"反胁迫机制是一个强有力的工具，在当今严峻的环境下，我们不应犹豫部署它，"马克龙周二在达沃斯世界经济论坛上如此表态。 马克龙所指的，是欧盟于2023年通过的一项政策工具。该工具允许欧盟对来自美国的进口商品征收关税，并限制美国的服务贸易。 这种针对医药、科技和金融等服务业的打击将是对美国经济的一记重拳，因为传统的关税战往往集中在商品领域。然而，尽管美国在商品贸易上存在逆差， 但在服务贸易上却拥有显著的顺差。 根据圣路易斯联邦储备银行的数据，美国在2024年出口了1.1万亿美元的服务，且在过去五十年中，其服务出口额始终高于进口额，这使其成为世界领先的 服务出口国。圣路易斯联储在其报告中指出，这意味着"美国可以专注于服务业并与其他国家进行贸易，从而提高效率并为消费者带来更多利益"。 美国商 务部经济分析局的数据也显示，同年美国向欧洲出口了价值4890亿美元的服务。 法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙正极力推动启动一种通常被称为贸易"火箭筒"的机制，以回应特朗普近期的威胁——即除非欧洲国家同意一项放弃格陵兰岛控 制权的协议，否则将对这些国家额外征收10%的关税。 面对唐纳德·特朗普总统可能征收更多关税的威胁，欧洲正在权衡报复 ...

【文/南极土著】 今年的达沃斯，特朗普放话要拿下格陵兰，还要对周末在格陵兰参加联合军演的8个欧洲国家加征10%关税，成了全场避不开的"房间里的大象"。 特朗普在社交媒体上晒出一张电脑合成图：图中的他正在格陵兰岛插旗，身旁一块木牌赫然写着"格陵兰岛，美国领土，始于2026年"。 欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩和法国总统马克龙都讲了话，但在真正和特朗普当面交锋前，两个人的措辞都比较克制。 直到最后，冯德莱恩才点名格陵兰问题，直说这10%的关税是个错误，美国不该这么对待盟友。她强调，欧盟和美国去年7月已经达成贸易协议，协议就是 协议，既然握了手就该守信用；欧盟和美国不只是盟友，更是朋友。至于格陵兰，丹麦的主权和领土完整不容谈判；如果美方担心的是中国和俄罗斯在北极 的存在，欧盟愿意和美国一起合作，维护北极地区的安全。 1月20日，马克龙在达沃斯论坛发表开幕致辞。 图源： 法媒 这套东西对美国并不是空喊口号，美国国防工业高度依赖欧洲提供的关键技术和服务，而这些恰恰集中在这次被特朗普点名加了关税的北欧和西欧国家手 里，从反无人机技术到情报软件都有。如果欧盟真动用出口管制，美国确实会疼。 现在欧盟心里很清楚，美国靠不住，俄罗斯又得 ...

Group 1 - The core issue at the Davos meeting was Trump's announcement of a 10% tariff on eight European countries participating in military exercises in Greenland, which was met with criticism from EU leaders [1][19] - EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen emphasized that the 10% tariff is a mistake and that the US should honor the trade agreement made in July [1][19] - French President Macron highlighted the need for Europe to unite against US pressure and mentioned the potential use of the "anti-coercion mechanism" against the US if new tariffs are imposed [2][19] Group 2 - The "anti-coercion mechanism" is described as a toolbox for sanctions that could include tariffs on US goods worth approximately $1.09 trillion, export controls, and restrictions on US investments in Europe [2][20] - European leaders are increasingly aware of the need for strategic autonomy, with discussions on enhancing defense spending and technological independence from the US [3][20] Group 3 - The EU is focusing on strengthening its defense capabilities and has been increasing defense spending in response to perceived unreliability from the US [3][20] - The discussions at Davos revealed a significant shift in European leaders' attitudes towards US relations, with calls for a more self-reliant Europe [24][25] Group 4 - Macron outlined three strategic pillars for Europe: protection, simplification, and investment, emphasizing the need to protect European industries from unfair competition [26][27] - The EU plans to initiate a new budget negotiation to increase investments in key areas such as AI, quantum technology, and defense [27][30] Group 5 - The EU is moving towards a revised cybersecurity law that mandates the removal of equipment from "high-risk suppliers," which is seen as a direct response to geopolitical tensions [31][33] - The law aims to unify member states' approaches to cybersecurity and reduce reliance on Chinese technology, particularly in critical sectors [32][34]

在美国与欧洲关系日趋紧张的背景下，时间回溯到2026年1月，一系列事件如多米诺骨牌般接连发生，预示着一场潜在的国际风暴。 故事的开端要从美国总统特朗普在"真实社交"平台上发布的一张黑白自拍照说起。照片中，他将自己冠以"关税之王"的称号，似乎预示着一场新的贸易战即 将拉开帷幕。这张照片迅速传遍欧洲，包括丹麦、挪威、瑞典、法国、德国、英国、荷兰和芬兰等八个国家无一幸免，引发了国际社会的高度关注。 紧随其后，特朗普宣布了一项重磅消息：自2月1日起，美国将对上述八个欧洲国家出口的所有商品加征10%的关税。更令人震惊的是，他还威胁称，如果这 些国家不就"完全、彻底购买格陵兰岛"与美国达成协议，关税税率将从6月1日起飙升至25%。这一强硬姿态，被外界解读为特朗普政府放弃了武力夺取格陵 兰岛的想法，转而采取经济手段向欧洲施压。 一位了解18日会谈情况的外交官用"黑手党式手段"形容特朗普的关税威胁，并表示欧盟希望在公开层面呼吁冷静，给特朗普一个"下台阶"的机会。但他同时 强调："很明显，底线已经划清，我们的忍耐已到极限。如果特朗普的关税政策实施，那么我们讨论的就不是是否采取方案，而是应该采取哪些方案。" 然而，欧盟内部在如何 ...

【导读】欧洲股市盘初走低，加密货币市场遭重挫；特朗普最新表态 加密货币市场全线走低，SOL、DOGE、SUI等均有明显跌幅。CoinGlass数据显示，最近24小时，全球共有24.79万人被爆仓，爆仓总金 额为8.74亿美元。 | | 排名 | 而种 | | 价格 | 价格(1h%) | 价格(24h%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ರ್ | 1 | BTC | | $92998.79 | +0.03% | -2.25% | | ರ್ | 2 | ETH | | $3212.2 | +0.16% | -3.34% | | ದ | 3 | SOL | | $133.75 | +0.08% | -6.07% | | ರ್ | 4 | XRP | | $1.978 | +0.09% | -3.76% | | ರ್ | 5 | DOGE | | $0.1277 | +0.07% | -6.92% | | ಗ | 6 | SUI | | $1.5605 | -0.59% | -11.99% | | 1小时爆仓 | | | $211.36万 | 4小时爆 ...

同时，欧洲看到美国现在为了夺岛已经不择手段，此前美国多次威胁不排除使用武力，现在又以关税的方式对盟友进行施压。欧洲要考虑的是后续要以综合 性的措施来应对美方出招。欧洲还要考虑到，一旦对美国进行回击，要产生足够的震慑效果。法国现在提议欧盟要启动"反胁迫机制"，这个机制此前在贸易 战过程中，欧盟曾经考虑使用，这个机制无异于是对经贸关系投下核弹，而现在旧事重提，某种程度上反映出在美国紧逼下，确实对欧洲造成了压力，欧洲 必须要进行反应。另外一方面欧洲考虑的是要动真格，才有可能对美国构成足够的牵制，阻止美国在夺岛问题上进一步紧逼。 欧洲对美回击难免投鼠忌器 其效果有待观察 在格陵兰岛问题上，美国步步紧逼。近期美国总统特朗普还对欧洲8国发出加征关税威胁，欧洲多国反应强烈。欧盟召开紧急会议，考虑对美国征收价值930 亿欧元的关税。此外，法国力推动用"反胁迫机制"。欧洲反制手段的目的是什么？能否对美国构成牵制？ 欧洲正加强沟通协作以应对美步步紧逼 特约评论员 苏晓晖： 美国强行索要格陵兰岛犯了众怒，欧洲正在加强沟通和协作，以应对美国的步步紧逼。首先欧洲要表明态度，美国强索格陵兰岛既触 及丹麦的主权，也触及美欧关系的底线，所以 ...

在特朗普威胁加征关税后，欧洲汽车制造商雷诺和斯特兰蒂斯（巴黎）19日股价一度下跌3.93%和 4.45%。 由格陵兰岛归属引发的跨大西洋外交风波仍在持续。 挪威首相斯特勒当天确认收到美国总统特朗普发来的信息。特朗普称，鉴于挪威决定不授予他诺贝尔和 平奖以表彰他阻止了"8场战争"，"我觉得不再有义务只考虑和平……现在我可以考虑对美国来说什么是 有利和恰当的"。 特朗普称，自北约成立以来，美国为北约所作贡献比任何国家都多，现在北约也应为美国做些事 情。"除非我们完全掌控格陵兰岛，否则世界将不会安全。" 从索取格陵兰岛到加征关税，面对特朗普政府咄咄逼人的威胁，欧洲方面也在准备反制行动，反制关税 乃至被视为欧盟"经济核武器"的"反胁迫机制"也都被纳入讨论之列。 1月19日，外交部发言人郭嘉昆表示，中方已经多次阐明在格陵兰岛问题上的立场。以《联合国宪章》 宗旨和原则为基础的国际法是现行国际秩序的基础，必须得到维护。我们敦促美方停止把所谓"中国威 胁"作为捞取私利的借口。 欧盟召开紧急会议未就反制美国加税措施达成一致 格陵兰岛是世界第一大岛，也是丹麦自治领地，有高度自治权，国防和外交事务由丹麦政府掌管。特朗 普多次以所谓 ...

美欧之间一场由关税引发的紧张对峙，再次将两大盟友推向了公开博弈的舞台中央。 该工具的制定背景，与过去几年美国对欧盟多次挥舞关税大棒的经历密切相关。如今，欧洲方面有意将 这套"防御武器"首次用于应对来自美国的压力，其象征意义和实际威慑力均不可小觑。 此次关税争端，使得跨大西洋盟友关系的裂痕再次暴露。长期以来，美欧在贸易、产业政策等领域的分 歧不断累积，此次围绕格陵兰岛的地缘博弈更是火上浇油。欧洲舆论普遍认为，美方的做法是典型的单 边霸凌。 尽管双方在安全等领域仍有深度绑定，但经济领域的摩擦正日益侵蚀互信基础。欧洲越来越多的人士开 始公开谈论减少对美依赖的必要性，这场争端无疑加速了这一进程。 事情源于美国方面近期的一项决定。根据已公布的信息，美方计划自下月初起，对包括法国、德国在内 的多个欧洲国家输美商品加征关税。这一举措被广泛解读为施压手段，其核心目标直指欧洲在格陵兰岛 问题上的立场。 欧洲方面对此反应强烈。法国领导人马克龙于当地时间1月18日作出正式回应，明确指出不排除动用欧 盟层面的工具进行反制。这场经济领域的摩擦，迅速演变为一场涉及地缘政治与盟友信誉的公开较量。 马克龙的此次回应被视为一次关键性表态。他直 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the geopolitical tensions surrounding Greenland, particularly in light of U.S. President Trump's threats to impose tariffs on countries that do not support U.S. efforts to acquire Greenland, highlighting the increasing uncertainty in global relations leading up to 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: U.S. Actions and Statements - President Trump has threatened to impose tariffs on countries that do not cooperate with the U.S. regarding Greenland, marking a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy [2]. - The U.S. administration is reportedly considering various options, including military involvement, to secure Greenland, with estimates suggesting a potential cost of $700 billion for such a transaction [3]. - The U.S. has previously expressed interest in acquiring Greenland, dating back to the 1960s, indicating a long-standing strategic interest in the territory [2]. Group 2: European Response - Multiple European countries, including France, Germany, and the UK, have confirmed the deployment of military personnel to Greenland amid rising geopolitical tensions [4]. - France has begun participating in military exercises in Greenland, with additional troops expected to arrive soon [4]. - Despite these military deployments, there is skepticism about the effectiveness of European responses to U.S. pressure, with some commentators suggesting that these actions are more symbolic than substantive [4][5]. Group 3: Broader Geopolitical Implications - The tensions over Greenland reflect deeper divisions between the U.S. and Europe, with some analysts suggesting that the U.S. is shifting from a cooperative ally to a more aggressive and coercive partner [3][6]. - The European Union possesses tools such as the anti-coercion mechanism, which has not been utilized against the U.S., indicating a reluctance to confront its historical ally [6]. - The World Economic Forum's 2026 Global Risk Report highlights increasing geopolitical and economic risks, suggesting that the current climate may lead to significant instability [6][7].

Group 1 - Germany's foreign minister, Baerbock, has rapidly changed his stance on visiting China, indicating a shift in Germany's approach to international relations following the recent US-China talks [1][16] - The recent US-China summit in Busan has led to a pause in tariff increases and a reconsideration of sanctions, leaving US allies confused about the implications for their own trade policies [3][18] - Germany's previous hardline stance against China, including attempts to impose sanctions and restrictions, has been reversed as economic realities and the need for cooperation with China become apparent [10][20] Group 2 - The EU's approach to China has been inconsistent, with countries like the Netherlands and Germany initially seeking to gain favor with the US through aggressive policies against China, only to face backlash [12][14] - Germany's economic stagnation and reliance on Chinese markets for critical resources like rare earth elements are driving the need for a more pragmatic relationship with China [18][20] - The potential for mutually beneficial cooperation between Germany and China exists, but Germany must adopt a more balanced and realistic approach rather than attempting to play both sides against each other [22]