此外，受国防开支增加等因素影响，报告预计欧盟成员国财政赤字占GDP比重将从2024年的3.1%增至 2027年的3.4%，债务占GDP比重将从2024年的84.5%增至2027年的85%，2027年预计四个成员国的债务 占GDP比重将超过100%。 欧盟委员会负责经济事务的委员东布罗夫斯基斯在报告中称，欧盟经济在逆境中保持增长，但面对外部 挑战，欧盟必须采取果断行动，释放内部增长潜力。呼吁欧盟成员国通过简化监管、完善欧盟单一市 场、推动创新等措施提升竞争力。(完) （文章来源：中国新闻网） 中新社布鲁塞尔11月17日电 (记者德永健)欧盟17日发布欧洲经济秋季展望报告，表示受出口激增等因素 带动，今年前三季度欧盟经济增长超过预期。 通胀方面，报告预计将继续回落，其中欧元区回落速度略快，2025年平均通胀率料降至2.1%，2026年 和2027年保持在2%左右。欧盟回落速度略慢，2027年平均通胀率料降至2.2%。 当日欧盟委员会循惯例发布欧洲经济秋季展望报告，预计2025年欧盟和欧元区经济分别增长1.4%和 1.3%，2026年欧盟和欧元区经济分别增长1.4%和1.2%，2027年欧盟和欧元区经济分别增长1. ...

Core Insights - The Eurozone GDP grew by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2025, while the EU GDP increased by 0.3% [1] - Year-on-year, the Eurozone GDP rose by 1.3%, and the EU GDP grew by 1.5% in Q3 2025 [1] - Sweden recorded the highest growth among member states at +1.1%, followed by Portugal at +0.8% and the Czech Republic at +0.7% [1] - Germany and Italy did not achieve any growth in Q3 2025 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the EU economy is showing signs of moderate recovery, with GDP growth rates improving in the third quarter of 2025 compared to the previous quarter [1][2][3] Group 2 - In the third quarter, the Eurozone's GDP grew by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, while the EU overall saw a growth of 0.3%, an increase from the previous quarter's growth rates of 0.1% and 0.2% respectively [1] - Year-on-year, the Eurozone's GDP growth was 1.3%, and the EU's was 1.5%, which is a slight decline from the previous quarter's growth rates of 1.5% and 1.6% [2] - Among member states, Sweden led with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.1%, followed by Portugal at 0.8% and the Czech Republic at 0.7%. Conversely, Lithuania experienced a decline of 0.2%, while Ireland and Finland both saw a slight decrease of 0.1% [2]

Core Insights - The EU's GDP growth in Q2 exceeded market expectations, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.2% [1] - The significant rise in exports to the US in Q1, driven by anticipated tariffs, contributed to a 0.5% GDP growth for the EU [1] - Year-on-year, the GDP growth rate reached 1.5%, although the services sector showed weak performance [1]

Economic Growth Forecast - The European Commission's spring economic forecast for 2025 indicates that despite global policy uncertainties and escalating trade tensions, the EU economy is expected to maintain moderate growth this year, with a potential rebound in 2026 [1] - The projected real GDP growth for the EU and Eurozone in 2025 is 1.1% and 0.9% respectively, remaining largely unchanged from 2024; growth is expected to increase to 1.5% and 1.4% in 2026 [1] Inflation and Consumer Behavior - The overall inflation rate in the Eurozone is anticipated to decrease from 2.4% in 2024 to 2.1% in 2025 and further to 1.7% in 2026; the EU's inflation rate is also expected to decline from a slightly higher level in 2024 to just below 2% by 2026 [1] - Private consumption is projected to grow slightly above last autumn's forecast, reaching 1.5% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026, supported by strong growth momentum in 2024 and a resilient labor market despite high savings rates limiting consumption [1] Investment and Trade - Following a contraction of 1.8% in fixed capital formation in 2024, investment is expected to recover moderately, with growth forecasted at 1.5% in 2025 and 2.4% in 2026 [1] - EU exports are projected to grow by 0.7% in 2025 and 2.1% in 2026, impacted by a slowdown in global trade [1] Employment and Wage Trends - The labor market remains resilient, with an expected increase of 2 million jobs by 2026 and a reduction in the unemployment rate to a historical low of 5.7% [2] - Nominal wage growth is slowing, but real wages are expected to continue rising, helping to recover purchasing power lost during the pandemic [2] Fiscal Outlook - The general government deficit for the EU is projected to rise to 3.3% in 2025 after a decrease to 3.2% in 2024, remaining at that level in 2026 [2] - The debt-to-GDP ratio for the EU is expected to slightly increase to 83.2% in 2025 and 84.5% in 2026 [2] Risks and Opportunities - Risks such as trade fragmentation and climate disasters pose downward threats to growth; however, positive factors like easing US-EU trade tensions, new trade agreements, increased defense spending, and deepening structural reforms are expected to enhance the resilience of the EU economy [2]