Core Viewpoint - Iran has issued an evacuation warning to Israeli citizens, specifically in the central city of Ramat Gan, indicating an imminent missile attack on Israeli military facilities in the area [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Military Actions - Iran has threatened to launch an attack on Israeli military facilities within hours, prompting evacuation orders for residents in Ramat Gan [1] - Previous missile strikes by Iran on Ramat Gan and surrounding areas have occurred, with a notable attack on June 14 resulting in multiple injuries and damage to several buildings [1]

Core Viewpoint - Iran's potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz could significantly impact global oil prices, with predictions suggesting prices may exceed $100 per barrel, potentially reaching $120-$130 under severe geopolitical conditions [1][5]. Group 1: Iran's Position and Threats - A senior Iranian lawmaker stated that Iran could retaliate against enemies by closing the Strait of Hormuz, although another lawmaker indicated this would only occur if Iran's core interests were threatened [1][2]. - The Iranian parliament's National Security Committee member mentioned that Iran has various ways to respond to threats, with the closure of the Strait being a significant option [1]. - The closure of the Strait is seen as a legitimate response if the U.S. formally supports Israel in military actions against Iran [2]. Group 2: Economic Implications - Approximately 25% of the world's daily oil consumption, around 18 million barrels, passes through the Strait of Hormuz, making it a critical shipping route for oil and gas [2]. - Clarkson's data indicates that 11% of global maritime trade transits through the Strait, including 34% of seaborne crude oil exports and 30% of liquefied petroleum gas exports [3]. - The economic risks associated with closing the Strait are high for Iran, as its economy heavily relies on oil exports, and such a move could isolate Iran from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries [4][6]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Predictions - Morgan Stanley predicts that if the Strait is closed, oil prices could surge to the $120-$130 range, with Brent crude futures already rising above $78 per barrel due to escalating geopolitical tensions [5]. - Analysts generally view the complete closure of the Strait as a low-probability event, with a more likely scenario being a reduction in Iranian oil exports rather than a total blockade [3].

Group 1 - The article reports that Israeli forces are attacking the underground headquarters of Iranian leader Khamenei in Tehran [1]

中东局势可能到了最关键时刻！ 与几天前的态度不同，几个小时前，美国总统特朗普称最高领袖是"容易攻击的目标"，并表示美国的"耐心正 在耗尽"。他还要求伊朗"无条件投降"。此前，特朗普曾要求以色列放弃暗杀伊朗最高领导人阿亚图拉·阿里·哈 梅内伊的计划。与此同时，哈梅内伊黎明时分在社交媒体上向以色列发出警告——"战斗开始了"。 两名美国官员向媒体表示，特朗普正在考虑动用美国军事力量打击伊朗核设施。一名以色列高级官员表示，以 色列正在等待特朗普是否会协助完成摧毁伊朗核计划的任务。 分析人士认为，若美国下场摧毁伊朗核设施，中东可能会在短期之内迎来一轮美国资产被袭击的浪潮。而若伊 朗政权生变，亦可能会使战争的时间缩短。 美国要下场？ 以色列现在最盼望的可能就是美国亲自下场轰炸伊朗。 随着以色列和伊朗冲突加剧，特朗普和以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡都提出了针对德黑兰权力领袖哈梅内伊 的可能性。几天前，一位美国高级官员表示，特朗普曾要求以色列放弃暗杀哈梅内伊的计划。几天后，他似乎 改变了立场。 "我们确切地知道所谓的'最高领袖'藏身何处。他很容易被击中，但在那里很安全——我们不会把他干掉（杀 死），至少目前不会。"特朗普在他的 ...

据央视新闻报道，当地时间6月18日，伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊凌晨发布声明称，必须强力打击犹太复国 主义实体（以色列），永远不会与犹太复国主义者妥协。另据美国媒体报道，据审查过情报的美国官员 透露，一旦美国加入以色列对伊朗的战争，伊朗已经准备好导弹和其他军事装备，用于袭击美国在中东 的军事基地。 ...

Group 1 - Iran's military claims to have successfully destroyed multiple Israeli military facilities and strategic positions in Tel Aviv and Haifa using over a hundred precision-strike capable drones [1] - The Iranian Revolutionary Guard announced an attack on the headquarters of the Israeli intelligence agency Mossad located in Tel Aviv [2] - The attack also targeted the Israeli Military Intelligence Directorate, which is one of the three main intelligence agencies in Israel [2] Group 2 - Reports indicate that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated the attack on Mossad's operational planning center in Tel Aviv resulted in significant damage, with the center currently on fire [4] - Iran's permanent representative to the United Nations reported that Israeli attacks have resulted in nearly 1,500 casualties, including at least 224 civilian deaths [6] - The representative emphasized that Iran's response is defensive, targeted, and proportional, warning that any country supporting Israeli aggression will bear legal responsibility [6]

以军称打死伊朗最高军事指挥官 以色列军方17日发表声明说，已经打死伊朗最高军事指挥官阿里·沙德马尼。 责编：罗晓霞 校对：王朝全 百万用户都在看 暴增超370%！A股，重磅信号！ 深夜突发，闪崩！ 重大转变！美国下令：暂停！ 午后，突发！集体飙涨！ 李成钢：中美就落实两国元首通话共识及日内瓦会谈共识达成框架 违法和不良信息举报电话：0755-83514034 邮箱：bwb@stcn.com 声明说，以军根据精确情报和16日夜间"突然出现的机会"，袭击了德黑兰市中心一个指挥中心，打死"战 时参谋长、最高军事指挥官、与伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊关系最密切的人物阿里·沙德马尼"。 声明说，沙德马尼曾担任伊朗武装部队战时参谋长和应急指挥部指挥官，并曾指挥伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队和 伊朗军队。在其前任被打死后，他被任命指挥伊朗武装部队。 以军方称，沙德马尼被打死"削弱了伊朗武装部队的指挥链"。 来源：新华社 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current military conflict between Iran and Israel has placed the entire Middle East in its most dangerous situation since the new round of the Israel-Palestine conflict began on October 7, 2023 [1] Summary by Relevant Categories - **Military Conflict Dynamics** - The recent military confrontations have primarily occurred between Israel and non-sovereign entities such as guerrilla groups or militia organizations over the past two years [1]

据央视新闻，当地时间13日，针对以色列空袭伊朗居民区、军事区，伊朗陆军总司令穆萨维已下令 对以色列施以严惩。 据CCTV国际时讯，在耶路撒冷的美国驻以色列使馆发布声明称，鉴于当前安全形势，使馆已指示所有 美国政府雇员及其家属就地避难，等候进一步通知。 以军发言人：伊朗向以色列发射100多架无人机 据新华社，以军发言人13日清晨说，过去几个小时内伊朗向以色列发射100多架无人机，以军正努力将其 击落。 6名伊朗核科学家死于以军空袭 据CCTV国际时讯，记者消息，据初步统计，6名伊朗核科学家在以色列今天（6月13日）对伊朗的 袭击中身亡。 美驻以色列使馆要求就地避难 伊朗陆军总司令穆萨维（央视新闻资料图） 伊朗革命卫队处于待命状态 据CCTV国际时讯，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队副司令阿里·法达维表示，"革命卫队司令萨拉米殉职，目前 革命卫队处于待命状态，并做好了充分准备对以色列和美国采取行动。" ...