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原油价格变动
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今晚,油价或下调
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that domestic refined oil retail prices are expected to decrease significantly, marking the tenth reduction of the year, with a predicted drop of over 50 yuan per ton [1][2] - The latest data shows that the reference crude oil price change rate is at -1.50%, leading to anticipated reductions of 70 yuan per ton for gasoline and 65 yuan per ton for diesel, translating to decreases of 0.05 yuan/liter for 92 gasoline, 0.06 yuan/liter for 95 gasoline, and 0.06 yuan/liter for 0 diesel [1][3] - Since 2025, there have been 22 rounds of adjustments in domestic refined oil retail prices, with the current trend being "seven increases, nine decreases, and six unchanged" [1][2] Group 2 - In the wholesale market, both gasoline and diesel prices have recently increased, with 92 gasoline priced at 7334 yuan/ton (up 0.12%) and 0 diesel at 6578 yuan/ton (up 1.90%) [3] - The increase in wholesale prices is attributed to previous declines, low upstream profits, and relatively low social inventory levels, which have enhanced the willingness of upstream suppliers to maintain prices [3] - Diesel prices have seen a larger increase than gasoline due to sustained demand [3] Group 3 - Looking ahead, the international crude oil market may face downward pressure due to geopolitical factors and the ongoing expectation of increased production from OPEC+ [4] - Analysts suggest that macroeconomic sentiment fluctuations could lead to risks in the market, potentially resulting in a downward spiral in both macro and fundamental aspects [4]