Report Industry Investment Rating - The global economy in the macro and financial sector is rated as (bullish) [1] Core View - The global economy maintains an upward trend. China strengthens its domestic cycle, Asian exports are strong, and the terminal demand is considered strong. Market expects the Fed to cut interest rates in September 2025 and accelerate rate - cuts in 2026. China's comprehensive rectification of involution - style competition is expected to boost listed company performance. The European Central Bank has cut interest rates 8 times, Germany is expanding its military by 30%, and Meta plans to invest hundreds of billions of dollars in building large - scale data centers [1] Summary by Related Information AI Investment - AI investment covers three major directions: computing power, data, and downstream applications. The global data center construction in computing power is booming, and in application fields such as AI agents, intelligent driving, and intelligent terminals, China has many globally competitive enterprises [1] Eurozone Government Bonds - As the US dollar's safe - haven status is questioned, central banks around the world are increasing their allocation of eurozone government bonds, and the subscription ratio in eurozone government bond issuance has risen from 16% last year to 20% so far this year [1] Central Bank Independence - After JPMorgan Chase's Dimon took the lead, executives from Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Citigroup also voiced their support for the central bank's independent operation without White House intervention [1] Japanese Stock Market - With the upcoming Japanese election, Japan's $6.8 trillion stock market faces a "reckoning" moment. Polls suggest that the ruling coalition led by Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru may lose its majority in the Senate election this weekend [1] Stablecoin Business - JPMorgan Chase's CEO Dimon and Citigroup's CEO Fraser said they will participate in the stablecoin business, and JPMorgan needs to accept stablecoins to keep up with competitors [1] Tariffs and Inflation - New York Fed President Williams expects tariffs to add about one percentage point to inflation from the second half of 2025 to 2026, although the current comprehensive data shows only a relatively limited impact of tariffs [1] xAI's Expansion - Musk's xAI is looking to expand its infrastructure in the Middle East to power its computing - intensive AI models with the region's cheap energy, abundant capital, and political goodwill [1] Trump's Tariff Plan - Trump plans to impose tariffs slightly higher than 10% on at least 100 countries, including those in Africa and the Caribbean [1] Economic Data - The final value of the US Markit Manufacturing PMI in June 2025 was 52.0, continuing to expand. China's PMI production index and new order index in June 2025 resumed expansion. Germany's industrial output in May 2025 increased by 1.2% month - on - month [1]

Core Viewpoint - China's dominance in the rare earth industry is underscored by Japan's 20-year stockpiling of rare earth materials, which has not led to independence but rather highlighted China's irreplaceable position in the supply chain [1][3]. Industry Insights - Japan's stockpiling of rare earths has not translated into self-sufficiency due to the lack of advanced processing capabilities, with 95% of global rare earth separation and processing capacity held by China [3][5]. - The technical gap in rare earth separation and purification has been built over decades, with Chinese institutions like the Baotou Rare Earth Research Institute and the Shanghai Institute of Organic Chemistry accumulating significant expertise [5][7]. - The complexity of downstream processing, such as the production of rare earth permanent magnets, presents further challenges for Japan, which struggles to match China's optimized processes and experience [5][7]. Competitive Landscape - Chinese companies like Minmetals Rare Earth and Guangdong Zhujiang Rare Earth have established strong profit margins, with an average gross margin exceeding 45% in 2024, indicating a highly profitable sector [7][9]. - Major global companies, including Tesla and Siemens, rely heavily on Chinese suppliers for rare earth components, demonstrating the critical role of Chinese technology and production capabilities in the global market [5][7]. Future Outlook - China's technological lead in rare earths is expected to widen, driven by advancements in recycling technologies and increasing demand from emerging sectors such as renewable energy and artificial intelligence [9]. - The long-term accumulation of technical advantages and a complete industrial chain in China makes it unlikely for other countries to disrupt this dominance in the near future [9].

Key Points - In April, China's new energy vehicle sales reached 1.226 million units, with domestic sales at 1.025 million units, showing a month-on-month decrease of 5% but a year-on-year increase of 39.3% [1][3] - Exports of new energy vehicles amounted to 200,000 units, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 27% and a year-on-year increase of 76% [1] - From January to April 2025, the production and sales of new energy vehicles were 4.429 million and 4.3 million units respectively, with year-on-year growth of 48.3% and 46.2% [4] Battery Industry - In April, the total installed capacity of power batteries in China was 54.1 GWh, showing a month-on-month decrease of 4.3% but a year-on-year increase of 52.8% [6] - The share of ternary batteries in the total installed capacity was 9.3 GWh, accounting for 17.2%, with a month-on-month decrease of 7.0% and a year-on-year decrease of 6.3% [6] - Lithium iron phosphate batteries accounted for 44.8 GWh, representing 82.8% of the total, with a month-on-month decrease of 3.8% but a year-on-year increase of 75.9% [6] - Cumulatively, from January to April, the total installed capacity of power batteries reached 184.3 GWh, with a year-on-year growth of 52.8% [6] Energy Storage - In March, domestic energy storage battery shipments reached 47.5 GWh, showing a year-on-year increase of 159.6% and a month-on-month increase of 8.8% [7]