Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment in the A-share market is attributed to multiple factors, but the downward space is considered limited, with a favorable policy window expected in late October, presenting a potential opportunity for positioning [1][4][5]. Group 1: Reasons for Market Adjustment - The adjustment is driven by escalating US-China trade tensions, leading to concerns over global supply chain stability and foreign trade environment [2]. - Technical adjustment pressure exists due to significant gains in the A-share market since the beginning of the year, prompting profit-taking among investors [2][3]. - The complex and changing international geopolitical landscape has contributed to a cautious market sentiment [2][3]. Group 2: Market Outlook - The market is expected to have limited downward space, with a favorable policy window in late October that could boost market sentiment [4][5]. - The upcoming 20th National Congress of the Communist Party is anticipated to provide clarity on economic development strategies, which may create investment opportunities [4]. - The Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cut at the end of October is likely to improve liquidity conditions for the A-share market and attract foreign capital [4]. Group 3: Long-term Market Sentiment - Fund companies maintain a positive long-term outlook for the A-share market, emphasizing that the foundation for a bull market remains solid [6]. - The focus is expected to shift towards internal drivers, with attention on policy benefits from the 14th Five-Year Plan and the certainty of third-quarter earnings [6]. - Investment strategies may include a balanced approach, focusing on sectors benefiting from domestic policies and those with improving fundamentals at relatively low valuations [6].

Market Performance - On October 14, the A-share market experienced a correction, with the ChiNext index falling nearly 4% [1][2]. Analysis of Market Movements - The recent escalation of China-U.S. trade tensions has raised concerns about the stability of global supply chains and the foreign trade environment, particularly in areas such as shipping costs, rare earth controls, and tariff threats [2]. - Technical adjustment pressures within the market have also contributed to the volatility, as the A-share market has accumulated significant gains since the beginning of the year, prompting some profit-taking amid external disturbances [2]. - The complex and changing international geopolitical landscape, including uncertainties in the policy directions of major economies like France and Japan, has led to a cautious market sentiment [2]. Impact of Trade Tensions - The recent escalation in China-U.S. trade tensions has implications beyond traditional trade, with China's export controls on rare earths and related technologies targeting the core supply chains of the global high-tech industry [2]. - The U.S. has threatened higher tariffs, which exacerbates tensions in the global trade system, creating uncertainty and risk aversion in the market, particularly affecting industries reliant on China-U.S. trade and those closely tied to globalization in high-tech and manufacturing sectors [2]. Market Outlook - Short-term volatility in the A-share market may increase, but there is no need for excessive pessimism in the medium term [3]. - The evolution of China-U.S. relations, especially with key events like the upcoming APEC summit, will be critical observation points for the market [3]. - The market focus is expected to shift towards internal drivers, particularly the policy dividends from the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the certainty of third-quarter earnings [3]. - In terms of asset allocation, a balanced strategy is recommended, focusing on sectors that highlight strategic value and benefit from domestic industrial policy support, such as technology and new energy [3]. - Additionally, sectors with relatively low valuations and improving fundamentals may also present investment opportunities [3]. - Continuous monitoring of incremental capital movements and changes in the external environment is advised for flexible portfolio adjustments [3].