全球化贸易
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一代官商的体制化死路:当世界首富遭遇民族英雄
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-16 13:18
Core Insights - The article discusses the historical significance of silver trade and its impact on China's economy and civilization, highlighting how China became the ultimate destination for global silver during the 16th to 18th centuries [2][5][6]. Group 1: Historical Context - The influx of silver into China was a result of Western colonial powers seeking to exchange their silver for Chinese goods, marking a significant trade imbalance [4][5]. - China's "silver standard" monetary system created a massive and stable demand for silver, making it the final destination for global silver [3][5]. Group 2: Economic Dynamics - China acted as both a "perfect consumer" and "ultimate producer," absorbing global silver and providing unparalleled luxury goods such as tea, porcelain, and silk, which the West could not match [3][4]. - The trade surplus generated from this dynamic was a reward for China's unified civilization and mature economic structure [5][7]. Group 3: Systemic Challenges - The reliance on silver trade led to a lack of urgency for internal reforms within the Qing government, creating a path dependency that hindered necessary changes [12][28]. - The eventual shift in trade dynamics, particularly after the Industrial Revolution, exposed the vulnerabilities of China's traditional agricultural and handicraft-based economy [13][29]. Group 4: Individual Narratives - The article highlights the contrasting fates of two historical figures: Wu Bingjian, the world's richest man, and Lin Zexu, a national hero, illustrating the tension between commercial interests and national sovereignty [20][21]. - Wu Bingjian's wealth was tied to the Qing dynasty's system, which ultimately became a trap, leading to his downfall as the system collapsed [10][28]. Group 5: Future Implications - The narrative suggests that a new governance system is needed to reconcile the interests of commercial capital and national sovereignty, which was not achievable in the 19th-century Qing dynasty [33].
扛不住美国收割!欧盟调转矛头对准中国,殊不知正加速衰退
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-04 04:44
近年来,欧盟面临的经济挑战愈加严峻,主要有两个原因。首先,俄乌冲突给欧盟带来了长期的经济压 力。各成员国不仅要提供对乌克兰的军事援助,而且随着冲突局势的持续,援助将难以停止,这使得欧盟 各国的财政负担日益沉重。其次,自特朗普执政以来,美国对欧盟的"收割"策略愈发明显。通过美欧贸易 协议,美国不仅让欧盟为其购买能源和军火,还推动欧盟的工业企业向美国转移,导致欧盟在一些领域失 去了竞争优势。面对这样的不公平条约,欧盟并未对美国采取反制措施,反而将注意力转向了中国。 其次,欧盟可能低估了中国的反制能力。必须认识到,欧盟之所以能够推动全球化贸易,过去几十年受益 于此。如今,欧盟如果采取贸易保护主义,不仅会伤害到全球化带来的利益,还可能触动中国的反制措 施。比如,欧盟若对中国钢铁产品加征关税,中国可以通过反制措施在欧盟的脆弱环节进行反击。中国已 经启动了对欧盟猪肉及相关副产品的反倾销调查。此外,欧盟发展工业所需的稀土资源,几乎只能依赖中 国供应。若中国卡住这一资源供应,欧盟的工业复兴将变得更加困难。 因此,欧盟试图通过对中国加税来解决自身工业困境,实际上是一个误判。面对美国的压力和中国的反 制,欧盟可能会陷入更深的困境 ...
18天没等到电话,美国先扛不住了,特朗普:下调关税,要对华友好
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 07:12
美国总统特朗普在贸易战升级后只坚持了18天,就已经处理不了烂摊子了。 日前特朗普也终于不等电话了,直接表示准备"大幅度减免对华关税",对华保持友好。 为什么扬言要"斗到最后"的美国政府率先求和了? 美国能源业单月损失巨大,许多小型能源企业面临着资金链断裂和破产的风险,这些企业还有不少之前是支持特朗普的。 包括大豆、肉类等"深红州"基本盘,都体验到了市场震荡。 在美国的媒体上,所报道的中美贸易战的正式打响是从4日开始的。 以中国向美国还击"对等关税"为节点,特朗普的态度不到两周就出现了各种"里程碑"式的变化。 先是贝森特强硬威胁,表示如果谁报复就会受到严重代价; 后续9日特朗普又宣布对中国单独加税,要对华战斗到底; 11日特朗普再度表态,希望能讨论达成协议的问题,他声称正在等中国的电话; 过了不久之后白宫又声称"电话应该让中国先打""球在中国的一方"。 与此同时美国一边释放谈判信号,一边将关税加到145%的水平线上,完全看不到诚意所在。 那么回顾过去的这半个月,到底发生了什么事情? 首先是美国的能源与农业产业在贸易战中遭受重创。 在能源领域,中国作为美国原油的重要进口国,大幅削减了从美国的进口量。 据统计,贸易 ...