Core Insights - In H1 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 5.57%, while the non-ferrous metals index rose by 17.00%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 11.42 percentage points. The steel index increased by 3.09%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite by 2.49 percentage points [2][3] - Commodity prices for precious and industrial metals have been on the rise, while energy metals and steel prices have seen a decline [2][3] - The non-ferrous sector achieved revenue of 1.8197 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 95.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.28% [2][3] Industrial Metals - The industrial metals sector benefited from tariff adjustments and expectations of interest rate cuts, leading to a profit growth of 38% in H1 2025. The sector's total revenue reached 1.3586 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.08%, with a net profit of 69.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38% [2][3] - In Q2 2025, the industrial metals sector generated revenue of 727.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.97% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15.4%, with a net profit of 36.84 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12% [2][3] Precious Metals - The precious metals sector saw revenue of 188.25 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year growth of 27.0%, and a net profit of 9.68 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 65.6% [3] - In Q2 2025, the sector's revenue was 104.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24.6%, with a net profit of 5.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 76.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 48.4% [3] Energy Metals - The energy metals sector reported revenue of 81.24 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, and a net profit of 5.31 billion yuan, marking a return to profitability [3][4] - In Q2 2025, the sector's revenue was 43.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.5%, with a net profit of 3.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 51.9% [3][4] Minor Metals - The minor metals sector experienced a decline in revenue, achieving 137.7 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 37.6%, with a net profit of 7.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.1% [4] - In Q2 2025, the sector's revenue was 73.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.5% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.4%, with a net profit of 3.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 40.6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.0% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of recent political events in the U.S. and their potential impact on the economy and financial markets, particularly focusing on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and investor sentiment towards U.S. assets [9][11]. Group 1: Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Policy - The article highlights two scenarios for the Federal Reserve's future policy: one where trade negotiations fail, leading to a potential rate cut starting in July, and another where negotiations succeed, resulting in a delay of rate cuts due to persistent inflation pressures [11]. - Current market expectations indicate a 90.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in May, with a 9.7% chance of a 25 basis point cut [11]. - Predictions for the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings suggest a significant likelihood of maintaining the current rate of 4.25%-4.50% in May, with a 58.6% chance of a 25 basis point cut by June [12]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Investor Sentiment - Following Trump's criticism of Powell, the dollar index fell to its lowest level since March 2022, but later rebounded as Trump expressed optimism about negotiations [9]. - Trump's approval rating after his first 100 days in office dropped to 39%, marking the lowest for any U.S. president in the past 80 years [9]. - The article notes that the chaotic nature of Trump's administration has led to significant shifts in investor confidence and market dynamics, particularly regarding U.S. assets [9].

Group 1 - Dow futures fell by 0.06%, S&P 500 futures dropped by 0.17%, and Nasdaq futures decreased by 0.17% [1] - Chip stocks experienced a decline, with Nvidia down 1.25%, Intel down 0.4%, and AMD down 0.63% [1] - Toyota is reportedly proposing a $42 billion acquisition of Toyota Industries Corporation, which is the origin company of the Toyota Group [1] - DHL has resumed sending packages over $800 to individuals in the U.S. after constructive dialogue with U.S. authorities [1] - Merck has agreed to acquire SpringWorks Therapeutics for $3.9 billion to enhance its oncology drug portfolio [1] Group 2 - Bernstein upgraded Boeing's stock rating to "outperform" and raised the target price from $181 to $218, anticipating a 26% revenue growth for the year [2] - Nike is facing a lawsuit from NFT buyers after abruptly shutting down its NFT business, which was acquired in December 2021 [2] - Airbus signed a $439 million asset acquisition agreement with Spirit AeroSystems, taking over specific commercial aircraft assets in the U.S., France, Morocco, and Northern Ireland [2] Group 3 - Amazon has seen an average price increase of 30% on nearly a thousand products since the second week of April, affecting various categories including electronics and apparel [3]