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新一轮财富分配启动|十五五最具潜力的就业与投资赛道前瞻
Qian Zhan Wang· 2025-12-19 02:18
一、人工智能从"算力博弈"转向"具身化与垂直渗透" 随着"十四五"大幕即将落下,中国的经济结构经历了 一场深刻而系统的重塑。回顾过去五年,我们见证了 平台经济的规范化,新能源汽车的全面渗透,以及数字基础设施的广泛覆盖。这些成就更像是对过去几十 年积累的"量变"的一次集中收官。 而伴随"十四五"收官以及"十五五"开局,中国经济即将进入一个截然不同的发展阶段——"质变"的爆发期。 所谓的"质变",指的是技术红利将从"概念验证"阶段,大规模地、系统性地走向"商业兑现"阶段。过去,我 们追逐的是商业模式的创新和用户规模的增长;而未来,驱动投资和就业增长的核心引擎,将是解决复杂 问题的"深科技"与应对社会变局的"民生刚需"重构。本文将锚定"十五五"这一关键节点,深度剖析未来五年 最具投资潜力和就业前景的黄金赛道,为大家提供一份穿越周期的启示录。 人工智能无疑是"十五五"期间最受关注的领域,但其发展重心已悄然转移。随着算力基础设施的初步完 善,单纯比拼参数规模的竞赛正在降温,价值重心开始向两个方向倾斜。 一是物理世界的智能化交互,即"具身智能"。人形机器人作为这一方向的集大成者,已经处于大规模落地 的前夜。其核心的灵巧手 ...
一年股价暴涨6倍,新锐火箭公司Rocket Lab能否挑战SpaceX
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-08 03:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growing importance of the commercial space market, particularly with the nomination of Jared Isaacman as NASA's next director, and the dominance of SpaceX, valued at $350 billion, in the industry [1] - Rocket Lab is positioned as a significant competitor to SpaceX, having achieved a remarkable stock increase of 700% over the past six months, despite recent short-selling pressures [1][3] - The article emphasizes the need for more companies to emerge in the commercial space sector to foster competition and growth, moving beyond a niche technology focus [1] Group 2 - Rocket Lab, founded in 2006, has developed the Electron rocket, which is designed for small satellite launches, similar to SpaceX's early Falcon rockets [3][4] - The Electron rocket has a launch mass of only 13 tons and is notable for its carbon fiber structure, which allows for lightweight design and faster production [4][5] - Rocket Lab has successfully launched over 50 times, although its success rate is not as high as that of established players like China's Long March rockets [5] Group 3 - The article discusses the shift in market demand towards medium-lift rockets due to the rise of large satellite constellations, particularly SpaceX's Starlink, prompting Rocket Lab to develop the Neutron rocket [8][10] - The Neutron rocket is designed to carry payloads of around 8 tons to low Earth orbit and features a unique two-stage recovery system [9][10] - Rocket Lab's founder, Peter Beck, initially opposed the idea of reusable rockets but later adapted to market trends, showcasing the company's flexibility [9][10] Group 4 - The article outlines the four stages of rocket development: concept validation, design, prototype testing, and flight testing, emphasizing the complexity of developing a reliable rocket [12][14][16] - Rocket Lab is currently in the initial testing phase for the Neutron rocket, with significant work still required before its first flight [17] - The challenges faced by Rocket Lab in meeting development timelines are highlighted, with comparisons to SpaceX's own delays [17][18] Group 5 - The article explores Rocket Lab's innovative approach to rocket design, including the "hungry hippo" concept for the Neutron rocket's payload deployment [19][21] - Rocket Lab's vertical integration allows for efficient production and cost control, which is crucial for competing in the commercial space market [22][24] - The company has also explored various recovery methods, including a helicopter and parachute system, but ultimately found these methods impractical [24][25][28] Group 6 - The discussion includes the broader commercial space industry, noting that while rocket launches are foundational, satellite services represent a much larger market opportunity [29][33] - The article emphasizes the importance of diversifying business operations beyond just rocket launches to capture more value in the space industry [34][36] - The potential for future growth in the space sector is linked to the development of infrastructure and services that support satellite operations [34][35]