图1：2025年即将走过，谁也没预料到的是：A股领涨行业居然不是势头正盛的TMT相关，反而是被市 场视为传统行业的有色金属！ 图2：科技不断发展，归根仍需资源！行业2025年营收有望实现较好增长，基本面好股价才有底气！ 图3：万物皆周期，2020年全球大宗资源品走过滚动收益率底部，相信历史周期下均值回归的力量！ 图4：放眼全球，海量法币发行量成为全球工业金属价格中枢，关注经济发展根本！ 如何把握当前A股资源领域的投资机会？元素周期表"辣"么复杂，主动权益基金值得关注！ 上银资源精选 A类代码：023448 C类代码：023449 周期叙事逻辑下，把握全球大宗资源品的投资机遇 产品A类份额成立以来累计收益率58.67%，跑赢业绩比较基准 （注：基金业绩数据已经托管行复核，同期业绩比较基准为36.68%，业绩比较基准数据来自Wind，统 计区间2025/03/21-2025/11/14） 图5：回到国内，"反内卷"开启再通胀周期，A股资源品顺周期企业有望在全球大周期与国内小中周期 共振，实现景气修复，2026年的大类资源品，值得关注！ 编辑：林森 （资讯） ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The market is currently consolidating, with the non-ferrous metals sector leading the decline, as evidenced by the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) which saw a drop of over 2% [1][12] - Despite the market downturn, the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) received a net subscription of 24 million shares, indicating investor confidence in the future performance of non-ferrous metals [1][12] - As of December 8, the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) has a total scale of 739 million yuan, making it the largest ETF tracking the same index in the market [1][12] Group 2: Sector Performance - Major stocks in the sector such as Huaxi Nonferrous, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Aluminum experienced declines of over 4%, while Yunnan Zinc and Licheng Group saw increases of over 3% and 1% respectively [1][7] - The performance of the non-ferrous metals index is being dragged down by the significant losses in key stocks [1][7] Group 3: Macroeconomic Factors - The Federal Reserve is set to begin a monetary policy meeting, with an 89.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, which is expected to support non-ferrous metal prices [3][8] - The ongoing expectation of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is seen as a driving force for potential price increases in non-ferrous metals [3][8] Group 4: Industry Outlook - International copper prices have reached new highs, driven by supply shortages and tariff concerns, which may continue to push prices upward [3][9] - The current tightening of supply and demand dynamics in the physical asset market suggests that even small supply gaps could lead to significant price fluctuations during the Fed's rate cut cycle [3][9] - The non-ferrous metals sector, particularly copper and aluminum, is anticipated to enter a super cycle, with increasing demand projected for 2026 driven by power investments and storage needs [3][9][10] Group 5: Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) and its associated funds is recommended to mitigate risks associated with individual metal investments [4][10] - The ETF covers a broad range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, making it suitable for inclusion in investment portfolios [4][10]

Group 1 - The copper industry is experiencing a significant price increase driven by expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and an improving supply-demand balance, indicating a potential super cycle for copper [1] - In the aluminum sector, macroeconomic sentiment is favorable, with leading aluminum processing companies reporting a slight week-on-week increase in operating rates by 0.3% to 62.3%, benefiting from year-end demand driven by automotive policy changes [1] - The lithium sector shows strong demand, but seasonal supply declines have led to a decrease in lithium carbonate production, with inventory levels also decreasing; the cobalt sector faces tight upstream raw material supplies and higher prices [1] Group 2 - Precious metals are seeing price increases due to optimistic liquidity expectations, with silver experiencing significant gains due to tight balances and low inventory levels [1] - The price trends for light and heavy rare earths are diverging, with light rare earths benefiting from both policy and demand, while heavy rare earths are experiencing price declines due to marginally eased supply [1] - The mining ETF (561330) tracks the non-ferrous mining index (931892), which includes listed companies involved in the mining and processing of precious and industrial metals, reflecting the overall performance of the non-ferrous mining industry [1]