正和游戏
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桥水创始人达利欧给中国投资者的超实用投资建议
雪球· 2025-10-20 13:01
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of constructing a diversified investment portfolio to achieve returns that outpace inflation in a low-interest-rate environment, as suggested by Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates [8][13]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - In a low-interest-rate environment, simply holding cash is insufficient to beat inflation, which has averaged 2.5% annually in China over the past 30 years [8][12]. - A diversified asset portfolio is essential, comprising at least 10 uncorrelated assets to significantly reduce risk while maintaining expected returns [16][18]. - Gold is recommended as a stabilizing asset in the portfolio, despite its 50% increase this year, due to its characteristics as a hard currency that is not subject to inflationary pressures [20][22]. Group 2: Geographic Diversification - Investors should diversify not only across asset classes but also geographically, including both domestic and international assets to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single economy [25][27]. - For instance, during the 2022 downturn in U.S. stocks due to aggressive Fed rate hikes, having exposure to Japanese stocks could have provided a hedging effect [29]. Group 3: Timing and Rebalancing - Timing the market is discouraged; instead, a long-term investment approach that focuses on growing with the economy is advocated [33]. - Regular rebalancing of the investment portfolio is crucial to maintain target asset proportions, which helps manage risk and avoid concentration in high-performing assets [35][37]. - The discipline to rebalance, especially after significant market movements, is essential for effective portfolio management [39].
投资股票基金,有人赚钱就一定有人亏钱吗?|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-09-07 13:14
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that investing in stocks and funds is fundamentally different from gambling, as it is a positive-sum game where all participants can potentially profit [3][4]. - The long-term profit growth rate of A-share listed companies is around 10% annually, allowing all participants to enjoy this return if they buy undervalued stocks [4]. Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of buying stocks when they are undervalued to maximize potential profits for all investors [4].
每日钉一下(投资股票基金,有人赚钱就一定有人亏钱吗?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-08-28 14:03
Group 1 - The article highlights that most investors are familiar with stock index funds but have limited knowledge about bond index funds and their investment strategies [2] - It emphasizes that investing in stock funds is not a zero-sum game, meaning that it is possible for all investors to make money in the long term if investments are managed properly [5] - The concept of a zero-sum game is explained through gambling, contrasting it with stock fund investments, which are described as a positive-sum game where all participants can benefit [6] Group 2 - The article mentions that the long-term profit growth rate of A-share listed companies is around 10% annually, indicating a potential for sustained returns in stock investments [6]
每日钉一下(投资是零和游戏吗?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-08-21 14:03
Group 1 - The article highlights that most investors are familiar with stock index funds but have limited knowledge about bond index funds and their investment strategies [2] - A free course is offered to educate investors on how to invest in bond index funds, including course notes and mind maps for efficient learning [2] Group 2 - The concept of zero-sum games is explained, where one party's gain is another party's loss, exemplified by a simple game of rock-paper-scissors [6] - In contrast, investing in stock funds is described as a positive-sum game, where all participants can achieve collective gains due to the profitability of the underlying companies [7]
我录用户赚钱如喝水,这到底赚的是谁的钱?
集思录· 2025-03-21 12:37
Group 1 - The article discusses the concept of "negative-sum game" in the A-share market, suggesting that avoiding clearly negative-sum categories can lead to positive returns [1][18] - Examples of negative-sum categories include newly listed stocks with high opening prices, convertible bonds with high premiums, and stocks facing delisting risks [1] - The article highlights the presence of a significant number of low-risk investors in the market, indicating a diverse investor base [2] Group 2 - The article mentions that the A-share market has seen substantial participation in new stock subscriptions, with over 500 billion in funds involved [4] - It emphasizes that the perception of the market as a negative-sum game may be flawed, as companies can generate profits and distribute dividends, leading to potential gains for investors [9][15] - The discussion includes the impact of monetary policy, noting that central banks are creating money, which redistributes wealth in the market, benefiting some while causing losses for others [14][19]
每日钉一下(投资股票基金,有人赚钱就一定有人亏钱吗?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-03-19 13:59
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 买主动基金,就是买基金经理。 不过目前市场上已经有几千位基金经理了。如果没有系统的方法论,只凭个人感觉进行挑选,会比较困难。 这里有一门限时免费的福利课程。螺丝钉通过两门图文课程,介绍了主动基金的投资方法。 想要获取这个课程,可以添加下方「课程小助手」为好友,给小助手发送「 主动基金 」领取哦~ ◆◆◆ 都赚钱,那谁在亏钱呢? 其实,投资股票基金,收益并不一定来自 某个投资者亏损。 如果投资妥当,是可以做到所有投资者都 长期赚钱的。 因为投资者投资股票基金,并不是一个 「零和游戏」。 所谓的零和游戏,也就是说一方的收益, 必定意味着另一方的损失。 参加游戏的所有人,他们的收益和损失全 部相加起来,为零。 赌博就是一个典型的零和游戏。 而我们投资股票基金,是一个正和游戏, 所有参与者的收益全部加起来,是可以为 正的。 因为投资股票基金,本质上是投资背后的 上市公司,而上市公司是可以产生盈利现 金流的。 A股上市公司的长期盈利增长速度,在年 化10%上下。 整体上来说,所有的参与者,都可以享受 这个年化收益率。 我们只需要在低估的时候买入,避免买的 ▼点击阅读原 文,免费学 ...