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他们为何不愿放弃农村户口?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-02 06:55
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and opportunities of rural revitalization in China, emphasizing the importance of integrating traditional agricultural civilization with modern development to achieve sustainable rural growth [10][11][21]. Group 1: Urbanization and Its Impact - Since the reform and opening up, China's urbanization has accelerated, with the urban population reaching 943.5 million by the end of 2024, marking a 67% urbanization rate [1][2]. - Urbanization has led to a reconfiguration of rural social and economic structures, resulting in issues such as rural decline, cultural disintegration, and ecological degradation [4][8]. Group 2: The Role of Rural Areas - Rural areas are fundamental to China's social structure, supporting political, economic, cultural, and ethical functions [5][6]. - The modernization process in China is not a mere replication of Western models but is rooted in traditional Chinese culture, highlighting the need for rural development [6][10]. Group 3: Challenges of Rural Revitalization - Rural revitalization faces multifaceted challenges, including economic, systemic, and governance issues, which hinder sustainable development [3][21]. - The household registration system has historically restricted population mobility, creating a dual structure that benefits urban residents while limiting rural development [5][7]. Group 4: Modernization of Agricultural Civilization - The revitalization of rural areas requires the modern transformation of agricultural civilization, which is essential for sustainable development [10][11]. - The integration of traditional agricultural values with modern elements is crucial for the success of rural revitalization strategies [11][12]. Group 5: Practical Models for Rural Revitalization - Three main models for rural revitalization are identified: government-led, enterprise-led, and collaborative models involving both government and enterprises [15][19]. - The government-led model often faces challenges due to the short-term focus of local officials, while the enterprise-led model may struggle with policy instability and profit concerns [16][18]. Group 6: Key Pathways for Sustainable Rural Revitalization - Sustainable rural revitalization must align with employment strategies, land reform, and cultural integration to address the complexities of rural development [21][23]. - The need for a balanced approach to land use and the promotion of cultural values in rural areas is emphasized to ensure long-term success [24][25].
特稿|蔡昉:从菲利普斯曲线到贝弗里奇曲线——应对结构性就业矛盾的政策框架
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-18 01:33
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the dual challenges and opportunities presented by the impact of artificial intelligence on employment and productivity, advocating for proactive capability building and institutional innovation to address these issues [1] Structural Employment Contradictions - The main contradiction in China's employment has shifted from total and cyclical issues to structural ones, necessitating adjustments in policy concepts, orientations, tools, and practices [1] - The natural unemployment rate in urban areas was estimated at approximately 5.05% before the COVID-19 pandemic, but the actual urban survey unemployment rate has frequently exceeded this level post-pandemic, indicating a higher natural unemployment rate [2] - Both urban unemployment rates and job vacancy rates have increased simultaneously, with the urban survey unemployment rate rising from 5.00% to 5.14% and the job-seeker ratio increasing from 1.04 to 1.37 between 2008-2016 and 2016-2024 [3] - The informalization of urban employment is evident, with private and non-unit employment rising from 53.0% in 2013 to 65.2% in 2023, and approximately 200 million people engaged in flexible employment in 2023 [4] - Labor mobility between urban and rural areas has become increasingly inward, with a slowdown in the transfer of agricultural labor to non-agricultural sectors, negatively impacting productivity [5] Causes of Structural Employment Contradictions - Structural employment contradictions are primarily driven by technological advancements leading to automation, which often results in job displacement [6] - Population factors, particularly aging, have contributed to a shortage of middle-aged workers, leading to increased automation in sectors where they were predominantly employed [7][8] - Institutional barriers, such as the household registration system, hinder effective labor market matching, with a significant proportion of the labor force being non-local residents [8] Addressing Structural Employment Contradictions - To tackle structural employment contradictions, there is a need for enhanced human capital development and a robust social protection system [9] - Emphasis on improving education and skill training to meet the demands of the AI era is crucial, with suggestions for extending compulsory education and establishing a lifelong learning system [9] - The social protection system should be improved to ensure equitable support for workers facing job displacement, with recommendations for increasing benefit levels and expanding public services [10] - Macroeconomic policy tools need to shift focus from aggregate measures to individual and structural aspects, enhancing coordination among government departments to improve labor market outcomes [11]