我们继续推荐半导体设备，关注华峰测控、强一股份、长川科技、精智达、金海通、矽电股份、精测电子、微导 纳米、迈为股份、帝尔激光等。 #光伏。 【广发机械】专用设备跟踪 #半导体设备。 海力士表示，所有客户需求都无法满足，目前DRAM及NAND库存仅剩约4周，且2026年HBM产能已全面售罄，存 储景气度依旧，价格有望继续上涨；字节的Seedance2.0以及智谱的GLM5，显示国产大模型的进步，同时春节期间 的使用体验凸显了算力的紧缺。 我们继续推荐半导体设备，关注华峰测控、强一股份、长川科技、精智达、金海通、矽电 【广发机械】专用设备跟踪 #半导体设备。 海力士表示，所有客户需求都无法满足，目前DRAM及NAND库存仅剩约4周，且2026年HBM产能已全面售罄，存 储景气度依旧，价格有望继续上涨；字节的Seedance2.0以及智谱的GLM5，显示国产大模型的进步，同时春节期间 的使用体验凸显了算力的紧缺。 聚变方面，关注永鼎股份、王子新材、联创光电、精达股份、合锻智能、国力电子、旭光电子、国光电气等；传 统裂变堆方面，关注中国铀业、江苏神通、应流股份等。 具体细节欢迎交流。 太空光伏，T启动美国太阳能工厂的 ...

内容概况：白银是光伏电池金属化的关键材料，用于制备导电银浆。通过丝网印刷工艺将银浆印刷于电 池片表面，经过高温烧结后形成金属电极，起到收集光生电子、汇流并导出电流的作用。相比其他金 属，白银的优势主要体现在：（1）化学稳定性：银在高温烧结和长期户外使用中不易氧化；（2）工艺 成熟度：银浆与丝网印刷工艺配合度较好，产能和良率较高。白银是光伏银浆重要原材料，光伏行业已 成为白银工业需求中增长最快、占比最大的领域，据世界白银协会数据，2019年全球光伏行业白银需求 量仅为2330吨，占全球白银总需求量的7.4%。而伴随着光伏产业的不断扩张，到2024年，全球光伏行 业白银需求量达6147吨，占比达17.0%。2025年在光伏行业加速"去银"进程的背景下，光伏用银需求有 所下降，约为6086吨，同比下降1%。中国作为全球最大的光伏制造国与装机国，光伏领域对白银的需 求强劲，带动作用更加明显。数据显示，2024年中国光伏领域白银需求量近5700吨，占全球光伏领域白 银需求量的比重超92%，充分体现了中国光伏产业的全球主导地位对白银需求的核心拉动作用。价格方 面，2025年第四季度以来，白银价格强势上行不断突破历史高点， ...

导电性好、热导性强的特性让白银成为光伏电池"血液"、电动汽车的"神经"、人工智能的"维生素"，随着新兴产业推动白银工业需求 不断上涨，近年银价也一直缓慢爬升，导致白银供不应求。 今年以来，有色金属价格坐上"过山车"，其中白银波动最大——2月初价格较1月底高点几乎腰斩。资源稀少、供给弹性低是银价猛涨 猛跌的重要原因。 导电性好、热导性强的特性让白银成为光伏电池"血液"、电动汽车的"神经"、人工智能的"维生素"，随着新兴产业推动白银工业需求 不断上涨，近年银价也一直缓慢爬升，导致白银供不应求。 白银如何增储上产？业内认为，要靠深部勘探技术的突破、选冶工艺的精细化升级和尾矿的资源化利用。此外，光伏行业今年也在探索 电池"去银"和"回收银"技术。未来，再生银、"城市矿山"也将更好保障我国白银供应链安全。 从贵金属到工业金属 2024年我国白银总消费9428吨，其中工业需求高达8567吨。近年来，白银的工业金属属性越来越重，成为银价水涨船高的重要原 因。 世界白银协会预计，未来5年，随着核心科技领域需求加速增长，全球白银工业需求有望进一步扩大。光伏、电动汽车及其基础设施、 数据中心与AI等领域，将在2030年前持续推高 ...

每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 申万宏源证券指出，银价高涨导致光伏行业降本压力凸显，"去银化"成为电池量产的迫切需求。白 银作为光伏电池浆料的核心原材料，其价格大幅上涨已直接影响到电池片制造成本。N型电池 （TOPCon、HJT、BC等）已成为行业主流技术路线，相较于传统P型电池，其单瓦银耗大幅提升。激 光技术凭借高精高效优势，成为光伏去银化转型的核心支撑，标配属性持续提升。激光转印技术可实现 30%-40%的银浆节约，同时可提升电池转换效率，全面适配各类高效电池路线。激光图形化、开膜与烧 结等工艺也能精准配合去银化技术方案，助力降低对高价贵金属的依赖。 创业板新能源ETF国泰（159387）跟踪的是创新能源指数（399266），单日涨跌幅限制达20%，该 指数从市场中选取涉及清洁能源、新能源汽车及储能技术等业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映 新能 ...

申万宏源证券指出，银价高涨导致光伏行业降本压力凸显，"去银化"成为电池量产的迫切需求。白银作 为光伏电池浆料的核心原材料，其价格大幅上涨已直接影响到电池片制造成本，N型电池单瓦银耗大幅 提升更增加了成本压力。在此背景下，激光技术凭借高精高效优势，成为光伏去银化转型的核心支撑， 其设备标配属性持续提升。具体而言，激光转印技术可实现30%-40%的银浆节约，同时提升电池转换效 率，全面适配TOPCon、HJT、BC等各类高效电池路线；激光图形化与激光烧结等工艺也能精准配合电 镀铜等"去银化"方案，助力降低对高价贵金属的依赖。 创业板新能源ETF国泰（159387）跟踪的是创新能源指数（399266），单日涨跌幅限制达20%，该指数 从沪深市场中选取涉及太阳能、风能、电动汽车等清洁能源技术及相关产业链的上市公司证券作为指数 样本，以反映新能源领域在技术创新与可持续发展方面的整体表现。行业配置侧重于可再生能源及相关 产业链。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 去银化推动光伏行业降本增效，2月3日，创业板新能源ETF国泰（159387）涨超2%，近10日净流入超 4.6亿元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is facing significant challenges due to soaring silver prices, which have become a major external variable impacting the industry's cost structure and operational viability [1][5][20]. Group 1: Silver Price Impact - As of January 26, silver prices have surged to over 27,600 yuan per kilogram, leading to a dramatic increase in the cost of silver used in PV cells, which now accounts for 64% of the total cost of battery cells [2][5]. - The price of silver has increased from over 7,000 yuan to more than 27,000 yuan per kilogram over the past year, creating a critical situation for the PV industry [5][12]. - The rising costs of silver and other materials have resulted in a significant increase in the overall cost structure of PV components, with silver paste costs rising by 77% and aluminum frame costs increasing by 8% [8][10]. Group 2: Industry Response and Strategies - The PV industry must establish a flexible pricing mechanism linked to silver prices to mitigate the financial strain on midstream companies, ensuring that costs are shared across the supply chain [18][19]. - Companies are encouraged to adopt strategies similar to those in other industries facing raw material price volatility, such as vertical integration, long-term contracts, and material substitution [9][20]. - The industry should focus on technological advancements to reduce silver consumption, with short-term goals to lower silver usage in PV cells and long-term objectives to develop silver-free technologies [21][22][24]. Group 3: Collaborative Efforts - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association is urged to take a leading role in coordinating industry responses to the silver price crisis, including establishing a dynamic pricing platform and promoting collaborative purchasing strategies [26][17]. - A unified approach to pricing and cost-sharing across the entire PV supply chain is essential to prevent financial distress among midstream companies and ensure the industry's sustainability [20][25]. - The establishment of a silver price dynamic warning platform and the development of standards for silver consumption in PV products are recommended to enhance market stability and quality assurance [26].

Core Viewpoint - The silver price surge is significantly impacting the production costs of the photovoltaic (PV) industry, leading to a restructured cost structure and increased pressure on profitability, with a consensus emerging around the need for silver alternatives in the industry [1]. Group 1: Price Dynamics - The price of silver paste has become the largest variable, with significant increases in January, leading to a rise in the unit production cost of battery cells and modules by 0.03 yuan per watt [2]. - The cost of silver now accounts for 20% of the total production cost of modules, a substantial increase from 7% in Q3 2025 and 11% in Q4 2025, making it the core cost component [2]. Group 2: Impact of Silver Price Surge - The rise in silver prices has redefined the cost structure of the PV industry, with silver paste now constituting over 20% of component costs, compared to less than 10% previously, leading to severe profit compression for companies [3]. - Major companies are expected to report significant losses in 2025, with Tongwei Co. projected to lose 9-10 billion yuan and Trina Solar expected to lose 6.5-7.5 billion yuan, resulting in an overall industry gross margin drop from 15% in 2024 to below 5% [3]. Group 3: Challenges in Price Transmission - Companies are attempting to raise prices in response to cost pressures, but face limitations due to market conditions, with only short-term relief available through export tax rebates [4]. - The market for PV components is characterized by oversupply, limiting the ability of companies to pass on costs to downstream project developers, which may lead to loss of market share if prices are raised individually [6]. Group 4: Technological Evolution and Industry Outlook - The surge in silver prices is accelerating technological innovation in the PV industry, with a focus on reducing silver dependency, which is expected to lead to a market reshuffle [7]. - By 2026, the PV industry is anticipated to operate under increased antitrust regulations and efforts to combat internal competition, with pricing closely following the cost reduction progress of leading companies [7]. Group 5: Investment Strategies - Investment focus is shifting towards companies with high efficiency and low costs, emphasizing the importance of capacity utilization rates and cost reduction progress in improving profitability [7]. - Specific investment directions include short-term solutions like silver-coated copper paste, mid-term solutions such as copper plating, and long-term exploration of pure copper paste [9].

Core Insights - The cost of silver paste in photovoltaic (PV) modules has surged from 3.4% of total costs in 2023 to 29% currently, making it the largest cost component, surpassing silicon materials [1][3] - The rising silver prices have forced PV manufacturers to increase prices and accelerate plans to replace silver with cheaper materials like copper, with an expected 17% reduction in silver usage this year [1][7] Group 1: Cost Impact - A rise of 1000 yuan per kilogram in silver price increases the cost of solar cells by 0.01 yuan per watt, which is critical for the already thin profit margins in the PV industry [2] - The current silver consumption for TOPCon cells is approximately 10-13 mg/W, and if silver prices remain high, the cost from silver paste alone could reach 0.1-0.13 yuan per watt [3] Group 2: Price Adjustments - Chinese module manufacturers have raised prices by 1.4% to 3.8%, with mainstream 500W modules now priced around 400 yuan (approximately 57 USD) [3] - Leading companies like Longi Green Energy and Aiko Solar have recently increased their shipping prices, citing rising raw material costs [3] Group 3: Industry Challenges - Mid-tier companies are facing more severe challenges compared to leading firms, with some forced to halt production due to cash flow issues, financing difficulties, and inventory buildup [4][5] - A notable example includes a battery manufacturer in Hunan that ceased operations, stating there are currently no alternative solutions [6] Group 4: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The surge in silver prices is attributed to a supply-demand imbalance, with industrial demand, including solar energy, accounting for 65% of total silver demand [6] - The silver usage in the PV industry represents over 15% of global silver production, with a projected supply-demand gap of 5,000 tons by 2025 [6] Group 5: Material Substitution Efforts - Companies like Longi Green Energy are accelerating the replacement of silver with cheaper metals, with predictions that the PV industry could reduce silver usage by 17% this year [7] - Some technological routes have the potential to lower silver content to 25%, theoretically achieving a 90% reduction [7] Group 6: Risks of Substitution - The aggressive substitution strategy carries significant risks, as the stability of copper is inferior to silver, leading to potential long-term liabilities for manufacturers if panels fail before the warranty period [8] - Current substitution methods face challenges such as unstable printing of paste and suboptimal yield rates [8]

Core Viewpoint - The surge in silver prices, which has increased over 200% since early last year, poses significant challenges for the photovoltaic (PV) industry, leading to increased production costs and potential operational disruptions [1][2][5]. Group 1: Silver Price Impact on PV Industry - Silver paste has become the largest cost component in solar modules, rising from 3.4% of total costs in 2023 to 29% currently [2]. - The cost pressure from rising silver prices is forcing some PV companies to halt production or raise prices, with major manufacturers accelerating efforts to reduce silver usage [2][3]. - A 1000 yuan/kg increase in silver price raises the cost of solar cells by 0.01 yuan per watt, which can significantly impact the operational rates of factories in the low-margin PV sector [3]. Group 2: Company Responses and Market Dynamics - Leading companies like Longi Green Energy and Aiko Solar have raised their product prices due to rising raw material costs, with prices for mainstream 500W modules increasing to around 400 yuan (approximately 57 USD) [3]. - Mid-tier companies are facing severe financial strain, leading to extreme measures such as production halts, as seen with a 2GW battery manufacturer in Hunan and the established firm Yijing Photovoltaic [4]. - Despite efforts to clear excess capacity, companies like Trina Solar and JinkoSolar are issuing profit warnings, indicating potential net losses in 2025 due to the ongoing challenges in the market [5]. Group 3: Efforts to Reduce Silver Usage - The PV industry is adopting "de-silvering" strategies to mitigate the impact of high silver prices, with Longi Green Energy announcing plans to accelerate the use of alternative metals [6]. - Analysts predict that the industry could reduce silver usage by 17% this year through technologies like copper plating and silver-coated copper [6]. - However, the aggressive shift to alternative materials carries risks, including potential long-term reliability issues, as copper is less stable than silver and may not meet warranty requirements [7].

Core Viewpoint - The surge in global silver prices is exerting additional pressure on solar panel manufacturers, who have already faced two years of losses, compounded by intense industry competition [1] Group 1: Silver Price Impact - Spot silver prices have soared to over $93 per ounce, a historical high, with prices more than tripling in the past year [1] - The cost of silver in solar panels now accounts for 29% of total panel costs, significantly up from 3.4% in 2023 and 14% last year [1] Group 2: Industry Response - Manufacturers are responding by raising prices and accelerating plans to replace silver with cheaper materials like copper [4] - In China, some component manufacturers have increased prices to over 0.8 yuan per watt, reflecting a price increase of 1.4%-3.8% from the previous week due to rising silver costs [4] - The typical price for a 500-watt solar panel is now at least 400 RMB (approximately $57) [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - Major solar companies, including Trina Solar and JinkoSolar, have warned of expected net losses again in 2025, indicating that the industry's downturn has not improved significantly despite previous self-regulatory measures [5] - The average silver paste usage in solar panels is projected to drop to 8.96 mg per watt by 2025, down from 11.2 mg in 2024, as manufacturers seek to reduce costs [6] Group 4: Risks of Material Substitution - Engineers can use various methods to replace silver with cheaper copper, but rushing this process may pose risks for manufacturers [7] - Increasing the proportion of substitutes could lead to shorter lifespans for solar panels, potentially resulting in significant liabilities for manufacturers if panels fail before the warranty period [8] Group 5: Silver Demand and Future Consumption - The solar industry accounted for about 17% of total silver demand last year, more than double its share a decade ago, which is comparable to jewelry manufacturing [8] - A slowdown in consumption could threaten the sustainability of rising silver prices, which are currently driven by speculative interest and commodity rotation effects [8] - The current high silver prices may lead to more substitutions, but strong investment demand is expected to keep prices stable in the short term [8]