中国经济确定性

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2025全球投资者大会举行 与会者表示中国经济确定性与制度型开放为投资中国创造更好生态
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-05-20 01:58
Group 1 - The 2025 Global Investor Conference held by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange highlighted the increasing interest of global investors in the Chinese capital market, emphasizing the certainty of the Chinese economy and institutional openness as key factors for investment [1] - Since September 26 of the previous year, the market value of foreign-held stocks in strategic emerging industries in Shenzhen has increased by 40%, with trading volume rising by 90% [1] - The Vice Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) stated that a stable Chinese economy will provide irreplaceable investment opportunities for global investors, supported by a robust economic foundation [1] Group 2 - Over 90% of newly listed companies in 2024 are high-tech enterprises, indicating a strong focus on innovation within the Chinese market [2] - The CSRC plans to introduce policies to deepen reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market, aiming to provide more suitable and inclusive institutional support for enterprise innovation and growth [2] - As the effects of high-quality economic development and the vitality of reform and opening-up become more evident, the Chinese capital market is expected to become an important platform for more foreign investment [2]
兴业证券王涵 | 燎原·重估——特朗普的“空城计”——经济每月谈第十一期
王涵论宏观· 2025-03-19 02:09
特朗普重返白宫一个多月以来,其政策对美国国内外产生了巨大的冲击。一方面,特朗普以"提升政府效率"为由,对内加剧党争,试图削弱民主党及华盛顿传 统官僚体系的影响力。另一方面,在对外政策上,特朗普不断强化"美国优先",不仅对墨西哥、巴拿马等传统势力范围施压,还向加拿大和丹麦提出领土要 求。与此同时,特朗普还改变了拜登政府"联欧抗俄"的地缘政治战略。笔者认为,要理解特朗普的上述行事逻辑,需先明确美国当前面临的几个事实。 美国当前面临的现实:实力今不如昔,内部矛盾日益激化。 美国经济长期"脱实向虚",其工业产值在全球占比已回落至12%。制造业"硬实力"的衰落,使其对外进 行地缘干预的能力减弱,进而动摇其引以为傲的盟友体系。此外,长期滥用金融霸权不断透支美元和美债体系的信用,"AI霸权"的叙事体系也在其他国家追赶中出 现裂痕。而软硬实力衰退的结果,是其向外输出矛盾的能力减弱,加速了美国国内社会撕裂的显性化。 特朗普看似强硬,但可能只是在唱"空城计"。 本届美国政府对内试图营造"特朗普治下美国一直赢"的叙事体系,发动MAGA力量压制政治对手。对外维持"美国依 然第一"的叙事体系,"软饭硬吃、榨取盟友利益"来兑现地缘利益。 ...