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天风MorningCall·0708 | 策略-中观景气度/固收-转债/银行-国有大行“村支改”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 11:20
Group 1 - The overall industry sentiment shows an upward trend in coal, machinery, electronics, food and beverage, textiles, non-bank financials, public utilities, and retail, while electricity equipment, pharmaceuticals, light manufacturing, home appliances, automotive, banking, real estate, and environmental protection are on a downward trend [1] - The automotive sector sees a significant increase in daily sales of passenger cars by 18.44%, but the operating rate of semi-steel tires has decreased by 7.64 percentage points [1] - The machinery equipment sector reports a 4.65% increase in the ex-factory price of liquid oxygen [1] Group 2 - The convertible bond market experienced a decline this week, with the weighted average conversion value increasing to 94.08 yuan, up by 2.58 yuan from last week, and the weighted average premium rate decreasing by 2.77 percentage points to 45.56% [4] - There is a recommendation to focus on convertible bond downshift opportunities, particularly as recent downshift proposals have seen significant price increases [4] Group 3 - The reform and risk mitigation of village and town banks is a key focus for financial work in 2024, with over 50 village banks undergoing mergers and restructuring in the first half of the year [5] - The overall performance of banks remains stable, with investment value supported by high valuations and policy benefits [5] Group 4 - Lens Technology and Luxshare Precision are planning to list in Hong Kong, enhancing their global presence, while the US-Vietnam trade agreement is expected to lower supply chain costs for Apple [8] - The upcoming release of Nvidia's GB300 AI chip is anticipated to significantly boost revenue opportunities, with AI server revenue expected to exceed 50% [8] Group 5 - The instant beverage market is projected to grow significantly, with China's per capita consumption still having room for improvement [17] - IFBH's successful IPO and strong revenue growth highlight its leading position in the coconut water market, which is expected to continue expanding [17] Group 6 - The cement supply-side reform focuses on eliminating excess capacity, with a current utilization rate of only 53%, indicating potential for improvement [20] - The electronic cloth sector is experiencing a positive outlook due to increased demand driven by computing power expectations [20]
D-阿洛酮糖获批,TDI、DMF价格上涨
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-07-07 11:11
行业报告 | 行业研究周报 基础化工 证券研究报告 D-阿洛酮糖获批,TDI、DMF 价格上涨 上周指 25 年 6 月 23-29 日(下同),本周指 25 年 6 月 30 日-7 月 6 日(下同)。 本周重点新闻跟踪 7 月 2 日,国家卫健委官网发布《关于 D—阿洛酮糖等 20 种"三新食品"的公 告》,根据《中华人民共和国食品安全法》规定,审评机构组织专家对 D-阿洛酮 糖等 5 种物质申请作为新食品原料,氨基肽酶等 9 种物质申请作为食品添加剂新品 种,月桂酸铵等 6 种物质申请作为食品相关产品新品种的安全性评估材料进行审查 并通过。 本周重点产品价格跟踪点评 本周 WTI 油价上涨 1.5%,为 66.5 美元/桶。 重点关注子行业:本周 TDI/DMF/乙二醇/电石法 PVC 价格分别上涨 6.7%/5.1%/0.5%/0.1%;VE/重质纯碱/轻质纯碱/聚合 MDI/醋酸/纯 MDI/钛白粉/VA/橡 胶/烧碱价格分别下跌 7.6%/7.4%/5.5%/4.3%/2.3%/1.8%/1.5%/0.8%/0.7%/0.5%;氨纶/乙烯 法 PVC/尿素/固体蛋氨酸/液体蛋氨酸/粘胶长丝/粘胶 ...
基础化工周报:乙烷供应链风险彻底解除-20250706
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-06 12:44
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report presents a weekly data briefing on the basic chemical industry, covering price and profit changes in various sectors such as polyurethane, oil - gas - olefin, and coal - chemical industries, as well as the performance of related listed companies [2][8][10] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Basic Chemical Weekly Data Briefing - **Related Company Performance** - The basic chemical index had a weekly increase of 0.8%, a monthly increase of 3.3%, a quarterly increase of 3.1%, and an annual increase of 15.9% as of July 4, 2025. Among related companies, Wanhua Chemical had a weekly increase of 1.3%, Baofeng Energy had a weekly decrease of 1.5%, Satellite Chemical had a weekly increase of 4.0%, and Huarun Hengsheng had a weekly increase of 1.0% [8] - In terms of profitability, Wanhua Chemical's estimated归母净利润 in 2025 is 13966 million yuan, Baofeng Energy's is 12360 million yuan, Satellite Chemical's is 7004 million yuan, and Huarun Hengsheng's is 4265 million yuan [8] - **Polyurethane Industry Chain** - The average prices of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI this week were 16940, 15220, and 12000 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of - 100, - 430, and + 775 yuan/ton. Their respective gross profits were 3718, 3061, and 897 yuan/ton, with week - on - week changes of + 162, - 116, and + 1177 yuan/ton [2][8] - **Oil - Gas - Olefin Industry Chain** - Raw material prices: The average prices of ethane, propane,动力煤, and naphtha this week were 1198, 4071, 470, and 4108 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of + 25, - 118, + 0, and - 114 yuan/ton [2][8] - Product prices and profits: The average price of polyethylene was 7946 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 29 yuan/ton. The theoretical profits of ethane cracking, CTO, and naphtha cracking to produce polyethylene were 1365, 2091, and 189 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of - 50, - 19, and + 94 yuan/ton. The average price of polypropylene was 7120 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 16 yuan/ton. The theoretical profits of PDH, CTO, and naphtha cracking to produce polypropylene were 56, 1742, and 20 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of + 94, - 11, and + 101 yuan/ton [2] - **Coal - Chemical Industry Chain** - The average prices of synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid this week were 2242, 1797, 4020, and 2349 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of + 28, - 5, + 60, and - 32 yuan/ton. Their respective gross profits were 352, 144, - 186, and 6 yuan/ton, with week - on - week changes of + 16, - 12, + 28, and + 2 yuan/ton [2][10] 3.2 Basic Chemical Weekly Report - **2.1 Basic Chemical Index Trend** - No detailed content provided in the given text - **2.2 Polyurethane Plate** - Analyzes the price and profit trends of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI [2][8] - **2.3 Oil - Gas - Olefin Plate** - Discusses the price trends of raw materials such as ethane, propane,动力煤, and naphtha, as well as the profit situations of different production processes for polyethylene and polypropylene [2][8] - **2.4 Coal - Chemical Plate** - Covers the price and profit trends of coal - chemical products such as synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid [2][10]
基础化工周报:焦煤焦炭价格继续下探-20250629
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-29 08:12
证券研究报告 基础化工周报:焦煤焦炭价格继续下探 能源化工首席证券分析师:陈淑娴,CFA 执业证书编号:S0600523020004 联系方式:chensx@dwzq.com.cn 能源化工研究助理:周少玟 执业证书编号:S0600123070007 联系方式:zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2025年06月29日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 2 ◼ 【聚氨酯板块】本周纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业均价为17040/15650/11225元/吨,环比分别-170/-120/-155元/吨, 纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业毛利分别为3556/3177/-280元/吨,环比分别-158/-36/-69元/吨。 ◼ 【油煤气烯烃板块】①本周乙烷/丙烷/动力煤/石脑油均价分别为1172/4189/470/4221元/吨,环比分别-72/-183/- 25/-330元/吨。②本周聚乙烯均价为7975元/吨,环比+30元/吨,乙烷裂解/CTO/石脑油裂解制聚乙烯理论利润分别 为1418/2113/100元/吨,环比分别+93/+89/+348元/吨。③本周聚丙烯均价为7136元/吨,环比-24 ...
基础化工周报:焦煤焦炭价格持续下跌-20250622
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-22 09:14
证券研究报告 能源化工首席证券分析师:陈淑娴,CFA 执业证书编号:S0600523020004 联系方式:chensx@dwzq.com.cn 能源化工研究助理:周少玟 执业证书编号:S0600123070007 联系方式:zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2025年06月22日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 2 ◼ 【聚氨酯板块】本周纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业均价为17210/15770/11380元/吨,环比分别-360/-20/-178元/吨, 纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业毛利分别为3714/3214/-211元/吨,环比分别-620/-320/-229元/吨。 ◼ 【油煤气烯烃板块】①本周乙烷/丙烷/动力煤/石脑油均价分别为1245/4373/495/4547元/吨,环比分别- 142/+107/-5/+356元/吨。②本周聚乙烯均价为7945元/吨,环比+138元/吨,乙烷裂解/CTO/石脑油裂解制聚乙烯 理论利润分别为1323/2021/-246元/吨,环比分别+230/+101/-263元/吨。③本周聚丙烯均价为7160元/吨,环比 +50元/吨,PDH/CTO/ ...
4天2板兴化股份:子公司兴化化工甲醇装置设计产能为30万吨/年 2024年对外销售约6.23万吨
news flash· 2025-06-18 08:08
兴化股份在互动平台表示,公司子公司兴化化工 甲醇装置设计产能为30万吨/年,2024年度甲醇产量 32.29万吨。因其装置自身产品配套需要,大部分甲醇自用于生产甲胺、DMF、乙醇等产品,2024年度 兴化化工甲醇产品的对外销售约6.23万吨、销售额(不含税)为1.22亿元。 ...
基础化工周报:焦煤焦炭价格继续下滑-20250615
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-15 07:02
2 ◼ 【聚氨酯板块】本周纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业均价为17570/15790/11558元/吨,环比分别-318/-285/-892元/吨, 纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业毛利分别为4334/3534/18元/吨,环比分别-329/-322/-902元/吨。 ◼ 【油煤气烯烃板块】①本周乙烷/丙烷/动力煤/石脑油均价分别为1387/4267/500/4140元/吨,环比分别+197/+9/- 18/+111元/吨。②本周聚乙烯均价为7807元/吨,环比+17元/吨,乙烷裂解/CTO/石脑油裂解制聚乙烯理论利润分别 为1091/1917/65元/吨,环比分别-181/+59/-97元/吨。③本周聚丙烯均价为7110元/吨,环比+10元/吨, PDH/CTO/石脑油裂解制聚丙烯理论利润分别为-119/1656/-15元/吨,环比分别-1/+57/-100元/吨。 ◼ 【煤化工板块】本周合成氨/尿素/DMF/醋酸行业均价为2348/1803/3965/2376元/吨,环比分别-1/-58/-60/-52元/ 吨,合成氨/尿素/DMF/醋酸行业毛利分别为462/137/-119/32元/吨,环比分别+16 ...
基础化工周报:尿素价格略有下滑-20250608
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-08 09:22
证券研究报告 基础化工周报:尿素价格略有下滑 能源化工首席证券分析师:陈淑娴,CFA 执业证书编号:S0600523020004 联系方式:chensx@dwzq.com.cn 能源化工研究助理:周少玟 执业证书编号:S0600123070007 联系方式:zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2025年06月08日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 2 ◼ 【聚氨酯板块】本周纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业均价为17888/16075/12450元/吨,环比分别-13/+15/-63元/吨,纯 MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业毛利分别为4663/3856/920元/吨,环比分别+40/+47/-283元/吨。 ◼ 【油煤气烯烃板块】①本周乙烷/丙烷/动力煤/石脑油均价分别为1190/4257/518/4025元/吨,环比分别-53/-51/-8/- 34元/吨。②本周聚乙烯均价为7790元/吨,环比-77元/吨,乙烷裂解/CTO/石脑油裂解制聚乙烯理论利润分别为 1272/1858/167元/吨,环比分别+39/-35/-16元/吨。③本周聚丙烯均价为7100元/吨,环比-80元/吨,PDH/CT ...
化肥:冰火两重 绿肥红瘦   
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-05-27 02:19
2024年,国内化肥行业在产能扩张、价格波动及政策调控的多重因素影响下,经营业绩"绿肥红瘦"。其 中,氮肥行业面临尿素供过于求导致的利润挤压,磷复肥凭借资源优势和产业链延伸实现稳健增长,而 钾肥则受国际局势与碳酸锂价格暴跌拖累业绩大幅下滑。与此同时,头部企业通过差异化战略、产业链 整合和技术创新,在逆周期中展现出较强的抗风险能力,行业集中度进一步提升。 氮肥:价格下跌承压 降本增效制胜 2024年,国内氮肥行业在产能持续扩张与价格持续低迷的双重压力下,企业业绩呈现明显分化。年内尿 素平均出厂价同比下跌14.6%,行业整体盈利空间受到严重挤压。在此背景下,部分企业深陷亏损,而 具备成本优势、产业链延伸能力强的龙头企业则通过产能优化、产品升级实现逆势增长。其中,华鲁恒 升、鲁西化工、湖北宜化、心连心等化肥龙头企业净利润大幅增长,展现出较强的抗风险能力。 华鲁恒升被业内誉为"红海之王",低成本优势突出。公司去年实现营收342.26亿元、归母净利润39.03亿 元,同比分别增长25.55%和9.14%。鲁西化工去年实现营收297.63亿元、归母净利润20.29亿元,同比分 别增长17.37%和147.79%。不过,化 ...
兴化股份(002109) - 002109兴化股份投资者关系管理信息20250521
2025-05-21 07:48
证券代码:002109 证券简称:兴化股份 陕西兴化化学股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号:2025002 | | □特定对象调研 | □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 活动类别 | □媒体采访 | ☑业绩说明会 | | | □新闻发布会 | □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | □电话会议 | | | □其他: (请文字说明其他活动内容) | | | 参与单位名 称及人员姓 | 投资者网上提问 | | | 名 | | | | 时间 | 2025 年 5 月 20 日(周二)15:00~17:00 | | | 地点 | 公司通过全景网"投资者关系互动平台"(https:// ir.p5w.net)采用网络远程的方式召开业绩说明会 | | | | 总经理薛宏伟 | | | 公司接待人 员姓名 | 董事会秘书贾三宝 | | | | 总会计师胡明松 | | | | 投资者提出的问题及公司回复情况 | | | | 公司就投资者在本次说明会中提出的问题进行了 回复: | | 投资者关系 活动主要内 容介绍 1、2024 年经营活动现金流净额同比下降 70%,而 投资活动现金 ...