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中泰资管天团 | 王路遥:考上大学就好了…吗?
中泰证券资管· 2025-07-24 09:42
Core Viewpoint - The transition from high school to university presents significant challenges, particularly in terms of decision-making and self-awareness, which are crucial for personal and professional development [2][3][5][6]. Group 1: Challenges in University Life - University life introduces a different kind of difficulty compared to high school, focusing more on methodology and choices rather than rote learning [5][7]. - Students often experience confusion and uncertainty regarding their direction and methods of effort, leading to a common feeling of "迷茫" (confusion) [3][6]. - The need for self-awareness and understanding one's unique traits becomes critical as students face various career paths and choices [6][9]. Group 2: Decision-Making and Methodology - The university environment requires students to develop their own methods for learning and problem-solving, moving beyond traditional textbook approaches [7][10]. - The process of making decisions in the securities market serves as a practical training ground for students, emphasizing the importance of self-examination and rational decision-making [9][10]. - Engaging with the securities market can enhance decision-making skills and provide a low-cost way to test personal judgments in real-world scenarios [11]. Group 3: Personal Growth and Responsibility - Graduating from high school marks the beginning of new challenges, where students must take on greater responsibilities and seek independence [11][12]. - The article encourages young individuals to actively participate in the securities market to gain insights and develop their decision-making capabilities [12].
老板不会告诉你的秘密:方法论越简单越危险
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-27 05:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of methodology, emphasizing its role in problem-solving and the importance of understanding its underlying logic and practical processes [5][11][31]. Group 1: Definition and Importance of Methodology - Methodology is a theoretical system aimed at solving problems and achieving goals through various strategies and methods [2][4]. - The effectiveness of a methodology is evaluated based on three criteria: simplicity, applicability, and effectiveness [7][8]. Group 2: Practical Application and Limitations - While methodologies can enhance efficiency and reduce errors, their utility is contingent upon the user's familiarity and the context in which they are applied [16][17][31]. - The article illustrates that methodologies like SWOT analysis can be challenging to implement effectively due to the difficulty in accurately assessing one's own strengths and weaknesses [20]. Group 3: Common Methodologies - The 5W2H methodology is highlighted as a useful tool for problem identification and resolution, focusing on defining clear objectives rather than delving into root causes [36][39]. - The SMART criteria are presented as a framework for setting effective goals, ensuring they are specific, measurable, attainable, relevant, and time-bound [45][50].
“奥派”死了?过气的先知还是被低估的信条
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-25 03:24
Core Points - The article discusses the recent publication of "Introduction to Austrian School Economics" by Steven Horwitz, which aims to provide Chinese readers with a comprehensive understanding of the Austrian School's fundamental theories [1][4] - Horwitz highlights the resurgence of the Austrian School, emphasizing its growing public presence and the revival of its principles over recent decades [1][4] - The Austrian School traces its origins back to the economic thought revolution of the 1870s, with Carl Menger as a key figure, and was once a dominant school of thought in economics [1][4][5] Summary by Sections Historical Context - The Austrian School emerged from the "marginal revolution" in the 1870s, shifting the focus from labor value theory to utility as the source of value [5] - Menger emphasized the subjectivity of economic value, asserting that value is determined by individuals' perceptions of a good's ability to satisfy their needs [5][8] Methodology - Horwitz discusses the methodology of the Austrian School, particularly the contributions of Menger and Ludwig von Mises, who distinguished between "exact laws" and "empirical generalizations" [6][9] - The Austrian School's methodology is characterized by a priori reasoning, which is seen as essential for understanding historical economic phenomena [9][18] Key Concepts - The book covers important concepts such as market processes, spontaneous order, capital, and entrepreneurship, while also addressing significant historical debates within the Austrian School, including the debates on planned economies and the Keynes-Hayek controversy [4][6][10] Business Cycle Theory - Horwitz equates the Austrian School's business cycle theory with the ideas of Mises and Hayek, explaining that inflation occurs when the money supply exceeds the demand for money, leading to economic cycles [10][12] - Mises argues that economic downturns are corrections of previous misallocations caused by artificial credit expansion, advocating for minimal government intervention during recessions [12][10] Knowledge and Information - The Austrian School posits that knowledge is decentralized and that market prices convey information that guides economic actors, contrasting with the inefficiencies of planned economies [15][18] - Horwitz critiques modern economics for applying natural science methods to social sciences, advocating for a focus on how order emerges under proper rules and institutions [18][22] Critique and Reflection - The article notes that while the Austrian School has valuable insights, it also faces criticism for its abstract notions of freedom and its perceived neglect of real-world complexities [22][26] - The author suggests that the Austrian School needs to adapt its theories to contemporary economic discussions and acknowledges the importance of critical engagement with its principles [26][27]