美国特使与乌克兰方面的沟通未能取得明显进展，使得俄乌局势仍处僵持。尽管避险情绪有所回落，但 这一不确定性仍然在盘面下方提供了一定缓冲，限制金价继续扩大跌幅。与此同时，市场普遍关注周五 即将公布的PCE通胀数据，以判断美联储未来的降息节奏是否会出现变化。当天的挑战者裁员报告和初 请失业金数据也可能在北美时段引发短线波动，使得交易情绪在数据前更趋谨慎。 技术走势显示，4164-4163区域仍是本周最重要的下方支撑位置，一旦跌破，空头可能尝试将价格推动 至4100以及4085美元附近的技术重叠区。这里包括4小时200周期EMA和自10月底以来的上行趋势线， 支撑力度较强。向上方面，4245-4250美元依然是短线突破的核心阻力位；若能有效站稳，该结构有望 打开通往4277-4278区域的空间，并有机会尝试靠近4300整数位，该表现将被视为多头重新掌控节奏的 信号。 周四欧洲早盘，黄金继续在4200美元下方窄幅偏弱运行。风险偏好增强与美元短线企稳，使得盘面整体 呈现上下受限的态势。虽然价格并未出现明显下探，但市场在关键通胀数据公布前保持谨慎，周线低点 一带成为多空短线拉锯的中心。同时，投资者对美联储下周降息的预期持续 ...

格隆汇11月27日｜三菱日联分析师Soojin Kim指出，黄金价格持稳于高位，因市场对美联储将于12月降 息的预期持续增强。最新公布的初请失业金数据料难以改变市场对利率前景的判断。随着以鸽派立场著 称的白宫经济顾问哈塞特成为美联储主席的热门人选，市场对降息的信心进一步增强。 来源：格隆汇APP ...

新华财经北京11月18日电美国政府官网显示，截至10月18日当周初请失业金人数为23.2万人；续请失业金人数为195.7万人，较此前一周的续请失业金 人数194.7万人有所增长。同时，截至9月20日当周初请失业金人数从21.8万人上修至21.9万人，四周均值从23.75万人上修至23.775万人。截至9月13日当 周的续请失业金人数从192.6万人下修至191.6万人。美国政府官网暂未公布截至9月27日、10月4日、10月11日、10月25日、11月1日、11月8日当周的初 请失业金数据，若政府未关门，6组数据本应已公布。 （文章来源：新华财经） | 09/13/2025 195,433 84.3 232,000 240,250 1,718,818 89.7 1,916,000 1,927,500 1.1 1.3 152,830,813 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 09/20/2025 180,992 82.8 219,000 237,750 | | | | 0 88.3 | 0 | 0 0.0 0.0 152,830 ...

Group 1 - The offshore RMB against the US dollar broke the 7.10 mark for the first time since November last year on September 17 [1] - The onshore RMB closed at 7.1163 against the US dollar on September 16, up 65 basis points from the previous trading day, marking the highest closing price since November 6 of last year [4] - Hong Kong is positioned as the largest offshore RMB business hub globally, with plans to enhance market liquidity and global reach through new funding arrangements [4] Group 2 - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 0.4% month-on-month, with a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, indicating stable inflation [4] - Initial jobless claims in the US rose by 27,000 to 263,000, the highest level since October 2021, leading to increased expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5] - Economists predict that the RMB will continue to appreciate against the US dollar due to several factors, including expectations of US rate cuts and ongoing support from China's exports [5][6] Group 3 - The RMB is expected to potentially break the 7 mark against the US dollar, influenced by changes in US Federal Reserve policies and cross-border capital flows [6] - The recent appreciation of the RMB is attributed to the approaching Fed rate cuts and increased foreign capital inflows into China's capital markets [6]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming unemployment claims data release tonight is a significant event that could impact market movements, particularly in gold trading, which may present both opportunities and risks for investors [1] Group 1 - The initial jobless claims data is expected to influence market sentiment and trading strategies [1] - The gold market is currently experiencing a pullback during the European trading session, which could be interpreted as a buying opportunity or a potential risk depending on the unemployment claims outcome [1]