投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 资讯早班车-2026-01-16 一、 宏观数据速览 | 发布日期 | 指标日期 | 指标名称 | 单位 | 当期值 | 上期值 | 去年同期值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-10-20 | 2025/09 | GDP:不变价:当季同比 | % | 4.8 | 5.2 | 4.6 | | 2025-12-31 | 2025/12 | 制造业 PMI | % | 50.1 | 49.8 | 50.1 | | 2025-12-31 | 2025/12 | 非制造业 PMI:商务活动 | % | 50.2 | 50.0 | 52.2 | | 2026-01-15 | 2025/12 | 社会融资规模:当月值 | 亿元 | 22075 | 35299 | 28537 | | 2026-01-15 | 2025/12 | M0:同比 | % | 10.2 | 11.5 | 13.0 | | 2026-01-15 | 2025/12 | M1:同比 | % | 3.8 | 7.2 ...

钛媒体App 1月15日消息，中信证券研报表示，从货币政策三大目标来看当下宽货币的逻辑：最终目标 层面，实体经济三部门资产负债表修复矛盾的传递和循环需要逆周期工具介入；中介目标层面，金融中 介降效等问题难以自发修复；操作目标层面，银行体系资产结构变化与资负降息错位。总体来看，2026 年宽货币环境仍有延续的必要，央行和商业银行体系继续扩表的必要性较高，降息、降准均有灵活运用 可能性。（广角观察） ...

Core Viewpoint - The mining ETF (561330) has seen a net inflow of over 570 million yuan for 10 consecutive days, indicating a potential continuation of the positive trend in the non-ferrous metal sector as it stabilizes [1] Industry Summary - The non-ferrous metal industry is facing multiple opportunities due to a globally loose liquidity environment that supports metal prices [1] - Rapid development in emerging fields such as artificial intelligence and high-end equipment manufacturing is expected to accelerate the growth in demand for non-ferrous metals [1] - The upward trend in geopolitical security premiums is likely to lead to a reassessment of commodity prices, with major countries elevating the strategic importance of key minerals [1] - China's initiatives to promote the storage of rare earths further enhance the strategic value of resource products [1] Precious Metals Summary - In the precious metals sector, a loose monetary environment combined with expanding cracks in U.S. dollar credit and ongoing high debt levels has resulted in gold prices exhibiting characteristics of being easy to rise but difficult to fall [1] ETF Performance Summary - The mining ETF (561330) tracks the non-ferrous mining index (931892), which selects securities from companies involved in the development of mineral resources such as copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and rare metals [1] - According to Wind data, the mining ETF (561330) is projected to have the third-highest annual growth among all market ETFs in 2025, and the highest among non-ferrous ETFs, with a higher concentration of "gold + copper + rare earths" [1]