一个非比寻常的信号。 为了"强省会"战略，四川省开建了一个投资额高达575亿元的超级引水工程，叫做"引大济岷"，该工程的主要目的就是给成都平原引水。 575亿元是什么概念，比深中通道还高了100多亿，将其视为四川版的"深中通道"毫不为过。 分析认为，引水成功之后，成都继续做大做强，就没有后顾之忧了。 图片来自"智谷趋势" 四川为什么要新建这个引水工程？ 这里涉及到一个冷知识，那就是：成都缺水。 岷江是成都主要的水源地，但同时经常给成都带来水患。战国时期，秦国派蜀郡太守李冰父子修建都江堰，用"鱼嘴分流"的方式将喜怒无常的岷江分成两 条河，一条河走灌溉用水（内江），一条河用来泄洪（外江）。 后来的事情大家都知道了，都江堰建成之后，成都平原变身一个"水旱从人、不知饥馑"的风水宝地。 然而，经过两千多年的发展，成都平原的人口和经济规模，远超战国时期，仅都江堰一个水源地是不够的。 01. 四川要花575亿，为成都引水 11月7日，一个叫做"引大济岷"的工程建设动员大会在四川雅安天全县举行。该工程工期8年，投资额超过575亿元，是四川有史以来投资最大、线路最长 的引水工程，堪称新时代的"都江堰"。 "引大济岷"是什么意思 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "Strong Provincial Capital" strategy has significantly enhanced Kunming's role in driving Yunnan's economic growth, with its contribution rate rising from 13.3% in 2020 to 31.9% in 2024 [1][2]. Economic Growth and Industrial Development - Since the implementation of the "Strong Provincial Capital" strategy in 2022, Kunming's economic total has consistently surpassed 700 billion and 800 billion yuan, with growth rates improving from lagging behind the province by 3.6 percentage points in 2021 to surpassing it by 0.7 percentage points in 2024 [2]. - The industrial investment ratio in Kunming reached 39.5% in 2024, doubling from 16.2% in 2020, with industrial investment at its highest level in 25 years at 26.3% [2]. - The city's industrial added value grew by 7%, contributing 59.4% to the province's industrial output, an increase of nearly 50 percentage points since 2020 [2]. Economic Quality and Structural Changes - Kunming's economic development has not only accelerated but also improved in quality, with the industrial sector contributing 32.6% to the city's economic growth in 2024, and emerging industries accounting for 95% of industrial growth [3][4]. - The city's industrial added value as a percentage of GDP increased from 19.7% in 2020 to 22.2% in 2024, reflecting a structural shift away from reliance on real estate [4]. Challenges and Future Goals - Despite structural adjustments, Kunming's economic growth has been slower than expected due to the real estate market downturn and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, with a GDP target of over 1 trillion yuan by 2025 [5]. - The city's GDP was 827.52 billion yuan in 2024, with a slight decrease in its share of the provincial GDP from 26.61% in 2021 to 26.24% in 2024 [5]. Strategic Development and Regional Integration - Kunming is transitioning from a peripheral to a central role in regional development, supported by the China-Laos Railway and the establishment of an international port city model [6]. - The total import and export volume at the Mohan Port increased by 107.7% from 2020 to 2024, with the value rising by 186.1% during the same period [6]. Digital Economy and Infrastructure - The city is enhancing its digital economy, with significant investments from major tech companies and a focus on cross-border digital services, positioning itself as a hub for digital industries [7]. - The international communication business has been established, providing opportunities for the development of cross-border digital finance and logistics [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the "strong provincial capital" strategy being implemented in various provinces in China, particularly focusing on Gansu, Sichuan, and Shandong, to enhance the economic performance of their respective provincial capitals and drive overall provincial growth [2][4][6][7]. Group 1: Gansu Province - Gansu's government has initiated a "strong provincial capital action" meeting, emphasizing the need for Lanzhou to lead and promote coordinated development across the province [2]. - Gansu's economic total is projected to be 1.3 trillion, ranking 27th nationally, while Lanzhou's economy is only 374.2 billion, also ranking low nationally [4]. Group 2: Sichuan Province - Sichuan has issued a policy to support Chengdu in enhancing its core functions and accelerating high-quality development, aiming for Chengdu's GDP to exceed 3.2 trillion by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [6]. - Chengdu's GDP is expected to reach 2.35 trillion in 2024, maintaining its position as the seventh largest city in the country, and is recognized for its commercial vitality and cultural tourism [6]. Group 3: Shandong Province - Shandong has been promoting the "strong provincial capital" strategy since 2021, with Jinan's GDP surpassing 1.3 trillion in 2024, yet its economic strength is seen as insufficient compared to the province's overall economic scale [7]. - Jinan's economic dominance, defined as its share of the provincial GDP, ranks second to last among provincial capitals in China, indicating a need for stronger provincial capital development [7]. Group 4: Economic Dominance and Rankings - A ranking of provincial capitals by their economic dominance shows that Yinchuan and Changchun have the highest ratios, with Yinchuan's GDP accounting for 53.4% of its province [8][9]. - The article highlights that eight provincial capitals have GDPs exceeding one-third of their provincial totals, while Jinan and Nanjing rank at the bottom with ratios of 13.7% and 13.5%, respectively [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the resurgence of the "strong provincial capital" strategy in China, emphasizing its importance in driving regional development and economic growth, particularly in the context of cities like Lanzhou and Chengdu [2][12][24]. Group 1: Strong Provincial Capital Strategy - The recent meeting in Gansu highlighted the need for provincial capitals to lead provincial development, echoing the sentiment that a strong provincial capital equates to a strong province [2][12]. - The strategy is not merely a choice between strong provincial capitals and multiple centers; rather, it is about integrating both approaches for comprehensive regional development [4][8]. Group 2: Economic Data and Rankings - A table lists various cities along with their projected GDP for 2024, showcasing the economic primacy of cities like Chengdu and Xi'an within their respective provinces [6][7]. - Chengdu is projected to have a GDP of 23,511 million, representing 36.3% of Sichuan's total GDP, indicating its significant economic role [6]. Group 3: Multi-Center Development - The article notes that some regions are moving away from the "strong provincial capital" mindset to embrace a multi-center model, with cities like Mianyang and Yibin in Sichuan being designated as sub-centers [8][9]. - This shift reflects a broader trend where cities are encouraged to develop their unique strengths while contributing to the overall provincial economy [25][32]. Group 4: Future Directions and Strategic Positioning - The article emphasizes that the logic behind the "strong provincial capital" strategy has evolved, focusing on enhancing core functions rather than merely expanding city size [15][18]. - Cities like Chengdu are being positioned as key economic and innovation centers in the western region, with a focus on international connectivity and advanced manufacturing [21][24]. Group 5: Regional Economic Dynamics - The article argues that the suitability of a strong provincial capital versus a multi-center approach depends on the economic strength and regional layout of the province [32][33]. - Strong provinces tend to adopt multi-center models, while weaker provinces may rely on a strong provincial capital to drive development [36][37].

Group 1 - The article discusses the talent recruitment initiative in Hunan Province aimed at retaining local talent and attracting external talent to boost innovation and entrepreneurship [4][7][8] - The initiative includes collaboration among the government, schools, and enterprises, with nearly 300,000 job positions available across various sectors [9][10] - Hunan is facing a significant population decline, being the first southern province to experience such a trend, with a total population decrease of over 1 million in the past four years [13][22][23] Group 2 - Hunan's population decline is characterized by three main factors: natural population decrease, net outflow of people, and the siphoning effect from Guangdong [36][44][51] - The natural population decrease in Hunan accounts for a significant portion of the overall decline, with 20.3 million in 2023 and 11.1 million in 2024 [38][39] - The net outflow of population is calculated at 15.7 million in 2023 and 17.9 million in 2024, indicating a trend of people leaving the province [44][45] Group 3 - The article highlights the industrial strength of neighboring provinces, particularly Anhui, which has seen significant growth in industrial revenue, contrasting with Hunan's slower industrial development [66][79] - Hunan's industrial revenue is notably lower than Anhui's by 1.35 trillion yuan, despite having a higher GDP [79] - The article emphasizes the importance of strengthening the provincial capital, Changsha, to mitigate the population decline and retain talent [81][88]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant reshaping of China's population distribution, highlighting a decline in population in many provinces and a concentration of growth in economically vibrant regions like Guangdong and Zhejiang [5][9][10]. Population Trends - In 2021, China's total population peaked at 1.4126 billion, but in 2022, the number of deaths exceeded births for the first time, marking a shift from natural population growth to decline [5]. - By 2024, 20 out of 31 provincial-level regions experienced a decrease in permanent resident population, with only 8 regions showing growth [9][10]. - Guangdong, Zhejiang, and Fujian are leading in population growth, while provinces like Shandong, Henan, and Hunan are seeing significant declines [10][14][16]. Regional Population Changes - Shandong's population decreased by 430,000 in 2024, marking the largest decline in the country, continuing a trend of population loss for three consecutive years [14]. - The article notes that from 2001 to 2021, Shandong's population grew by 11.72 million, making it one of the largest provinces by population [15]. - The trend of population decline has accelerated since 2020, affecting more regions, including traditionally populous provinces like Henan and Hunan [19][20]. Urban vs. Rural Dynamics - The article emphasizes that while people are still moving, they are less likely to migrate long distances, with a significant portion of the population now moving within their provinces [21]. - In economically active provinces, population growth is distributed across multiple cities, while in shrinking regions, provincial capitals are becoming the primary destinations for migrants [24][39]. Economic Factors Influencing Migration - Zhejiang is highlighted as a model where all 11 prefecture-level cities saw population growth from 2020 to 2024, driven by a robust economy [25]. - In contrast, Hunan's population growth is concentrated in Changsha, with other cities experiencing significant declines [27][31]. - The article discusses how provinces like Anhui and Guizhou are reversing population trends through industrial development, particularly in the automotive and data center sectors [41][46]. Challenges in Retaining Talent - Despite attracting talent through economic opportunities, many provinces face challenges in retaining workers due to limited job options and growth potential [50]. - The software industry in Guizhou, while growing, has seen a decline in employment numbers after reaching a peak, indicating difficulties in sustaining workforce growth [49].

Core Insights - The article discusses the competitive landscape of China's cities, emphasizing that cities must continuously improve or risk falling behind in economic rankings [3]. Group 1: GDP Rankings and City Competition - China has over 330 cities at the prefecture level or above, with Shanghai's GDP exceeding 5 trillion and some regions like Guoluo Prefecture and Sansha having GDPs below 10 billion [4]. - The threshold for the top 100 cities has increased to 360 billion, doubling compared to ten years ago [5]. - The 2024 GDP rankings show that cities like Nanjing, Tangshan, and Xiangyang are emerging as key players, with Tangshan becoming the first trillion-yuan city in Hebei [7][9]. - The number of trillion-yuan cities is concentrated in the eastern region, with the Yangtze River Delta hosting nine, while the Midwest struggles to have ordinary prefecture-level cities in the rankings [10][11]. Group 2: City Distribution and Economic Balance - The top 100 cities are primarily located in the eastern region, with Jiangsu, Shandong, Guangdong, and Zhejiang having the highest representation [21][24]. - Jiangsu is notable for having all its cities in the top 100, indicating a balanced economic development across its regions [26]. - Guangdong, despite being the largest economy, has fewer cities in the top 100 due to its extensive administrative divisions diluting economic scale [31][32]. Group 3: Midwestern and Western City Dynamics - In the central region, cities like Jiangxi outperform Hubei and Anhui, with Jiangxi's economic structure being more balanced and diverse [40][43]. - The western region has a combination of strong provincial capitals and resource-based cities, with 15 cities making it to the top 100 [58]. - The article highlights that the future of western cities lies in the development of provincial sub-centers, particularly in Sichuan and Shaanxi [73]. Group 4: Northeast Region Challenges - The Northeast region has only four cities in the top 100, reflecting a significant decline from its historical industrial prominence [76][79]. - Population decline and economic stagnation have led to a lack of cities entering the top rankings, with only Dalian and Shenyang nearing the trillion-yuan mark [83][84]. - The article suggests that revitalization efforts in the Northeast face significant challenges, with the potential for only gradual improvement in the coming years [88].

Core Insights - The population decline in Shandong Province has reached a record high of 428,000 in 2024, primarily affecting the young and middle-aged demographic, despite a relatively high birth rate ranking third in the country [1][5] - The strong provincial capital strategy is deemed urgent to counteract the population loss and enhance the province's vitality [1][6] Population Dynamics - Shandong's population loss is not solely due to declining birth rates, as the province has a large population base of over 100 million [1] - The outflow of young talent, particularly recent graduates, poses a significant risk to the province's future development [5] Economic Development - Shandong has not produced a leading city despite being China's third-largest economy, with Jinan and Qingdao ranking 18th and 13th respectively in GDP among Chinese cities [4] - Jinan's economic contribution to the province is only 13.7% of the total GDP, significantly lower than other provincial capitals like Chengdu and Wuhan, which contribute around 40% [4] Urbanization and Strategy - The development of the Jiaodong region is progressing but lacks sufficient focus on Jinan as the provincial capital [5] - Jinan's geographical limitations necessitate strategic planning, including the ongoing development of cross-river projects to enhance connectivity and attract talent [6] Future Outlook - The need for a major city in Shandong is critical for maintaining the province's competitive edge, as neighboring regions are increasingly attracting talent and resources [6] - The rise of Jinan is essential not only for the province's status but also for preserving its economic achievements [6]

Core Insights - The article discusses the evolving economic landscape of central provinces in China, focusing on the shift from a "strong provincial capital" model to a "multi-polar" development approach [1][2] - It highlights the economic and population primacy of provincial capitals like Wuhan, which leads the central region, while also addressing the challenges faced by other cities [3][5] Economic Performance - In 2024, Wuhan's GDP is projected to be 2110.6 billion yuan, accounting for 35.2% of Hubei's total GDP, with a population of 13.8 million, representing 23.7% of the province's population [4] - Other central provincial capitals like Changsha, Hefei, Zhengzhou, Nanchang, and Taiyuan show varying degrees of economic and population primacy, with their GDP and population shares being 28.7%, 26.7%, 22.9%, 22.8%, and 21.3% respectively [4][5] Development Trends - The article notes that while the population primacy of central provincial capitals has generally increased since the 14th Five-Year Plan, some cities like Wuhan, Changsha, and Taiyuan have seen a decline in economic primacy [2][7] - Zhengzhou, Hefei, and Nanchang have experienced growth in economic primacy, with Zhengzhou's GDP share increasing by 1.1 percentage points since 2020 [7][8] Urbanization Strategies - Central provinces are exploring new growth poles through the development of provincial sub-centers and urban agglomerations to avoid the "one city dominates" issue [2][10] - The article emphasizes the importance of urban agglomeration development, with examples from Hubei's "one main, two sub" strategy and the establishment of urban clusters like the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban area [9][11] Policy Support - Various provincial governments are implementing policies to enhance the capabilities of provincial capitals while also fostering the growth of sub-centers, indicating a balanced approach between "strong provincial capitals" and "multi-polar" development [12]

Core Insights - Fuzhou Rural Credit System has achieved significant growth in assets, deposits, and loans, with total assets reaching 266.8 billion yuan, a 20.89% increase from the beginning of 2023 [1] - The system aims to support rural revitalization and high-quality economic development in Fuzhou through innovative financial services and strategic partnerships [2][4] Group 1: Financial Performance - As of the end of Q1 2023, total assets reached 266.8 billion yuan, an increase of 46.1 billion yuan, or 20.89% [1] - Total deposits amounted to 224.5 billion yuan, up by 40.5 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 22% [1] - Total loans reached 139.2 billion yuan, increasing by 18.9 billion yuan, a growth of 15.7% [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The system is focusing on deepening specialized operations to support rural revitalization and the development of the real economy [2] - A Rural Property Rights Trading Service Center has been established to facilitate rural property transactions and enhance financial services [2] - The system has launched a "Fuzhou Rural Credit Financial Product Supermarket" to provide efficient credit services for rural resource allocation [2] Group 3: Sector-Specific Services - The system has developed a comprehensive marine financial service plan, issuing 12.5 billion yuan in loans for marine economic activities, leading the province in this sector [3] - It has also supported small and micro enterprises with 10.339 billion yuan in loans, enhancing the local economy [3] Group 4: Collaboration and Agreements - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed with the Fuzhou Municipal Government to establish a 300 billion yuan special credit scale over three years [4] - The system has formed partnerships with 48 government and agricultural entities to enhance rural revitalization efforts [5] Group 5: Digital Transformation and Service Enhancement - The introduction of the "Rongyidai" big data service platform aims to improve financial accessibility and efficiency [5] - The system has upgraded 183 branches and added 96 loan service points, achieving a 93.69% coverage for loan services [7] - A smart marketing platform has been launched to enhance customer outreach and service efficiency [5][6] Group 6: Community Impact - The system is committed to improving the quality of life for citizens by enhancing one-stop service capabilities and optimizing healthcare and housing financial services [7][8] - Initiatives include the establishment of "Medical Insurance e-Stations" and participation in housing fund supervision projects [7][8]