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 东方证券(600958):转型渐入佳境
 Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-31 11:39
 Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5]   Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in revenue and net profit, with a year-on-year increase of 39.38% in revenue to 12.708 billion yuan and a 54.76% increase in net profit to 5.110 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - The strong performance is attributed to the growth in proprietary trading, improvements in brokerage and investment banking services, and the strategic focus on "large wealth, large investment banking, and large institutions" [1][3] - The company has adjusted its asset structure, reducing bond investments while increasing equity investments, which is expected to support future earnings [1]   Summary by Sections  Proprietary Investment - In Q3 2025, proprietary investment revenue grew by 54.7% to 6.195 billion yuan, becoming the primary driver of profit growth [1] - The financial investment scale was 225.3 billion yuan, with a slight decrease of 5.7% quarter-on-quarter due to asset structure adjustments [1]   Brokerage Business - The brokerage business saw a year-on-year growth of 49% to 2.381 billion yuan in Q3 2025 [2] - The total number of customer accounts reached 3.139 million, an increase of 7.52% since the beginning of the year, with total custodial assets amounting to 959.3 billion yuan, up 9.21% [2]   Investment Banking - Investment banking revenue increased by 41% to 1.171 billion yuan in Q3 2025, with a notable rise in equity underwriting and a dramatic increase in refinancing scale [2] - The company’s market share in equity underwriting reached 1.61%, with refinancing amounting to 12.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 15 times [2]   Asset Management and Credit Business - Asset management revenue decreased by 4.33% to 0.973 billion yuan in Q3 2025, while the entrusted asset management scale was 233.78 billion yuan, up 7.9% [3] - Interest income fell by 15.16% due to increased interest expenses [3]   Financial Forecasts - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 5.819 billion yuan, 5.988 billion yuan, and 6.102 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 73.7%, 2.9%, and 1.9% respectively [3][4] - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 16.6, 16.1, and 15.8, while the PB ratios are 1.2, 1.2, and 1.1 [3][4]