格隆汇2月13日｜乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示，基辅方面已寻求支持美国的和平提议，以结束与俄罗斯的 战争。当前，美国总统唐纳德・特朗普正试图在 11 月中期选举前解决这场冲突。泽连斯基在周四《大 西洋月刊》刊发的采访中称，基辅愿意同时举行总统选举与和平协议公投，但绝不会接受损害乌克兰利 益的协议。"我们选择这一策略，是为了让美国人不要觉得我们想让战争继续下去，" 泽连斯基对这家 美国媒体表示，"正因如此，我们开始以任何能加速进程的形式，支持他们的提议。"他表示，乌克兰 "无所畏惧。我们准备好举行选举了吗？准备好了。我们准备好举行公投了吗？准备好了。"2025 年 2 月，泽连斯基在白宫椭圆形办公室与特朗普、美国副总统万斯的会晤演变为激烈争吵。此后，泽连斯基 一直致力于修复与华盛顿的关系。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a recent communication among U.S. officials and European counterparts regarding the advancement of a peace process in Ukraine, focusing on practical steps to implement President Trump's "peace plan" [1] Group 1: Key Discussions - U.S. Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff, Secretary of State Rubio, and Jared Kushner discussed with security advisors from the UK, France, Germany, and Ukraine on advancing the peace process [1] - The discussions emphasized practical ways to enhance security guarantees and establish effective conflict de-escalation mechanisms to help end the conflict and prevent its resurgence [1] Group 2: Future Meetings and Coordination - Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council Secretary Oleksiy Danilov announced coordination of positions with U.S. and European partners, planning further meetings in January 2026 [1] - A national security advisor meeting is being prepared for January 3, 2026, with representatives from over 10 countries, NATO, the European Commission, and the European Council expected to participate, with the U.S. joining online [1]

Core Viewpoint - NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte warned that the West faces a war with Russia on a scale not seen since the times of "our grandparents and great-grandparents" [1][2] Group 1: Warnings and Threats - Rutte stated that Russian President Putin has chosen NATO as his "next target," marking one of the strongest warnings about the potential spread of war across Europe [1][2] - He emphasized that "the conflict is at our doorstep," indicating that Russia has brought war back to Europe and that preparations must be made for a large-scale conflict comparable to those experienced by previous generations [1][2] - Rutte called for a clear recognition of the threat, asserting that NATO is the next target of Russia and that they are already in danger [1][2] Group 2: Diplomatic Developments - As Rutte made these comments, a week of intense diplomacy was coming to a close, with Ukraine and its European allies submitting a new peace proposal to the Trump administration, set to be discussed in Paris over the weekend [1][2] - Reports indicated that relationships among European leaders are becoming tense, with Italian Prime Minister Meloni pressuring Kyiv to accept "painful" concessions, seemingly representing Washington's stance [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte warns of an unprecedented scale of war with Russia, indicating that NATO is now a target for President Putin, and emphasizes the need for preparedness against a conflict comparable to those experienced by previous generations [3][4]. Group 1 - Rutte states that the conflict is at Europe's doorstep, highlighting the urgency of the situation as Russia has brought war back to Europe [3]. - He asserts that NATO must recognize the threat posed by Russia, indicating that they are in danger and that they are the next target [3]. Group 2 - As Rutte makes these comments, diplomatic efforts are intensifying, with Ukraine and its European allies presenting a new peace proposal to the Trump administration, set to be discussed in Paris [4]. - Reports indicate rising tensions among European leaders, particularly with Italian Prime Minister Meloni pressuring Kyiv to accept "painful" concessions, reflecting Washington's stance [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights significant progress in discussions aimed at ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict, although there are still unresolved issues regarding security guarantees for Kyiv [2][3] - Concerns remain among Kyiv and its allies regarding perceived concessions to Russia in the proposed peace plan, leading to calls for amendments to the terms [2] - U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated that substantial progress has been made, but further negotiations are needed on key issues such as NATO's role and security guarantees for Ukraine [2][3] Group 2 - The technical structure for silver remains unchanged, with a primary upward trend supported by the 52-week moving average of $36.77 [4] - Sustaining above $50.02 confirms bullish interest, with $51.07 as the first upward target, potentially leading to a multi-year high of $54.49 [4] - A drop below $50.02 would indicate bearish control, exposing critical support levels between $45.72 and $45.55, with $45.55 being a pivotal point for reversing the weekly trend [4]

Group 1: International Gold Market - International gold is currently trading around $4040.24, with a latest price of $4045.16 per ounce, reflecting a decline of 0.47%. The highest price reached was $4076.69, while the lowest was $4039.72, indicating a short-term sideways trend in the market [1][1]. - All timeframes for gold show a weak sideways trend, with a focus on short-selling at higher levels. Key support levels to watch are between $4022 and $3997, and a break below these levels could lead to further testing of previous lows around $3890 to $3900 [4][4]. Group 2: U.S.-Ukraine Peace Negotiations - Concerns have arisen from Kyiv and its allies regarding a U.S. proposal perceived as significant concessions to Russia. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio noted substantial progress in discussions, although key issues remain unresolved [2][2]. - European officials have suggested allowing Ukraine a larger military presence than proposed by the U.S. and that land exchange negotiations should be based on current frontlines rather than predetermined areas for Russian control [3][3]. - The U.S. is still working to resolve outstanding issues, with hopes of reaching an agreement by Thursday, although it may take longer. Discussions are ongoing regarding a potential visit by Ukrainian President Zelensky to the U.S. to discuss the sensitive territorial issues within the peace proposal [3][3].

Group 1 - Silver market experienced fluctuations with a significant drop below $50, reaching a new low [1][4] - The geopolitical situation has intensified, particularly regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with a proposed peace plan from the Trump administration [2] - Ukrainian President Zelensky emphasized the need for genuine peace that cannot be undermined [3] Group 2 - On Thursday, silver opened at $51.367, peaked at $51.88, but ultimately closed at $50.644, indicating a bearish trend [4] - The silver price fell below the 50-day EMA, showing negative signals from the relative strength index, despite being oversold [4] - The market is currently in a short-term bullish trend, with support around the $50.20 level [4]

Core Points - The article discusses a significant geopolitical event involving a summit between US President Trump and Russian President Putin in Alaska, which is seen as a pivotal moment for global order and energy security [1][2] - The proposed "peace plan" includes conditions that could benefit Russia, such as a temporary ceasefire in Ukraine, delayed territorial disputes, lifting sanctions, and supporting Russia's return to the G8 [2][3] - The summit's location in Alaska is strategically chosen to facilitate discussions while avoiding international legal repercussions for Putin [5][6] Group 1: Geopolitical Implications - The peace plan aims to address Russia's economic struggles due to sanctions, potentially restoring $12 billion in annual energy export revenue [2][3] - The summit could reshape US-Russia relations, impacting global energy markets and geopolitical alliances, particularly concerning China and Europe [7][12] - Ukraine's interests are at risk, as the proposed negotiations may exclude its government from critical discussions, leading to heightened tensions in Europe [6][13] Group 2: Economic Considerations - The lifting of sanctions could significantly benefit the Russian economy, which has seen a 37% reduction in energy export revenues due to ongoing sanctions [2][12] - Trump's strategy appears to leverage energy trade as a tool against China, with potential sanctions on Chinese imports if they continue to engage with Russian energy [9][12] - The geopolitical shifts may lead to increased energy costs for China, which relies on Russia for 28% of its oil and 34% of its natural gas imports [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The Kremlin emphasizes that peace proposals must remain confidential and that related work should be conducted in secrecy [1] Group 1 - The Kremlin's stance indicates a strategic approach to peace negotiations, prioritizing confidentiality over public disclosure [1]

Group 1 - The Chinese government emphasizes the importance of dialogue and negotiation for a political resolution to the Ukraine crisis, advocating for a sustainable and lasting peace solution that addresses the concerns of all parties involved [1] - The Chinese stance has been consistent since the onset of the crisis, actively promoting peace and facilitating discussions among the involved parties [1] Group 2 - The article mentions a significant surge in Chinese assets, with reports indicating an increase of over 40%, suggesting a strong market reaction [2] - There is a reference to a notable rise in a specific asset, which reportedly increased by over 200%, indicating heightened investor interest and market volatility [2]