1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - The PVC market rebounds due to macro - sentiment, with marginal improvement in supply - demand. The overall supply is still abundant, and the improvement in supply - demand is limited. Attention should be paid to subsequent device maintenance and macro - side policy dynamics. The caustic soda spot price is stable with a downward trend, showing regional differences. The supply - side starts to increase slightly, and the demand - side has mixed performance. Key factors to watch include liquid chlorine price fluctuations, device dynamics, and the implementation of macro anti - involution details [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market News and Important Data PVC - **Futures Price and Basis**: The closing price of the PVC main contract is 4,757 yuan/ton (- 24), the East China basis is - 277 yuan/ton (+ 24), and the South China basis is - 237 yuan/ton (+ 44) [1] - **Spot Price**: The East China calcium carbide - based PVC is quoted at 4,480 yuan/ton (+ 0), and the South China calcium carbide - based PVC is quoted at 4,520 yuan/ton (+ 20) [1] - **Upstream Production Profit**: The semi - coke price is 750 yuan/ton (+ 0), the calcium carbide price is 2,780 yuan/ton (+ 0), the calcium carbide profit is - 110 yuan/ton (+ 0), the gross profit of PVC calcium carbide - based production is - 986 yuan/ton (+ 116), the gross profit of PVC ethylene - based production is - 469 yuan/ton (+ 51), and the PVC export profit is - 11.7 US dollars/ton (- 5.7) [1] - **PVC Inventory and Start - up**: The in - plant PVC inventory is 32.9 million tons (- 1.6), the social PVC inventory is 51.1 million tons (- 0.7), the start - up rate of PVC calcium carbide - based production is 77.46% (+ 0.45%), the start - up rate of PVC ethylene - based production is 70.73% (- 3.33%), and the overall PVC start - up rate is 75.42% (- 0.70%) [1] - **Downstream Order Situation**: The pre - sales volume of production enterprises is 76.2 million tons (+ 11.4) [1] Caustic Soda - **Futures Price and Basis**: The closing price of the SH main contract is 2,233 yuan/ton (- 17), and the basis of 32% liquid caustic soda in Shandong is 1 yuan/ton (+ 1) [1] - **Spot Price**: The price of 32% liquid caustic soda in Shandong is 715 yuan/ton (- 5), and the price of 50% liquid caustic soda in Shandong is 1,140 yuan/ton (+ 0) [2] - **Upstream Production Profit**: The single - product profit of caustic soda in Shandong is 1,214 yuan/ton (- 16), the comprehensive profit of chlor - alkali in Shandong (0.8 tons of liquid chlorine) is 529.4 yuan/ton (- 55.6), the comprehensive profit of chlor - alkali in Shandong (1 ton of PVC) is - 222.58 yuan/ton (+ 4.38), and the comprehensive profit of chlor - alkali in the Northwest (1 ton of PVC) is 423.99 yuan/ton (+ 30.00) [2] - **Caustic Soda Inventory and Start - up**: The liquid caustic soda factory inventory is 44.22 million tons (- 2.25), the flake caustic soda factory inventory is 2.97 million tons (- 0.54), and the caustic soda start - up rate is 86.00% (+ 1.50%) [2] - **Caustic Soda Downstream Start - up**: The alumina start - up rate is 85.00% (- 1.11%), the printing and dyeing start - up rate in East China is 61.28% (- 0.78%), and the viscose staple fiber start - up rate is 87.03% (- 2.59%) [2] Market Analysis PVC - **Macro Factors**: The "15th Five - Year Plan" draft compilation meeting and the Ministry of Housing and Urban - Rural Development's emphasis on stabilizing the real estate market boost PVC demand expectations. The statements of the financial regulatory authorities and the State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission strengthen the policy atmosphere [3] - **Supply - Demand Situation**: Supply decreases slightly due to new and continued device maintenance, but the supply side is still abundant. Downstream start - up decreases slightly, and the export orders remain resilient before the double festivals. Social inventory is slightly reduced but still at a high level year - on - year [3] - **Profit and Market Pressure**: The comprehensive chlor - alkali production profit of the upstream PVC has some recovery, but it is still at a low level year - on - year. The calcium carbide and semi - coke production are both in the red. The high - level warehouse receipts put pressure on the PVC futures price [3] Caustic Soda - **Price and Inventory**: The caustic soda spot price is stable with a downward trend, showing regional differences. Shandong's inventory pressure is partially relieved, while Jiangsu's caustic soda inventory accumulates [3] - **Supply - Demand Situation**: The supply - side start - up rate increases slightly, and the overall start - up is at a high level. The liquid chlorine price is positive but is expected to decline further, which may strengthen the cost support. The alumina plant's demand is relatively stable, while non - aluminum demand weakens [3] Strategy - **PVC**: The unilateral strategy is to oscillate, the inter - period strategy is to wait and see, and there is no cross - variety strategy [5] - **Caustic Soda**: The unilateral strategy is to oscillate, the inter - period strategy is to wait and see, and there is no cross - variety strategy [5]

Group 1: Meituan's Support for Small Merchants - Meituan has launched a support plan for small merchants, providing financial assistance to help more small restaurants achieve stable growth [1] - By the end of this year, Meituan aims to cover over 100,000 small restaurants with its support funds, with a maximum assistance of 50,000 yuan per store [1] Group 2: Industry Competition and Regulation - Major food delivery platforms Meituan, Ele.me, and JD.com have announced a joint effort to resist "involution" competition and maintain a healthy industry ecosystem [3] - The platforms' statements align with recent regulatory requirements, emphasizing the need to standardize subsidy behaviors, oppose involution, and improve service quality [4] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has urged these platforms to comply with various laws and regulations, promoting a win-win ecosystem for consumers, merchants, delivery riders, and platform companies [4] Group 3: JD.com's Discount Supermarket Strategy - JD.com is set to open five discount supermarkets in Jiangsu and Hebei, utilizing its supply chain advantages to operate large stores with a wide range of SKUs [4] - The first store in Zhuozhou will cover an area of 5,000 square meters and offer over 5,000 high-quality daily goods at prices generally lower than market rates [6] - JD.com's discount supermarket model is distinct from existing small-format discount stores, focusing on large-scale operations and direct sourcing from producers [6] Group 4: Market Trends in Discount Supermarkets - The discount supermarket format is gaining traction, with various companies, including traditional supermarkets and snack brands, entering the market [6] - Research indicates that discount supermarkets are expanding rapidly, with both snack brands and regional retailers transforming traditional supermarkets into discount formats [7] - There is significant potential for optimization in the discount supermarket sector, as leading snack brands have already established a large number of stores and possess advantages in funding, talent, and supply chains [7]

Core Viewpoint - The Beijing Catering Industry Association has issued a proposal to jointly resist "involution-style" competition to maintain fair market order, emphasizing that such competition disrupts market order, harms consumer rights, squeezes reasonable profit margins, and undermines sustainable industry development [1] Group 1: Resisting Irrational Competition - Companies are urged to adhere to pricing and subsidy norms, avoiding predatory pricing below cost and coercive trading practices [2] - There is a call to ensure quality and service by complying with national laws and standards, avoiding misleading practices such as false advertising and hidden fees [2] - The proposal emphasizes the importance of maintaining business reputation and integrity, resisting malicious actions that damage the industry's image [2] Group 2: Enhancing Core Competitiveness - Companies are encouraged to abandon short-sighted price competition and focus on maintaining reasonable profit margins [3] - The emphasis is on value creation and innovation, directing resources towards technology development, product upgrades, and service optimization [3] - Building differentiated competitive advantages through precise market positioning and enhancing user experience is highlighted as a key strategy [3] Group 3: Strengthening Self-Discipline - Companies should conduct regular compliance self-checks against relevant laws and industry standards to identify and rectify potential risks [4] - Establishing a robust internal compliance management system and providing employee training on compliance is recommended [4] - There is a call for companies to voluntarily accept social supervision and enhance operational transparency [4] Group 4: Collaborative Governance - The proposal advocates for maintaining symbiotic relationships within the supply chain, ensuring fair transactions and timely payments [5] - Companies are encouraged to fulfill social responsibilities by providing safe working conditions and promoting sustainable practices [5] - Participation in industry self-regulation and standard enhancement activities is encouraged to elevate overall industry quality [6]