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山海:美元有筑底的表现,黄金看涨但谨慎追高!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 05:06
Group 1 - The market is currently in a Federal Reserve interest rate cut environment, which is the primary factor driving gold prices up, leading to a significant surge on Monday, reaching around 3490 [2] - Following the strong performance on Monday, gold is expected to maintain its upward trend on Tuesday, with a cautious approach to avoid chasing highs [3] - The technical analysis indicates that gold remains in a strong bullish trend, with key resistance at 3502 and support at 3465, suggesting a wait for adjustments before entering long positions [4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have surged in line with international market trends, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a high of 812, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [4] - International silver prices have also shown strength, currently around 40.8, with a key support level at 40, suggesting potential for further upside [4] - The Shanghai silver contract has reached a new high of 9940, with a clear bullish trend, but caution is advised against entering short positions until a peak is confirmed [5] Group 3 - International crude oil prices are expected to continue rising, with support at 62.5 and a target of 68 to 70 if the price breaks above 65 [5] - Domestic fuel oil has also seen an increase, currently at 2860, with expectations of reaching 3000 if the upward trend continues [5]
郑氏点银:黄金昨日突破上涨,今日回踩确认再企稳延续拉升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 13:47
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of gold and silver prices, highlighting a bullish trend for gold and a stable outlook for silver, with specific price levels and technical analysis provided for both metals [1][6]. Gold Analysis - Gold prices rose from 3302 to a high of 3357, indicating a bullish sentiment with potential for further upward movement [1]. - A breakout from a downward channel was noted, with a closing price above the 10-day moving average, suggesting upward momentum if the price can hold above 3325 [1][3]. - The current trading range for gold is identified between 3345 and 3325, with a critical support level at 3325 that must be maintained for continued upward movement [3][4]. Silver Analysis - Silver remains within a high-level range of 35.3 to 37.3, with a bullish outlook as it has not effectively lost the middle track [6]. - The short-term support for silver is identified at 35.8-35.5, with resistance at 36.5, indicating a potential for upward movement if stability is maintained [6]. Oil Analysis - Oil prices show signs of potential upward movement, with key support levels at 66 and 64.9, and resistance at 67.3, suggesting a focus on price fluctuations within this range [7].
白话拆解丨“小非农”又爆冷是白宫政策的“果”还是美联储的“错”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 06:15
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that the U.S. private sector added only 37,000 jobs in May, significantly below the market expectation of 110,000 and the previous month's figure of 62,000, marking the lowest level since March 2023 [1][6] - The report indicates that the majority of new jobs were in the service sector, particularly in leisure and hospitality, while manufacturing jobs decreased by 3,000 [6] - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies is cited as a major factor contributing to the reduced demand for hiring, with companies hesitant to recruit new employees [3][6] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book reported a decline in labor demand, reduced working hours, hiring freezes, and plans for layoffs across all regions [8] - The term "tariffs" appeared 122 times in the Beige Book, indicating a strong focus on how tariff policies are increasing economic uncertainty [12] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has stated that the current economic challenges are not a result of the Fed's monetary policy, which complicates the decision to lower interest rates [12]