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安联贸易:2025全球应收账款与营运资金报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 03:53
Core Insights - The report indicates that global working capital requirements (WCR) increased by 2 days to 78 days in 2024, marking the highest level since 2008, with no signs of relief at the beginning of 2025 [2][8][11] - Economic volatility, trade tensions, and tightening financial conditions are driving this increase, forcing companies to adapt to uncertainty and bear associated costs [2][8] - There are significant regional differences in working capital needs, with Western Europe experiencing a continuous increase of 4 days, while North America saw a decrease of 3 days [2][12] Regional Analysis - In Western Europe, companies face delayed receivables, with accounts receivable turnover days (DSO) increasing for the third consecutive year, leading to a reliance on trade credit, which is projected to reach approximately €11 billion [9][28] - North American companies have reduced their working capital needs by 3 days, primarily through inventory reduction and reallocating funds to shareholders, with stock buybacks expected to exceed $1 trillion in 2025 [2][8][29] - The Asia-Pacific region saw a slight increase of 2 days in working capital needs, with significant contributions from China and Singapore [27][12] Industry Trends - Almost all industries are experiencing an increase in DSO, particularly in transportation equipment (+11 days) and electronics (+4 days), leading to a general rebound in working capital needs [3][34] - Seven industries globally are witnessing increased working capital requirements across North America, Western Europe, and Asia-Pacific due to weak demand, while declines are more scattered [3][35] - The construction and commodities sectors are showing the most significant reversals in trends at the beginning of 2025 [3][34] Financial Dynamics - European companies are acting as "shadow banks," providing significant trade credit, which poses risks if economic growth slows or interest rates rise [9][28] - The report highlights that 35% of global companies have working capital needs exceeding 90 days, indicating a persistent challenge in cash flow management [11][18] - The report also notes that the average inventory turnover days (DIO) remain stable, with inventory still accounting for a significant portion of working capital needs [19][34]
汽车“反内卷”进行时:“60天账期承诺”成落地第一枪
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-11 04:57
Group 1 - Major automotive companies have committed to standardizing supplier payment terms to within 60 days, responding to the revised "Regulations on Ensuring Payment to Small and Medium-sized Enterprises" issued by the State Council [2][4] - Companies such as China FAW, Dongfeng Motor Group, Changan Automobile, and GAC Group have publicly announced their commitment to this payment term [2] - BYD, amidst public scrutiny, also pledged to unify supplier payment terms to 60 days to support the healthy development of small and medium enterprises [2][4] Group 2 - SAIC Motor Group not only committed to the 60-day payment term but also stated it would not use commercial acceptance bills to avoid increasing financial pressure on suppliers [3] - The revised regulations, effective from June 1, 2023, specify that large enterprises must pay small and medium enterprises within 60 days of delivery [4] - Suppliers have expressed the need for clarity on the payment process, specifically how the 60-day period is calculated, to avoid complications [4] Group 3 - The automotive supply chain financial platforms, such as BYD's DiChain and Great Wall's Great Wall Chain, are prevalent among major automotive companies, providing financing options for upstream and downstream partners [5] - Analysts highlight that the existence of these financial platforms raises concerns about whether companies are intentionally extending payment terms to shift financial burdens onto suppliers [5] - The automotive parts industry has seen an increase in accounts receivable turnover days, indicating potential cash flow issues for suppliers [6]
年报季(二):业绩只看净利润和营收数据吗?盈利质量检测为您避雷
股民朋友们,是不是总遇到这种崩溃时刻: 年报看某公司利润高、营收涨, 冲进去就被套! 这种现象背后往往暗藏多重玄机。上一篇文章 为您初步走进了预期差的秘密:只看业绩,等于闭 着眼睛炒股! TV FRIES VII/ 每只有活用用 和营收数据吗? 盈利质量检测为低进 »年报季 (二) 本篇我们深挖业绩本身:业绩只看利润和营 收,同样等于闭着眼睛炒股!利润和营收只是表 象,盈利质量才是决定公司价值的核心,让我们继 续为您揭开年报迷雾,建立更立体的投资视角。 业绩只看利润和营收 等于闭着眼炒股! 看增长逻辑: 利润与收入的"速度 竟赛" 藏真相 · 情景:某股民看到某公司净利润同比涨80%, 果断买入,却不知收入仅增5%。后来才发 现,利润靠卖资产撑着,主业早走下坡路,最 后股价暴跌。 · 深度分析:收入是利润的"根基",正常情况 下,收入增长应带动利润协同增长。若净利润 增幅远高于收入,需警惕"非经常性收益"科目 的注水。非经常性收益如资产出售、补贴等 等,往往不可持续,无法支撑长期盈利。反 之,若利润增速跑输收入,可能是成本费用失 控,或行业竞争加剧,侵蚀利润空间。健康的 盈利结构,应是核心业务贡献主要收入和利 ...