Workflow
供给与需求关系
icon
Search documents
姚景源谈“十五五”关键关系:发展模式向“重消费、重需求”转变
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for China to strengthen its domestic economy in response to external challenges, particularly in the context of the changing international landscape during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period [1] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" faces a more turbulent international environment compared to the "14th Five-Year Plan," with increased instability and uncertainty in global economic growth [1] - The relationship between international economic and trade struggles and domestic economic work is identified as a primary issue that needs to be addressed [1] Group 2 - There is a clear observation of a strong supply and weak demand imbalance, indicating a need to shift focus from production expansion to enhancing consumption and demand [2] - The adjustment in the "15th Five-Year Plan" from "allowing flexibility and maintaining control" to "allowing flexibility and ensuring good governance" reflects a deepening of the governing philosophy [2] - The concept of "effective market and proactive government" should focus on ensuring market-driven resource allocation, removing barriers to domestic market development, and establishing a competitive market order [2] Group 3 - The relationship between security and development is highlighted, stating that development is essential for security, but security must also serve development [2] - A dynamic balance between security and development is necessary, with high-quality development serving as the foundation for security [2]
“十五五”时期中国面临的机遇、挑战与改革方向
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-08-25 13:50
Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the challenges and opportunities for China's economy during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the shift from high-speed growth to high-quality development and the need to address demand insufficiency [5][6][9] - The external environment is characterized by intensified trade friction with the U.S., which has escalated into a comprehensive confrontation affecting China's external demand and supply chains [4][6] - Internally, China faces structural issues such as aging population and insufficient demand, necessitating reforms in consumption and investment structures to stimulate economic growth [6][8] Group 2 - The economic growth rate during the "14th Five-Year Plan" is projected to be in the range of 4.5% to 5%, with a focus on balancing nominal and actual growth rates [6][10] - Key challenges include ongoing trade tensions, demographic shifts leading to labor shortages, and local government debt issues that require systemic reforms [6][11] - Opportunities arise from strengthening non-U.S. trade alliances, leveraging the potential of a unified domestic market, and fostering human capital and technological innovation [7][9] Group 3 - The planning and reform strategies for the "14th Five-Year Plan" should focus on balancing supply and demand, optimizing investment and consumption, and enhancing the relationship between manufacturing and service sectors [8][9] - Macro-control systems need to transition to prioritize nominal growth and adjust fiscal and monetary policies accordingly [10][13] - Structural reforms should aim to improve income distribution, accelerate urbanization, and enhance the fiscal system to support consumption and economic balance [11][12][13] Group 4 - The development of high-quality services in sectors such as healthcare, tourism, and elder care is essential to meet the growing demand for quality services [16] - Encouraging private sector participation and reducing market entry barriers will be crucial for service industry growth [16] - Strengthening regulatory frameworks to protect consumer rights and promote new service consumption models will enhance market stability and growth [16]