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楼市新规来了,21万亿“房贷”迎3大调整,4亿“房奴”有福了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 07:17
楼市新风:房贷三大调整,如何让"房奴"变"房主"? 更令人欣喜的是,这一下行趋势仍在持续。某金融数据服务商监测显示,2025年第三季度开始,已有超过20家全国性银行再次下调了房贷利 率,幅度在0.1-0.3个百分点不等。这意味着,购房者的房贷负担有望进一步减轻。 周末,老友小李神采奕奕地邀我赴宴。酒过三巡,他难掩喜色,神秘地分享了一个好消息:手机上刚收到银行短信,房贷利率又降了!这 下,每个月能少还近三百块呢! 小李的故事,并非个例。回溯2019年,他贷款120万购置房产,期限30年。最初,每月的房贷压力超过七千,如同一座大山。然而,经过几次 政策调整,如今月供已降至六千出头。他开怀大笑:"早知道有这么多利好政策,当初首付真该少付点!" 不得不说,像小李这样因房贷政策受益的购房者,绝非少数。根据银保监会最新数据,截至2025年6月,中国个人住房贷款余额已高达21.4万 亿元,背后是约4亿背负房贷的家庭。他们常常被戏称为"房奴",每月固定的房贷支出确实给许多家庭带来了不小的压力。但近期,楼市的一 系列调整,正悄然改变着这些"房奴"的处境,为他们带来了喘息之机。 那么,究竟是什么样的调整,能带来如此显著的变化?这 ...
2025楼市新风向:马云预言成真?楼市重大转变在即!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 17:46
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese real estate market is undergoing significant changes, with a fundamental shift in supply and demand dynamics, leading to a reevaluation of property values and investment strategies [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The total housing stock in China has exceeded 600 million units, sufficient to accommodate 3 billion people, far surpassing the current population of 1.4 billion [1]. - The population structure is changing, with a decrease of 47 million in the post-2000 generation compared to the post-1990 generation, and a total decline of 110 million from the post-1980 to post-1990 generation [1]. - Urbanization rate is nearing 70%, and the number of new homebuyers is significantly decreasing, with a projected decline of 2.63 million in the number of elementary school students by 2026 [2]. Group 2: Policy Changes - A dual-track system for affordable and commercial housing is being established, with plans to introduce 6 million affordable housing units in the next five years [2]. - Rent for affordable housing in cities like Beijing is already 30% lower than market prices, impacting the commercial housing market [2]. - The proportion of existing home sales is increasing, rising from 10.5% in 2020 to an expected 26.5% in 2024, reducing the risk of unfinished buildings for buyers [2]. Group 3: Future Trends - Mortgage rates have fallen below 3%, with potential for further decreases, leading to lower home buying costs [4]. - Cities are gradually relaxing purchase restrictions, with adjustments in non-core areas of major cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen [4]. - The market is shifting from a seller's market to a buyer's market, with a significant increase in the number of second-hand homes listed, surpassing 3 million in 2025 [4]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Three types of properties are identified as having potential investment value: renovated old communities in core urban areas, quality properties in prime locations with rental yields over 3.5%, and well-equipped new or nearly new homes that focus on living experience [6].
房贷利率下行扩需求稳预期
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-05-22 22:03
Core Viewpoint - The recent decrease in personal housing loan interest rates is expected to lower financial costs for homebuyers, thereby stimulating effective demand and stabilizing market expectations [1][2][3] Group 1: Interest Rate Changes - The 5-year loan market quotation rate (LPR) has decreased by 10 basis points to 3.5%, affecting 99% of housing loan rates linked to this LPR, resulting in a reduction of 10 basis points for both new and existing loans [1] - A typical example shows that for a loan of 1 million yuan over 30 years, the total repayment amount will decrease by 19,000 yuan due to the LPR adjustment, which is a significant financial relief for borrowers [2] Group 2: Market Demand and Behavior - The decline in housing loan rates is anticipated to enhance buyer behavior, particularly in the improvement demand segment, as lower rates and down payment ratios may encourage those who are hesitant to purchase to enter the market [3] - Recent statistics indicate a reduction in unsold housing inventory and an improvement in construction activity, suggesting a recovery in real estate sales [3] Group 3: Policy and Future Outlook - The government is urged to continue enhancing the supply of quality housing and to implement policies that adapt to the changing supply-demand dynamics in the real estate market [3] - The ongoing efforts to stabilize the housing market, including the successful "guarantee housing" campaign, are expected to further boost buyer confidence and market stability [3]