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俄罗斯聚焦技术升级促经济转型
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-05 22:19
Global Governance Shift - The current world order is undergoing profound adjustments, with emerging economies represented by BRICS rapidly rising, and some emerging economies' income and living standards now comparable to or exceeding those of developed countries [2] - The traditional "developed-developing" binary classification is weakening, as emerging economies accelerate their ascent while developed economies exhibit strong resistance to relinquishing their central positions [2] - This resistance manifests in various areas, including technological competition, trade barriers, and sanctions, which are not only aimed at Russia but also used to suppress other nations [2] Economic Transition - The world economy is in a deep transitional phase, with new financial and settlement systems emerging to replace traditional mechanisms like SWIFT, including national systems and multilateral platforms such as BRICS Bridge [3] - These new mechanisms are not currently intended to replace the US dollar or existing payment systems but exist as parallel systems, with the potential for future evolution into more competitive institutions [3] Key Priorities - Current priority issues include addressing natural disasters and climate crises, resolving debt issues, promoting energy transition, ensuring critical mineral supply, fostering inclusive growth and industrialization, expanding employment and poverty reduction, ensuring food security, and leading sustainable development through AI and innovation [4] - The role of institutional platforms like G20, BRICS, and SCO is increasingly significant in shaping global governance [4] Technological Transformation - Russia recognizes the importance of technology in economic development and the need to prepare for long-term economic transformation, moving beyond reliance on fossil fuels [5] - The core of economic competition lies in the ability to widely and deeply apply and develop artificial intelligence across various sectors [5] - There is an acknowledgment of the risks associated with digitalization, such as cyber fraud, necessitating a dual approach of leveraging strengths while enhancing cybersecurity capabilities [5] Fiscal and Financial Policy - Stable, balanced, and predictable fiscal and financial policies are essential for achieving complex economic goals and promoting technological advancement [6] - The upcoming budget will focus on technological sovereignty, shifting from broad support to targeted support for national priority goals, particularly in microelectronics, machine tools, and robotics [6]
中美若硬脱钩,全球蒸发7.4万亿美元?赢家浮出水面,中国留后手
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 08:41
Group 1 - The IMF report indicates that a complete economic decoupling between China and the US could reduce global GDP by 7%, amounting to a loss of $7.4 trillion, equivalent to the combined economic output of France and Germany [2][5] - The ongoing trade tensions have evolved beyond trade disputes, now impacting technology and supply chains, leading to a downward revision of global growth expectations from 3.3% to 2.8% [4] - Emerging economies are rising in this geopolitical landscape, with Malaysia attracting $13.5 billion in foreign investment for semiconductor facilities in 2023, surpassing the total from 2013 to 2020 [7] Group 2 - Vietnam has significantly increased its exports to the US from $50 billion in 2017 to over $100 billion in 2023, with an expected economic growth rate of 5.3% by 2025, benefiting from regional trade agreements [9] - Hungary is also benefiting from Chinese investments in electric vehicle production, with an expected economic growth of 2.4% by 2025, reflecting a shift from fossil fuel dependency to electric transformation [11] - The International Bank for Settlements reports that Western companies are facing increased supply chain costs and inefficiencies due to adjustments, while emerging economies are leveraging low costs and policy flexibility for higher growth rates [13] Group 3 - China is diversifying its market strategies, with exports to ASEAN expected to surpass those to the US in 2024, indicating a significant shift in trade partnerships [15] - The self-sufficiency rate of China's semiconductor industry is projected to rise from 20% in 2018 to over 50% by 2025, showcasing a strategic response to external pressures [17] - The Belt and Road Initiative is expanding from infrastructure to digital and green sectors, with investments in over 80 countries by 2025, promoting high-tech cooperation [18] Group 4 - Global debt has reached $100 trillion, accounting for 93% of GDP, with the IMF projecting a global growth reduction of 0.2% to 7% due to US-China competition [20] - Currently, the US and China have extended a tariff truce for 90 days, with ongoing negotiations, while China's foreign trade is growing at 5.4%, benefiting emerging markets [22]
迟至的道歉,远非历史的终点(环球走笔)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-06 22:49
Core Points - The Netherlands has officially returned 119 Benin bronzes to Nigeria, which were looted by British troops in 1897, marking a significant step in addressing historical injustices [1] - Several European countries have begun to publicly apologize for their colonial histories and the injustices associated with them, indicating a growing recognition of past wrongs [1] - The delayed acknowledgment of colonial atrocities raises questions about the timing and sincerity of these apologies, as many occurred centuries after the events [2] - The rise of economic globalization and social media has amplified voices from developing countries, challenging the historical narrative dominated by the West [3] - Acknowledging colonial history and returning looted artifacts is seen as a step forward, but more substantial actions are needed to address the ongoing impacts of colonialism [3][4] Group 1 - The return of the Benin bronzes is viewed as a corrective measure for historical injustices [1] - Apologies from European nations for colonial actions have become more common in recent years [1] - The historical context of these apologies often spans centuries, highlighting a delayed response to past injustices [2] Group 2 - The emergence of new economic powers and the influence of social media have shifted the global narrative, allowing for greater recognition of developing countries' experiences [3] - Current social issues in Western societies are linked to historical colonial practices, prompting a reevaluation of the past [3] - There is a call for more concrete actions beyond apologies to address the legacies of colonialism and support healing [3][4]