A 股：最近一周北向资金可能小幅净流入。最近一周（2026/2/24-2026/2/27， 下 同 ） 交 易 日 期 间 北 向 资 金 估 算 净 流 入 21 亿 元 ， 前 一 周 （2026/2/9-2026/2/13，下同）估算净流入 30 亿元。最近一周交易日期间 灵活型外资估算净流入 100 亿元，前一周估算净流入 88 亿元。此外，我们 汇总最近一周陆股通每日前十大活跃个股，其中宁德时代（本周陆股通双向 成交总金额为 179 亿元，占个股当周交易金额比重的 23%，下同）、天孚通 信（145 亿元、13%）、中际旭创（128 亿元、10%）成交较为活跃。 港股：长线外资离场是近期恒科偏弱主因。根据港交所中央结算系统持股明 细数据，最近一周（2026/2/11-2026/2/24）各类资金合计流入港股市场 19 亿港元，其中稳定型外资流出 253 亿港元，灵活型外资流出 143 亿港元，港 股通流入 315 亿港元，中国香港或大陆本地资金流入 105 亿港元。行业层面， 最近一周外资流入汽车与零配件、电气设备、半导体等较多，港股通流入 ETF、 软件服务、可选消费零售等较多。 证券研究报告 | ...

策略周报 证券研究报告 | 2026年02月27日 2026年02月28日 长线外资离场是近期恒科偏弱主因——2 月第 4 周全球外资周 观察 核心结论：①北向资金：最近一周可能小幅净流入，其中灵活型外资可能大 幅净流入。②港股：稳定型外资流出 253 亿港元，灵活型外资流出 143 亿港 元，港股通流入 315 亿港元。③亚太市场：外资本周流入日本，1 月外资流 出印度。④美欧市场：1 月资金流入欧洲，流入美国。 A 股：最近一周北向资金可能小幅净流入。最近一周（2026/2/24-2026/2/27， 下 同 ） 交 易 日 期 间 北 向 资 金 估 算 净 流 入 21 亿 元 ， 前 一 周 （2026/2/9-2026/2/13，下同）估算净流入 30 亿元。最近一周交易日期间 灵活型外资估算净流入 100 亿元，前一周估算净流入 88 亿元。此外，我们 汇总最近一周陆股通每日前十大活跃个股，其中宁德时代（本周陆股通双向 成交总金额为 179 亿元，占个股当周交易金额比重的 23%，下同）、天孚通 信（145 亿元、13%）、中际旭创（128 亿元、10%）成交较为活跃。 资料来源：Wind、国信 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月27日 2026年02月28日 策略周报 长线外资离场是近期恒科偏弱主因——2 月第 4 周全球外资周 观察 核心结论：①北向资金：最近一周可能小幅净流入，其中灵活型外资可能大 幅净流入。②港股：稳定型外资流出 253 亿港元，灵活型外资流出 143 亿港 元，港股通流入 315 亿港元。③亚太市场：外资本周流入日本，1 月外资流 出印度。④美欧市场：1 月资金流入欧洲，流入美国。 A 股：最近一周北向资金可能小幅净流入。最近一周（2026/2/24-2026/2/27， 下 同 ） 交 易 日 期 间 北 向 资 金 估 算 净 流 入 21 亿 元 ， 前 一 周 （2026/2/9-2026/2/13，下同）估算净流入 30 亿元。最近一周交易日期间 灵活型外资估算净流入 100 亿元，前一周估算净流入 88 亿元。此外，我们 汇总最近一周陆股通每日前十大活跃个股，其中宁德时代（本周陆股通双向 成交总金额为 179 亿元，占个股当周交易金额比重的 23%，下同）、天孚通 信（145 亿元、13%）、中际旭创（128 亿元、10%）成交较为活跃。 港股：长线外资离场是近期 ...

Group 1: Northbound and Southbound Capital Flows - Northbound capital estimated net inflow of 3 billion CNY in the recent week, compared to a net outflow of 8.2 billion CNY in the previous week[1] - Southbound capital accelerated inflow into Hong Kong stocks, with a total of 26.7 billion HKD flowing into the market in the recent week[2] - Southbound capital outflow included 10.4 billion HKD from stable foreign capital and 25.1 billion HKD from flexible foreign capital[2] Group 2: Market Trends and Sector Performance - In the recent week, the top active stocks in the Northbound trading included Ningde Times with a total transaction amount of 20.4 billion CNY, accounting for 18% of the total trading amount for that stock[1] - In the Hong Kong market, significant foreign capital inflows were observed in sectors such as electrical equipment, food and beverage, and textiles[2] - In the Asia-Pacific market, Japan saw a net inflow of 248.7 billion JPY from overseas investors, while India experienced an outflow of 3.98 billion USD in January[2][3] Group 3: Global Market Insights - In December, the US equity market saw a net inflow of 32.2 billion USD from global mutual funds, up from 9.2 billion USD in the previous month[3] - European equity markets also experienced inflows, with net inflows of 1.74 billion USD, 0.97 billion USD, and 2.16 billion USD into the UK, Germany, and France respectively[3] - Cumulative net inflows into the US market since 2020 reached 723.7 billion USD[3]

Group 1 - The core conclusion indicates that northbound funds may have experienced a slight net inflow recently, with flexible foreign capital likely seeing a significant net inflow [1] - In the Hong Kong stock market, stable foreign capital saw an outflow of 10.4 billion HKD, while flexible foreign capital had an outflow of 25.1 billion HKD, with a net inflow of 49.8 billion HKD through the Stock Connect [1][2] - In the Asia-Pacific market, foreign capital flowed into Japan while there was an outflow from India in January [2][3] Group 2 - For A-shares, the estimated net inflow of northbound funds was 3 billion CNY during the week of February 9-13, 2026, compared to an estimated net outflow of 8.2 billion CNY the previous week [11] - The top active stocks in the northbound trading included Ningde Times with a total transaction amount of 20.4 billion CNY, accounting for 18% of the stock's weekly trading volume [11] - In the Hong Kong market, a total of 26.7 billion HKD flowed into the market during the week of February 4-10, 2026, with significant inflows into sectors such as electrical equipment, food and beverage, and textiles [13] Group 3 - In the US market, global mutual funds saw a net inflow of 32.2 billion USD into the US equity market in December, compared to a net inflow of 9.2 billion USD the previous month [20] - In Europe, global mutual funds had net inflows into the equity markets of the UK, Germany, and France amounting to 1.74 billion USD, 0.97 billion USD, and 2.16 billion USD respectively in December [20]

Group 1: A-Share Market - Recent week saw a slight net outflow of northbound funds estimated at 8.2 billion yuan, compared to a net outflow of 0.9 billion yuan in the previous week [10] - Flexible foreign capital estimated a net inflow of 0.8 billion yuan in the recent week, down from 2.5 billion yuan in the previous week [10] - Top active stocks in the recent week included Zhongji Xuchuang with a total transaction amount of 24.7 billion yuan, accounting for 10% of the stock's weekly trading volume [10] Group 2: Hong Kong Market - Total capital inflow into the Hong Kong market in the recent week was 16.1 billion HKD, with stable foreign capital inflowing 12 billion HKD and flexible foreign capital outflowing 6.6 billion HKD [13] - The inflow of foreign capital was notably high in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, ETFs, and pharmaceuticals, while the Hong Kong Stock Connect saw inflows in banking, software services, and hardware equipment [13] Group 3: Asia-Pacific Market - In the Asia-Pacific market, there was a net inflow of foreign capital into the Japanese stock market amounting to 187 billion yen in the latest week, down from 212.8 billion yen in the previous week [15] - In January, foreign institutional investors withdrew 3.98 billion USD from the Indian stock market, compared to a withdrawal of 2.52 billion USD in the previous month [15] Group 4: US and European Markets - In December, global mutual fund inflows into the US equity market reached 32.2 billion USD, significantly up from 9.2 billion USD in the previous month [18] - European equity markets saw net inflows of 1.74 billion USD, 0.97 billion USD, and 2.16 billion USD into the UK, Germany, and France respectively, compared to the previous month's inflows of 0.55 billion USD, 1.17 billion USD, and 1.4 billion USD [18]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月30日 2026年01月31日 策略周报 南向和外资净流入规模放量——1 月第 4 周全球外资周观察 核心结论：①北向资金：最近一周可能小幅净流出，其中灵活型外资可能小 幅净流入。②港股：稳定型外资流出 35 亿港元，灵活型外资流入 82 亿港元， 港股通流入 126 亿港元。③亚太市场：外资本周流入日本，12 月外资流出印 度。④美欧市场：12 月资金流入欧洲，流入美国。 A 股：最近一周北向资金可能小幅净流入。最近一周（2026/1/26-2026/1/30， 下 同 ） 交 易 日 期 间 北 向 资 金 估 算 净 流 出 9 亿 元 ， 前 一 周 （2026/1/19-2026/1/23，下同）估算净流出 93 亿元。最近一周交易日期间 灵活型外资估算净流入 25 亿元，前一周估算净流入 32 亿元。此外，我们汇 总最近一周陆股通每日前十大活跃个股，其中紫金矿业（本周陆股通双向成 交总金额为 247 亿元，占个股当周交易金额比重的 9%，下同）、宁德时代（224 亿元、17%）、中际旭创（193 亿元、10%）成交较为活跃。 港股：南向和外资净流入规模放量。根据港 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月30日 2026年01月31日 策略周报 南向和外资净流入规模放量——1 月第 4 周全球外资周观察 核心结论：①北向资金：最近一周可能小幅净流出，其中灵活型外资可能小 幅净流入。②港股：稳定型外资流出 35 亿港元，灵活型外资流入 82 亿港元， 港股通流入 126 亿港元。③亚太市场：外资本周流入日本，12 月外资流出印 度。④美欧市场：12 月资金流入欧洲，流入美国。 A 股：最近一周北向资金可能小幅净流入。最近一周（2026/1/26-2026/1/30， 下 同 ） 交 易 日 期 间 北 向 资 金 估 算 净 流 出 9 亿 元 ， 前 一 周 （2026/1/19-2026/1/23，下同）估算净流出 93 亿元。最近一周交易日期间 灵活型外资估算净流入 25 亿元，前一周估算净流入 32 亿元。此外，我们汇 总最近一周陆股通每日前十大活跃个股，其中紫金矿业（本周陆股通双向成 交总金额为 247 亿元，占个股当周交易金额比重的 9%，下同）、宁德时代（224 亿元、17%）、中际旭创（193 亿元、10%）成交较为活跃。 港股：南向和外资净流入规模放量。根据港 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月23日 2026年01月24日 策略周报 长线外资流入，短线外资流出——1 月第 3 周全球外资周观察 核心结论：①北向资金：最近一周可能小幅净流出，其中灵活型外资可能小 幅净流入。②港股：稳定型外资流入 184 亿港元，灵活型外资流出 167 亿港 元，港股通流入 49 亿港元。③亚太市场：外资本周流入日本，12 月外资流 出印度。④美欧市场：11 月资金流入欧洲，流入美国。 风险提示：部分资金数据为估算值，与真实情况或有出入；模型存在误设和 失效风险。 核心观点 策略研究·策略周报 | 证券分析师：吴信坤 | 证券分析师：余培仪 | | --- | --- | | 021-61761046 | | | wuxinkun@guosen.com.cn | yupeiyi@guosen.com.cn | | S0980525120001 | S0980526010001 | | 基础数据 | | | 中小板/月涨跌幅(%) | 8883.33/9.51 | | 创业板/月涨跌幅(%) | 3349.50/4.51 | | AH 股价差指数 | 119.63 | | A 股总/流 ...

Group 1 - The core conclusion indicates that there may be a slight net outflow of northbound funds in the recent week, while flexible foreign capital might see a small net inflow [1] - In the Hong Kong stock market, stable foreign capital experienced an outflow of 1 million HKD, while flexible foreign capital saw an inflow of 7.9 billion HKD, and the Hong Kong Stock Connect recorded an inflow of 15.5 billion HKD [1][2] - In the Asia-Pacific market, foreign capital flowed into Japan during the week, while there was an outflow from India in December [2][17] Group 2 - In the A-share market, the estimated net outflow of northbound funds was 4.3 billion CNY during the week of January 12-16, 2026, compared to a net inflow of 9.6 billion CNY in the previous week [10] - The top active stocks in the northbound trading during the week included Ningde Times with a total transaction amount of 21.9 billion CNY, accounting for 17% of the stock's weekly trading amount [10] - In the Hong Kong stock market, a total of 24 billion HKD flowed into the market, with significant inflows into ETFs, non-ferrous metals, and semiconductors [12] Group 3 - In the US market, global mutual fund inflows into the US equity market amounted to 9.2 billion USD in November, an increase from 3.8 billion USD in the previous month [19] - In the European market, mutual fund inflows in November included 0.55 billion USD in the UK, 1.17 billion USD in Germany, and 1.4 billion USD in France, contrasting with outflows in the previous month [21]