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山海:美元有筑底的表现,黄金看涨但谨慎追高!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 05:06
Group 1 - The market is currently in a Federal Reserve interest rate cut environment, which is the primary factor driving gold prices up, leading to a significant surge on Monday, reaching around 3490 [2] - Following the strong performance on Monday, gold is expected to maintain its upward trend on Tuesday, with a cautious approach to avoid chasing highs [3] - The technical analysis indicates that gold remains in a strong bullish trend, with key resistance at 3502 and support at 3465, suggesting a wait for adjustments before entering long positions [4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have surged in line with international market trends, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a high of 812, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [4] - International silver prices have also shown strength, currently around 40.8, with a key support level at 40, suggesting potential for further upside [4] - The Shanghai silver contract has reached a new high of 9940, with a clear bullish trend, but caution is advised against entering short positions until a peak is confirmed [5] Group 3 - International crude oil prices are expected to continue rising, with support at 62.5 and a target of 68 to 70 if the price breaks above 65 [5] - Domestic fuel oil has also seen an increase, currently at 2860, with expectations of reaching 3000 if the upward trend continues [5]
郑氏点银:黄金昨日突破上涨,今日回踩确认再企稳延续拉升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 13:47
郑氏点银:黄金昨日突破上涨,今日回踩确认再企稳延续拉升 回顾昨日行情走势及出现的技术点: 原油方面:这几日动静真不大,今日从小通道来看,有向上突破的迹象,关注66支撑,其次是64.9支撑,阻力67.3,先留意支撑和阻力之间的震荡,倾向于 回踩去看反弹; 第一,黄金方面:昨日金价一路慢涨走高,从开盘3302一路连阳推高至3357美盘高点,给了三次短线看涨,都无法触及预期进场点;由于欧盘持续拉升,认 为美盘还有二次上涨空间;则短线指出3335看涨,今日也最终拿下10美金;而波段是采取分批布局,第一入场点位置虽不佳,第二入场点进去后,均价也就 是3343一线,也就是现在价格,只要守住3325不失守,区间整理之后仍倾向于向上突破; 第二,白银方面:昨日指出35.3上支撑有效,36.8之下阻力,区间内整理; 昨日短期支撑36.2顶底,保守支撑35.7-35.8支撑,企稳震荡看涨; 第三,黄金小时线级别:今日整体震荡于3345-3325区间;两次回踩确认逼近通道上轨,都支撑探底拉升,表明昨日上破通道还是有效的;此时中轨有所突 破,但3345震荡压力位还没有效收盘站上,或等待20点15分小非农数据来刺激引导; 若收盘阳线站 ...
白话拆解丨“小非农”又爆冷是白宫政策的“果”还是美联储的“错”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 06:15
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that the U.S. private sector added only 37,000 jobs in May, significantly below the market expectation of 110,000 and the previous month's figure of 62,000, marking the lowest level since March 2023 [1][6] - The report indicates that the majority of new jobs were in the service sector, particularly in leisure and hospitality, while manufacturing jobs decreased by 3,000 [6] - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies is cited as a major factor contributing to the reduced demand for hiring, with companies hesitant to recruit new employees [3][6] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book reported a decline in labor demand, reduced working hours, hiring freezes, and plans for layoffs across all regions [8] - The term "tariffs" appeared 122 times in the Beige Book, indicating a strong focus on how tariff policies are increasing economic uncertainty [12] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has stated that the current economic challenges are not a result of the Fed's monetary policy, which complicates the decision to lower interest rates [12]