全球能源格局变化

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从工业巨人到技术“被卡”,俄罗斯连燃气轮机都搞不好,要从伊朗进口,工业自信何在?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-03 06:01
随着俄乌冲突的加剧,西方国家,特别是美国,对俄罗斯实施了严厉的经济制裁。这直接影响了俄罗斯在燃气轮机领域的自主生产能力。过去,俄罗斯依赖 德国西门子和美国通用的技术产品,但如今,制裁让这些供应渠道被切断,俄罗斯不得不面对一系列挑战。在如"北极LNG-2"这样的重大项目中,燃气轮机 的短缺造成了数十亿美元的损失,甚至连军舰和潜艇的动力系统也因缺乏零部件而停滞不前,形成了尴尬的"动弹不得"局面。 在2025年9月,伊朗能源部长宣布,伊朗将向俄罗斯出口MGT-75型燃气轮机。这一消息迅速引起了全球的关注。表面上看,这似乎有些荒谬,但实际上,这 背后隐藏着俄罗斯面临的工业危机与日益复杂的地缘政治局势。曾经是全球工业舞台上的重要一员,俄罗斯如今竟然需要向一个相对年轻的制造商寻求技术 支持,令人不禁深思。 要理解这一切,首先要从历史讲起。苏联时期,俄罗斯在燃气轮机领域曾是世界领先者。然而,苏联解体后,许多关键技术和研发 基地被分裂,尤其是乌克兰。自那时起,俄罗斯的工业体系在许多领域出现了断层,尤其在高端制造领域,燃气轮机的研发成为了巨大的痛点。 此时,伊朗的"帮助"显得尤为讽刺。伊朗的MGT-75型燃气轮机虽然宣称已经实 ...
谁还敢炸?北溪管道爆炸3年后,中俄终于签下大单!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-01 14:38
2022年9月26日,波罗的海突然冒出大量气泡,丹麦和瑞典的监测设备捕捉到强烈的水下爆炸信号。北溪一号和二号的多条管道几乎同时遭遇炸裂,局面十 分震惊。那次爆炸导致的甲烷泄漏量超过50万吨,相当于1100万辆汽车一年的排放量,成为历史上最严重的温室气体排放事故之一。 至今,关于谁制造了这次爆炸,依然没有明确的答案。俄罗斯指责是美国和北约的合谋,目的是迫使欧洲购买美国的液化天然气;而西方媒体则暗示,可能 是俄罗斯自己策划的;德国、瑞典和丹麦更是宣布调查"终止",以"证据不足"为由。这场爆炸的真相成了全球关注却无人敢揭开的秘密。 然而,有一点可以肯定:北溪的爆炸彻底打乱了全球能源格局。就在爆炸发生的同一年,欧洲的天然气价格飙升至历史峰值,是2021年的10倍。能源公司纷 纷倒闭,制造业纷纷迁出,欧洲的经济一度陷入所谓的"能源寒冬"。为了应对能源危机,德国不得不加大从美国进口液化天然气,2022年比2021年增加了三 分之一,同时还与卡塔尔、挪威等国签订了大规模合同。可是,液化天然气的运输成本极高,导致欧洲企业怨声载道,许多化工厂和电解铝厂不得不缩减产 能。 最近,有一个重要消息传来:中俄正式签署了"西伯利亚力量2 ...
特朗普罕见后悔,美商务部长开出和解条件,印度最多硬气两个月?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-07 15:22
Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the U.S. imposing a 50% tariff on Indian imports of Russian oil, which has significantly increased since the Ukraine conflict, leading to tensions between the U.S. and India [3][6] - Trump's initial post suggested regret over losing India to China and Russia, indicating a shift in U.S. foreign policy perception [2][9] - The U.S. continues to apply pressure on India, with expectations that India will eventually negotiate and concede to U.S. demands, despite India's firm stance on maintaining its energy needs and trade partnerships [4][6] Group 2 - The geopolitical landscape is shifting, with India strengthening ties with Russia for energy security, which poses a challenge to U.S. influence in the region [6][7] - The ongoing trade dispute highlights the complexities of major power dynamics, as India seeks to balance its relationships with both the U.S. and Russia [9][10] - The potential for a tighter alliance between China, Russia, and India could emerge if the U.S. continues its hardline approach, which may have broader implications for global trade [10]
美没想到,连老天都在帮中方,中企官宣的新项目,成压垮美最后一根稻草
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-23 10:50
Group 1 - The article discusses the ongoing energy conflict between the US and China, highlighting China's strategic moves to counter US tariffs aimed at limiting Sino-Russian oil trade [1] - China's "Red Star" gas field has emerged as a significant development in shale gas, with a production capacity of 165 billion cubic meters, marking a breakthrough in deep shale gas exploration [2][4] - The successful development of the "Red Star" gas field is attributed to advanced technologies, including millimeter-scale seismic imaging, ultra-deep horizontal drilling, and innovative fracturing fluids, which have tripled the output per well [4][6] Group 2 - China has significantly increased its imports of Russian oil, with daily imports rising from 40,000 barrels to 75,000 barrels, facilitated by the East Siberia-Pacific Ocean pipeline and maritime routes [8] - The shift to using the Chinese yuan for 87% of oil transactions has reduced exchange losses for Russian banks and strengthened Sino-Russian energy cooperation [8][9] - The US shale oil industry is facing severe challenges, with a projected 70% drop in crude oil exports to China by mid-2025, leading to potential bankruptcies among shale oil companies [10] Group 3 - The US's unilateral sanctions have led to discontent among allies, with countries like Germany and France refusing to comply, and India continuing to purchase Russian oil despite high tariffs [11] - China holds a dominant position in global rare earth processing, controlling 90% of the capacity, and has reduced military rare earth export quotas by 30% in response to US sanctions [12] - China is enhancing its energy security through initiatives like converting 120 million tons of coal into aviation fuel and maintaining strategic oil reserves sufficient for 90 days of national consumption [12]
俄罗斯石油转向:印度退缩,中国加码
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-09 19:37
Group 1 - India, once a major buyer of Russian oil, is now reducing its purchases due to its reliance on the US market and diminishing discounts from Russia [1][2] - The discount on Russian oil for India has decreased from $14-16 per barrel at the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict to $2.5-4 per barrel, significantly impacting profit margins for Indian refineries [1] - Western price cap policies on Russian oil have forced India to seek alternative sources of oil supply [1] Group 2 - For China, the situation presents a favorable opportunity as the average price of Russian oil imports in the first half of 2025 is projected to be $10 lower per barrel than international market prices [2] - The energy cooperation between China and Russia is evolving beyond simple transactions, with increasing use of the yuan in energy trade, which undermines the dominance of the US dollar [2] - Russia is adjusting transportation routes to ensure stable oil supply to China, and both countries are exploring pilot projects for digital currency payments, enhancing future energy cooperation [2]