Market Overview - A-shares opened slightly lower, with the ChiNext index down 0.4%. Sectors such as aquaculture, shipbuilding, electronic chemicals, and local stocks in Fujian showed strong gains, while sectors like electrical networks, aviation, AI applications, and energy storage faced declines [1] - Hong Kong stocks opened under pressure, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.49%. Airline stocks collectively fell, while lithium battery stocks remained strong [1][11] - The bond market opened mostly higher, with the 30-year main contract up 0.13% and the 2-year main contract down 0.01% [1][9] Sector Performance Aquaculture Sector - The aquaculture sector saw significant gains, with stocks like Guolian Aquatic Products up 19.95% and Zhongshui Fishery up 10.03%, among others reaching their daily limit [8] Semiconductor Equipment Sector - The semiconductor equipment sector experienced a short-term surge, with Weidao Nano rising over 10% and other stocks like Xidian Co., Zhongke Feimiao, and Lian Dong Technology also following suit [1] Lithium Battery Sector - The lithium battery sector continued its strong performance, with companies like Rongbai Technology and Tianhua New Energy both rising over 10%, and Fengyuan Co. hitting the daily limit [3][4] Military Industry Sector - The military industry sector opened significantly higher, with Changcheng Military Industry reaching the daily limit and stocks like Jianglong Shipbuilding and Beifang Changlong rising over 10% [5] Stock Highlights - Notable stock performances included: - Weidao Nano at 63.55, up 10.37% [2] - Rongjie Co. at 59.35, up 10.01% [4] - Changcheng Military Industry at 53.55, up 10.00% [5] - Fujian local stocks remained active, with Jiayuan Wang achieving four consecutive limits and Pingtan Development and Longzhou Co. achieving three consecutive limits [2][3] Economic Indicators - The onshore RMB appreciated slightly against the USD, with the central parity rate set at 7.0816, up 9 points from the previous day [11]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The supply of primary lead is increasing, while the production of recycled lead is rising rapidly due to expanding profits. Although primary lead smelting is undergoing maintenance, the overall supply is on the rise. Consumption has temporarily stabilized, with battery factory operating rates rebounding and raw material purchases increasing. The price of lead is expected to fluctuate, with a recommended range - bound trading strategy. Long - short arbitrage between domestic and foreign markets should be continued due to the increase in domestic lead inventories [3][5]. - The price range of lead is estimated to be between 17,200 - 17,700 yuan/ton, and the five - location total lead inventory has increased, though the absolute inventory remains at a historically low level compared to the same period [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Transaction Aspect - **Price and Spread** - The closing price of the main SHFE lead contract last week was 17,495 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 0.43%. The closing price of the night session yesterday was 17,440 yuan/ton, with a night - session decline of 0.31%. The LME lead (0 - 3) spot premium decreased from - 10.74 to - 23.09 dollars/ton. The premium for lead in the bonded area remained unchanged at 95 dollars/ton, and the spot premium for Shanghai 1 lead remained at 0 yuan/ton. The spread between recycled lead and primary lead decreased from - 50 to - 100 yuan/ton, and the spread between the near - month and the first - continuous contract increased from - 60 to - 50 yuan/ton [6]. - **Inventory** - SHFE lead warehouse receipts inventory increased by 9,124 tons to 31,027 tons, and the total SHFE lead inventory increased by 4,208 tons to 42,790 tons. Social inventory increased by 3,100 tons to 34,900 tons, and LME lead inventory increased by 18,775 tons to 222,475 tons, with the proportion of cancelled warrants decreasing by 7.78 percentage points to 42.17% [6]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest** - The trading volume of the main SHFE lead contract last week was 37,346 lots, an increase of 10,140 lots compared to the previous week, and the open interest was 38,417 lots, a decrease of 21,401 lots. The trading volume of LME 3 - month lead was 17,127 lots, an increase of 6,820 lots, and the open interest was 142,000 lots, an increase of 6,194 lots [6]. 3.2 Supply Aspect - **Lead Concentrate** - The import processing fee for 60% grade lead concentrate has remained at a low level. The actual consumption of lead concentrate has shown an upward trend. The profit from imported lead concentrate has increased, while the profit from domestic lead concentrate has remained stable. The operating rate of lead concentrate has shown fluctuations over the years [23][24]. - **Primary and Recycled Lead** - Primary lead production has increased, but some primary smelters in Anhui and other regions will enter the maintenance cycle. The profit of recycled lead has continued to expand, with stable prices and sufficient supply of waste batteries. Recycled lead enterprises in Anhui and Henan have continued to increase production [5]. 3.3 Demand Aspect - **Lead - Acid Batteries** - The operating rate of lead - acid battery enterprises has rebounded, and the monthly finished - product inventory days of battery enterprises and dealers have shown certain fluctuations. The export volume of batteries has also changed over the years [42]. - **Terminal Consumption** - The actual consumption of lead has shown an upward trend. The production of automobiles and motorcycles has also shown certain changes over the years, which has an impact on the demand for lead [44].

Core Viewpoint - In September, major A-share indices experienced an overall upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.64%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 6.54%, and the ChiNext Index gaining 12.04% by the end of the month [2]. Market Performance - As of September 30, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3882.78, reflecting a daily increase of 20.25 points or 0.52% [3]. - The total trading volume for both the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 218.141 billion [3]. Top Performing Stocks - The top-performing stock in September was Shoukai Co., with a cumulative increase of 181.20%, driven by market speculation related to its indirect connection with Yushu Technology [5]. - Haibo Technology saw a cumulative increase of 153.52%, attributed to the strong demand for energy storage cells, with its stock reaching a new high of 345.55 yuan [7]. - Pinming Technology recorded a 141.28% increase, influenced by a significant stock transfer agreement that did not change the control of the company [8][9]. Company Highlights - Shoukai Co. reported a revenue of approximately 18.039 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 105.19%, but also recorded a net loss of about 1.839 billion yuan [5]. - Haibo Technology, which focuses on electrochemical energy storage systems, reported a revenue of 4.522 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.66%, with a net profit of 316 million yuan, up 12.05% [7]. - Pinming Technology, which specializes in digital construction technology, announced a stock transfer agreement involving approximately 12.552 million shares, valued at about 496 million yuan [8][9].

Core Insights - In September, the A-share market showed an overall upward trend, with major indices experiencing gains, including a 0.64% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index, a 6.54% rise in the Shenzhen Component Index, and a 12.04% increase in the ChiNext Index [1] Group 1: Top Performing Stocks - Among the top ten stocks in September, nine recorded gains exceeding 100%, with the highest being Shoukai Co., Ltd. at 181.20% [2][3] - Haibo Sichuang ranked second with a monthly increase of 153.52%, driven by strong demand in the energy storage sector [5] - Pinming Technology achieved a 141.28% increase, influenced by significant corporate developments regarding potential changes in control [6][7] Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Shoukai Co., Ltd. experienced a surge in stock price starting September 3, attributed to its indirect association with Yushu Technology, which announced plans for an IPO [4] - Haibo Sichuang's stock price rose significantly due to the booming demand for energy storage cells, with major battery manufacturers operating at full capacity [5] - Pinming Technology's stock was temporarily suspended due to discussions about a potential change in control, but resumed trading after the matter was resolved without a change in control [6][7]