘如果低开的 话，大概率是一个低开高走，但是今天大盘涨的幅度是一个相对比较温和的状态，并没有出现中大阳 线，但是它也涨了，和昨天的预判相比，它可能达不到那种强度，但是他可能满足60%的条件，那么这 种环境我们就可以继续再看一天。我们说这个地方要 ...

Group 1 - As of April 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $328.17 billion, an increase of $41 billion from March, representing a growth rate of 1.27% [1] - The increase in foreign exchange reserves is attributed to currency revaluation and asset price changes, with the U.S. dollar index (DXY) falling by 4.6% to 99.5 in April, leading to appreciation of non-U.S. currencies [2] - The People's Bank of China, along with financial regulatory bodies, has introduced a series of financial policies to support market stability, which is expected to contribute to a balanced international payment and stable foreign exchange reserves [3] Group 2 - The central bank has increased its gold reserves for the sixth consecutive month, reaching 7.377 million ounces by the end of April, with a month-on-month increase of 70,000 ounces [4] - The current gold reserves amount to $243.6 billion, accounting for 7.4% of the foreign exchange reserves, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points [4] - The diversification of international reserve assets is progressing steadily, as indicated by the record high proportion of gold reserves [5]

Group 1 - Gold prices opened slightly higher at $3437.82 due to the escalation of the India-Pakistan situation but quickly retreated, experiencing a drop of $60 [1] - The Federal Reserve's upcoming decision is causing short-term profit-taking and a rebound in the US dollar index, which adds pressure to gold prices [1][3] - Despite the current pullback, it is viewed as a good opportunity to enter bullish positions on gold, as the overall outlook remains positive for further gains [1][4] Group 2 - The US dollar index is currently in a state of fluctuation, with bearish sentiment prevailing as it operates below the 200-day moving average [3] - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates, which could keep borrowing costs high and negatively impact the economy [3] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs and their impact on inflation and the economy may lead to a lack of clarity in the Fed's stance, which could create short-term pressure on gold prices but ultimately supports a bullish outlook [3]

Core Viewpoint - The market may show positive trends if certain signals are observed, particularly in the context of the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 500 Index, which are currently experiencing similar patterns of slight adjustments followed by upward movements [1][2]. Group 1: Market Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index is expected to open higher, but precise point predictions are challenging due to unclear oscillation ranges on the 15-minute chart [1]. - The CSI 500 Index, representing mid-cap stocks, has clearer oscillation boundaries, making it easier for analysis. The index showed a narrowing oscillation pattern before the holiday, indicating potential for a trend change [1]. - If the CSI 500 Index breaks upward and forms a third type of buy signal, the market is likely to trend positively post-holiday; conversely, continued oscillation or downward movement would require investors to be more cautious [1]. Group 2: Key Levels and Investor Sentiment - A high opening followed by a slight pullback that continues upward and breaks key levels could lead to a positive structural change in the market, potentially forming a mid-term low [2]. - If the market opens high but then drops directly, it may continue to oscillate, indicating a need for investors to closely monitor market performance, especially after a high opening [2]. - Despite the current lack of clear market hotspots, there is a sense that the technology sector may lead the market, although this remains speculative and investors should tailor their strategies accordingly [2].

Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has completed eight effective upward cycles as of April, indicating that the ninth and tenth cycles are potential turning points for significant price movements [1][3] - The weekly analysis shows that the recent rebound followed four effective adjustment cycles, with the target being the five-week moving average, which has been reached [1][3] - The mid-term turning point for the market indices is expected to be after mid-June, with a likelihood of adjustments and a formation of a larger mid-term bottom [3][4] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index has also completed eight effective cycles, with June and July marking the ninth and tenth cycles, respectively, which are potential turning points [4] - The weekly analysis indicates that the recent rebound is a result of four weeks of effective adjustments, with three to four more cycles needed before reaching a turning point [4] - The index is expected to primarily adjust in the coming weeks, forming a stage bottom [4][6] Short-term Outlook - The short-term outlook for the Shanghai Composite Index suggests a high probability of a slight increase on Tuesday, potentially leading to a positive opening [6] - The current A-share market is characterized by structural trends in individual stocks, provided that there are no significant declines in the overall market [6]

一、指数走势 04 月 29 日，上证综指涨跌幅-0.05%，收于 3286.65 点，成交额 4308.81 亿元，深成指数涨跌幅-0.05%，收于 9849.8 点，成交额 5912.02 亿元。 中证 1000 指数涨跌幅 0.45%，成交额 2194.12 亿元，其中开盘价 5850.83，收盘价 5903.38，当日最高价 5921.56，最低价 5836.03； 中证 500 指数涨跌幅 0.12%，成交额 1580.33 亿元，其中开盘价 5583.72，收盘价 5604.91，当日最高价 5622.02，最低价 5571.24； 沪深 300 指数涨跌幅-0.17%，成交额 1974.63 亿元，其中开盘价 3776.0，收盘价 3775.08，当日最高价 3785.32，最低价 3768.03； 上证 50 指数涨跌幅-0.22%，成交额 538.94 亿元，其中开盘价 2650.43，收盘价 2645.51，当日最高价 2655.34，最低价 2639.8。 图表 1：中证 1000、中证 500、沪深 300、上证 50 日内走势（%） 图表 2：四大指数个股涨跌幅比例（%）统计 -1 ...

股指期货日度数据跟踪 2025-04-29 一、指数走势 04 月 28 日，上证综指涨跌幅-0.2%，收于 3288.41 点，成交额 4419.16 亿元，深成指数涨跌幅-0.62%，收于 9855.2 点，成交额 6143.93 亿元。 中证 1000 指数涨跌幅-1.05%，成交额 2219.38 亿元，其中开盘价 5933.42，收盘价 5877.06，当日最高价 5939.96，最低价 5868.87； 中证 500 指数涨跌幅-0.51%，成交额 1676.16 亿元，其中开盘价 5624.42，收盘价 5598.3，当日最高价 5628.08，最低价 5587.79； 沪深 300 指数涨跌幅-0.14%，成交额 2106.35 亿元，其中开盘价 3786.39，收盘价 3781.62，当日最高价 3792.01，最低价 3772.8； 上证 50 指数涨跌幅 0.09%，成交额 576.71 亿元，其中开盘价 2643.14，收盘价 2651.23，当日最高价 2658.46，最低价 2636.41。 图表 1：中证 1000、中证 500、沪深 300、上证 50 日内走势（%） 图表 2 ...

Market Overview - The overall market indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 500, should be viewed from a bullish perspective, with technical indicators showing a bullish arrangement despite insufficient trading volume [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index has demonstrated resilience, recovering after dips, but this has resulted in reduced volatility and a narrow trading range [1] Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index's recent movements indicate a lack of trend-based upward movement, with a horizontal consolidation phase observed after a brief upward push at the beginning of the week [2] - The CSI 500 is currently underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, remaining below key resistance levels and facing downward pressure from the 20-day moving average [3] Trading Strategy - In the current market environment, it is advisable to adopt a bullish mindset while looking for opportunities during pullbacks, particularly in the context of the upcoming May Day holiday which may limit trading activity [2][3] - For the CSI 500, caution is advised when trading near the upper boundary of the current range, with a recommendation to wait for a more reliable buying signal before entering positions [3]