Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 20.9 CNY, indicating a potential upside of approximately 39% from the current price of 15.00 CNY [2][9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the deep cooling technology sector, leveraging a dual-engine model of "equipment manufacturing + gas operation" to drive growth. The company has successfully diversified its operations and is expanding into international markets [6][13]. - The demand for deep cooling technology is expected to grow due to rising oil prices and the economic viability of technological innovations in the energy and chemical sectors. The company has seen a significant increase in new orders, particularly from overseas markets [7][8]. - The gas operation segment is also expanding, with the company investing in industrial and rare gases, which are anticipated to become new revenue sources as projects reach production capacity [6][8]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of 27.17 billion CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year decline of 10.9%. However, revenue is expected to rebound with growth rates of 18.8%, 19.7%, and 22.2% in the following years [2][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -78 million CNY in 2024, but is expected to recover significantly to 403 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 616.3% [2][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to improve from -0.20 CNY in 2024 to 1.04 CNY in 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20 times for 2025 [2][9]. Business Model and Market Position - The company has established a strong market position in the deep cooling technology sector, with its core products including natural gas liquefaction devices and large air separation units. The company has also successfully exported its products to 53 countries [6][13]. - The gas operation segment has been enhanced through strategic investments, including a joint venture with Posco Holdings to operate projects abroad, marking a significant step in the company's international expansion [6][8]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with new orders in 2024 expected to reach approximately 1.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of over 25% [6][8]. Industry Outlook - The deep cooling technology industry is poised for growth, driven by increasing domestic investments in energy security and the economic viability of coal chemical and natural gas sectors. The company is well-positioned to benefit from these trends [7][8]. - The report highlights the importance of deep cooling technology in enhancing energy efficiency and meeting environmental standards in the coal chemical industry, which is expected to see sustained demand [6][45].

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of CNY 4.131 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.89% [8] - The total profit was CNY -380 million, a year-on-year increase of 16.02% [8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY -380 million, a year-on-year increase of 7.84% [8] - Operating costs amounted to CNY 3.996 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.78% [8] - The total period expenses reached CNY 320 million, a year-on-year increase of 35.58% [8] Cash Flow and Financial Stability - The net cash flow from operating activities increased by 26.87% in 2024 [3] - The company reported a 70% year-on-year decline in net cash flow from operating activities in 2024 [3] - Financial expenses increased by 38% year-on-year, with interest expenses exceeding 200% of net profit [9] Government Subsidies and Profit Dependency - Government subsidies accounted for over 150% of net profit in 2024, totaling CNY 2.605 million [3] - The company does not rely on non-recurring gains for profitability and aims to enhance self-sustaining profit capabilities [3] Management and Operational Efficiency - The management expense ratio increased by 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, with management expenses rising by 10.32% [3] - The sales expense ratio rose by 1.7 percentage points to 6.5%, while sales expenses decreased by 20.07% [5] - Accounts receivable turnover days increased by 35 days, with overdue accounts receivable over 90 days rising to 18% [6] Market Conditions and Industry Outlook - The chemical industry faced significant pressure due to weak demand and intensified competition, leading to a decline in product prices [10] - The company maintains a competitive advantage compared to peers despite the challenging market environment [10] - The future of the coal chemical industry is expected to focus on clean energy and high-end chemical products, aligning with national policies [12] Debt and Financing - Short-term borrowings increased by 55%, while long-term borrowings decreased by 30% [20] - The company emphasizes maintaining a reasonable funding structure and managing cash flow safety [20]

Core Insights - The Inner Mongolia Baofeng coal-based olefin project (Phase I) has successfully commenced steam cracking operations, achieving qualified product output, making it the largest coal-based olefin plant globally with a production capacity of 3 million tons [1][2] - The DMTO technology used in the project is a new coal chemical core technology developed collaboratively by the Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) Guangzhou Engineering Company, featuring independent intellectual property rights [1][2] - The DMTO series technology has been licensed 38 times, achieving a total olefin production capacity of 26.35 million tons per year, with 20 DMTO units designed or constructed by Sinopec Guangzhou Engineering Company already in operation, totaling 13.08 million tons per year [3] Project Overview - The Inner Mongolia Baofeng coal-based olefin project primarily uses coal as a raw material to produce olefins, including gasification, air separation, purification, methanol synthesis, and full-density polyethylene and polypropylene production units [2] - Sinopec Guangzhou Engineering Company is responsible for the design of three DMTO units (using DMTO-III technology), one steam cracking unit, and the entire plant's storage and transportation tank area [2] - The DMTO-III technology has shown to reduce methanol consumption per ton of olefin and significantly increase the production capacity of single units, allowing for flexible operation based on market demand [2] Technological Advancements - Since the signing of the DMTO-III development agreement in July 2020, the research team has developed several new technologies and equipment, including a series of energy optimizations for the DMTO-III unit, enhancing the efficiency of the coupling between DMTO and olefin separation units [1][2] - The first industrial unit using DMTO-III technology, with an olefin production capacity of over 1 million tons, was completed in Ningxia in August 2023, leading to continuous improvements in engineering technology based on operational data analysis [2] - The upcoming DMTO unit with a production capacity of 1.35 million tons per year is expected to set a new record for the largest single methanol-to-olefin unit [3]

Group 1: Industry Outlook - The coal chemical industry is shifting towards new coal chemical processes, focusing on clean energy and chemical products as target outputs [3] - The development of large industrial bases is essential for the future of the coal chemical industry, aligning with national policies promoting modern coal chemical industry [3] - The industry is expected to evolve towards high-end, refined, green, and cluster-based production [3] Group 2: Company Performance - In 2024, the chemical industry faced low demand and intensified competition, leading to a decline in product prices and significant operational pressure for coal chemical companies [4] - Despite challenges, the company has maintained a relative competitive advantage compared to peers, with specific details available in the 2024 annual report [4] - In Q1 2025, the company experienced a significant improvement in operating performance compared to the same period in 2024, aided by a decrease in coal prices [6] Group 3: Growth Strategies - The company is focused on sustainable development through internal management improvements and external acquisitions to enhance its risk resilience and long-term stability [5] - Cost reductions from falling coal prices have positively impacted the company's product costs, although export challenges remain due to the US-China tariff conflict [6]