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关于如何卖出的话题总结一下
猛兽派选股· 2025-09-15 08:05
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that trading strategies and tactics are interconnected, and there is no isolated buy or sell action, only an acceptable plan [1] - A reasonable risk-reward ratio should be at least 2:1, meaning a 7% stop-loss should correspond to a 14% profit expectation [1] - For breakout buying, if there is no floating profit within five trading days, it may indicate a wrong choice, and a stop-loss should be considered at a 3-5% loss [1] Group 2 - After achieving a floating profit of over 8%, three tactical options are available: using a 7-8% retracement as a stop-loss threshold, calculating a moving stop-loss based on the breakout candle, or employing the TR holding line as a stop-loss threshold [3] - A stable strong trend stock typically will not easily breach the TR holding line, and when it does, selling can be done in batches or all at once [5] - For most stocks outside of leading stocks, selling a portion of the position after achieving a 20% floating profit is often a good choice, as excessive greed can lead to profit loss [6] Group 3 - The volume-weighted moving average is superior in support and sensitivity compared to EMA and SMA, and practical comparisons are encouraged [8] - Momentum divergence remains an essential technique in selling strategies, with VAD and BIAS indicators being particularly useful for identifying buy and sell timing [10]
高胜率点兑现
猛兽派选股· 2025-05-16 05:41
Group 1 - The article discusses a short-term contrarian trading opportunity following a market pullback, indicating that when sentiment indicators drop, it may be a good time to buy [1] - The average stock price index has shown a bullish engulfing pattern, similar to previous market behavior, suggesting potential upward movement [1] - Despite the Shanghai Composite Index being in the red, the focus is on the average stock price index, which is more representative of the broader market sentiment [1] Group 2 - The sentiment has dropped from a peak, and buying during this phase has led to a nearly all-green performance in the robot-curated stock pool [1] - There is an optimistic outlook for continuous upward movement based on 5-minute and 30/60-minute structural analysis, although overall market trading volume remains low [1] - The securities sector has struggled with a lack of momentum, indicating a challenging environment for significant price movements [1] Group 3 - The article highlights two key points in the market's trajectory that show similar patterns, suggesting that a volume breakout next week could lead to a new upward trend [1] - An important article is anticipated over the weekend, which will discuss the growth process of the current bull market since September 24 [1]
择时的本质是情绪管理
猛兽派选股· 2025-04-12 04:46
在连续二十几期的情绪观察之后,不知道读者是什么体会,我自己总结了一下主要是以下几点: 因此,比较稳妥的策略是: 关于情绪指标的延伸阅读: 关于动量指标的延伸阅读: 《 RSR(RSV、RPS)和趋势模板的背景含义 》 市场的日常是非理性的,因此会有波动起伏;市场又是很理性的,因为非理性终究要回归。 所谓循环和规律,只是对历史数据的统计归纳,如果生搬硬套必然犯刻舟求剑的毛病。总结用归纳法,实战用演绎法。交易演绎法,不是用归纳得到的经 验去求必然因果,而是不断评估大局和局部的胜率和赔率,更新自己的对策,西洋学说称之为贝叶斯主义。 择时的本质是情绪管理。 市场起伏在统计学上有迹可循,始终循环,但不简单重复; 方向可以预期,但无法准确预测,尤其无法预测涨跌幅度; 大多数周期,回撤比上涨要快,也即浮盈很容易变成浮亏; 胜率在情绪爬升期,赔率在情绪冰点,情绪高温区二率皆输; 动量背离是情绪反转前兆,动量的本源就是情绪; 情绪的最小张力单元就是TR,向上或者向下突破TR预示情绪反转; 1. 冰点抓胜率和赔率双赢,极端超卖区域的快速反弹; 2. 40周期情绪爬升过程中,抓更短周期的情绪回落点的胜率(埃尔德的三重滤网); 3. ...