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【机构策略】A股市场已进入政策与资金双轮驱动阶段
中原证券认为,周三A股三大指数涨跌互现,上证指数冲高遇阻,盘中银行、保险、游戏以及消费等行 业表现较好;电池、多元金融、小金属以及工程机械等行业表现较弱。长期资金入市步伐加快,ETF规 模稳步增长,保险资金持续流入,形成显著的托底力量。美联储6月议息会议维持利率不变,但降息路 径仍存不确定性,若释放明确降息信号将显著提振全球风险偏好。当前,A股市场已进入政策与资金双 轮驱动阶段,慢涨格局基本确立。虽然短期面临技术性调整压力,但中期上行趋势未改。预计短期市场 以稳步震荡上行为主,仍需密切关注政策面、资金面以及外盘的变化情况。 东莞证券认为,周三A股三大指数涨跌不一,上证指数冲高回落,创业板指全天弱势震荡。海外市场方 面,美联储将于周三结束为期两天的政策会议,市场普遍预计此次会议美联储仍将按兵不动。此外,本 周五,美国还将公布6月非农报告,目前,市场预计报告将显示就业增长放缓、失业率上升,更多线索 可能将在该报告中揭示。目前上证指数来到3600点上方,技术面走势仍处于强势格局,不过高位也出现 一定分化,特别是创业板的回调也显示出市场抛压有所加大,需要注意高位的震荡反复。 财信证券认为,周三A股市场尽管出现冲高回落 ...
市场分析:医药半导体领涨,A股先抑后扬
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-07-29 13:34
Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "stronger than the market," indicating an expected increase of over 10% in the industry index relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [17]. Core Viewpoints - The A-share market experienced a slight upward trend after an initial decline, with significant performance in the pharmaceutical, communication equipment, aerospace, and semiconductor sectors, while insurance, banking, agriculture, and precious metals lagged behind [2][3][7]. - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are currently at 14.78 times and 41.32 times, respectively, which are at the median levels of the past three years, suggesting a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [3][16]. - The market is characterized by a dual driving force of policy and capital, with a gradual upward trend established despite short-term technical adjustment pressures [3][16]. Summary by Sections A-share Market Overview - On July 29, the A-share market showed a pattern of initial decline followed by a slight recovery, with the Shanghai Composite Index finding support around 3587 points and closing at 3609.71 points, up 0.33% [7][8]. - The total trading volume for both markets was 18,296 billion, slightly lower than the previous trading day [7][16]. Future Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on technology growth and cyclical manufacturing as the main investment themes, while also keeping an eye on high-dividend banks, public utilities, and strategic emerging industries [3][16]. - Short-term investment opportunities are recommended in the pharmaceutical, communication equipment, aerospace, and semiconductor sectors [3][16].