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桥水创始人达利欧给中国投资者的超实用投资建议
雪球· 2025-10-20 13:01
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of constructing a diversified investment portfolio to achieve returns that outpace inflation in a low-interest-rate environment, as suggested by Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates [8][13]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - In a low-interest-rate environment, simply holding cash is insufficient to beat inflation, which has averaged 2.5% annually in China over the past 30 years [8][12]. - A diversified asset portfolio is essential, comprising at least 10 uncorrelated assets to significantly reduce risk while maintaining expected returns [16][18]. - Gold is recommended as a stabilizing asset in the portfolio, despite its 50% increase this year, due to its characteristics as a hard currency that is not subject to inflationary pressures [20][22]. Group 2: Geographic Diversification - Investors should diversify not only across asset classes but also geographically, including both domestic and international assets to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single economy [25][27]. - For instance, during the 2022 downturn in U.S. stocks due to aggressive Fed rate hikes, having exposure to Japanese stocks could have provided a hedging effect [29]. Group 3: Timing and Rebalancing - Timing the market is discouraged; instead, a long-term investment approach that focuses on growing with the economy is advocated [33]. - Regular rebalancing of the investment portfolio is crucial to maintain target asset proportions, which helps manage risk and avoid concentration in high-performing assets [35][37]. - The discipline to rebalance, especially after significant market movements, is essential for effective portfolio management [39].
炒股心得:从新手到老鸟的十年经验分享
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 03:36
Group 1: Market Overview - The stock market is not a cash machine but a reflection of corporate value, with 90% of retail investors failing to profit during bull markets due to incorrect mindsets [3] - In 2025, the Nasdaq index surpassed 20,000 points, and the Shanghai Composite Index returned to 4,000 points, indicating a significant market recovery [3] Group 2: Stock Selection Principles - Emphasis on buying familiar and strong companies, avoiding speculative "concept stocks" [4] - The semiconductor market is valued at $800 billion, with only leading firms like TSMC likely to benefit long-term [4] - Recommended metrics for stock selection include ROE above 15%, stable gross margins, and ample cash flow [4] Group 3: Risk Management and Positioning - Avoid full investment; maintain 20%-30% cash reserves to manage risk effectively [6] - Historical data shows leveraged investors faced an average loss rate of 50% during market volatility [6] - Implement strict stop-loss rules, selling stocks that decline by 10% [6] Group 4: Technical and Fundamental Analysis - Basic analysis should take precedence over technical indicators, with a focus on company financials and industry trends [7] - Long-term holding strategies are favored over frequent trading, as 90% of returns come from 10% of the time invested [7] Group 5: Common Pitfalls and Continuous Learning - Common pitfalls include following unreliable trading strategies and neglecting macroeconomic factors [9] - Continuous learning and humility are essential, with a focus on reputable sources for market information [9]
投资股票基金,有人赚钱就一定有人亏钱吗?|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-09-07 13:14
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that investing in stocks and funds is fundamentally different from gambling, as it is a positive-sum game where all participants can potentially profit [3][4]. - The long-term profit growth rate of A-share listed companies is around 10% annually, allowing all participants to enjoy this return if they buy undervalued stocks [4]. Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of buying stocks when they are undervalued to maximize potential profits for all investors [4].
每日钉一下(投资股票基金,有人赚钱就一定有人亏钱吗?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-08-28 14:03
Group 1 - The article highlights that most investors are familiar with stock index funds but have limited knowledge about bond index funds and their investment strategies [2] - It emphasizes that investing in stock funds is not a zero-sum game, meaning that it is possible for all investors to make money in the long term if investments are managed properly [5] - The concept of a zero-sum game is explained through gambling, contrasting it with stock fund investments, which are described as a positive-sum game where all participants can benefit [6] Group 2 - The article mentions that the long-term profit growth rate of A-share listed companies is around 10% annually, indicating a potential for sustained returns in stock investments [6]
每日钉一下(投资是零和游戏吗?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-08-21 14:03
Group 1 - The article highlights that most investors are familiar with stock index funds but have limited knowledge about bond index funds and their investment strategies [2] - A free course is offered to educate investors on how to invest in bond index funds, including course notes and mind maps for efficient learning [2] Group 2 - The concept of zero-sum games is explained, where one party's gain is another party's loss, exemplified by a simple game of rock-paper-scissors [6] - In contrast, investing in stock funds is described as a positive-sum game, where all participants can achieve collective gains due to the profitability of the underlying companies [7]
高志凯:我不认为美国想放弃世界第一,是不想让中国成为世界第一
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-06 09:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint presented is that the United States is unwilling to accept China's rise as a global leader, reflecting deep-seated fears about losing its dominant position [1][3][14] - The competition between the US and China has intensified, characterized by trade friction, tariffs, and high-tech restrictions, indicating a struggle over global influence rather than a simple desire to maintain leadership [3][7] - China's advancements in traditional industries like steel and automotive, as well as emerging sectors, demonstrate its growing global market share, contradicting US efforts to contain its rise [3][12] Group 2 - China emphasizes peaceful development and fair cooperation, contrasting with the US's unilateral approach and imposition of its standards on other nations [5][11] - The article critiques the US's "zero-sum game" mentality, suggesting that such an approach is outdated and counterproductive in a complex global landscape [7][9] - The narrative suggests that China's rise should be viewed as an opportunity for international order building rather than a threat, promoting a vision of mutual respect and win-win cooperation [11][14]
每日钉一下(投资股票,是零和博弈的游戏吗?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-04-06 13:37
但其中也有一部分跑输了指数,如果不谨慎挑选的话,也有可能买到的基金,实际上跑不赢指 数。 那应该如何挑选优秀的指数增强基金呢? 这里有一门限时免费的福利课程,介绍了指数增强基金的投资方法。 想要获取这个课程,可以添加下方「课程小助手」,回复「 指数增强 」领取哦 ~ 文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 从历史数据看,指数增强基金的平均收益,多数年份是可以跑赢对应指数的。 散户平均收益,低于市场。主要是追涨杀 跌、频繁交易带来的。 ◆◆◆ 其实投资股票基金,收益并不一定来自某 个投资者亏损。如果投资妥当,是可以做 到所有投资者都长期赚钱的。 因为股票并不是一个「零和游戏」。 上市公司整体是盈利的。 A股上市公司长 期盈利增长速度,在年化10%上下。 所有的股东,持有所有股票,就可以享受 这个年化。 所以投资股票资产,并不需要谁亏钱,是 可以做到所有股东都赚钱的。 不过,在实际投资过程中,感受肯定不是 这样。 想要收益好,就得克服上面两点。 ..., ... .. ▼点击阅读原 文,免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 ...
每日钉一下(投资股票基金,有人赚钱就一定有人亏钱吗?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-03-19 13:59
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 买主动基金,就是买基金经理。 不过目前市场上已经有几千位基金经理了。如果没有系统的方法论,只凭个人感觉进行挑选,会比较困难。 这里有一门限时免费的福利课程。螺丝钉通过两门图文课程,介绍了主动基金的投资方法。 想要获取这个课程,可以添加下方「课程小助手」为好友,给小助手发送「 主动基金 」领取哦~ ◆◆◆ 都赚钱,那谁在亏钱呢? 其实,投资股票基金,收益并不一定来自 某个投资者亏损。 如果投资妥当,是可以做到所有投资者都 长期赚钱的。 因为投资者投资股票基金,并不是一个 「零和游戏」。 所谓的零和游戏,也就是说一方的收益, 必定意味着另一方的损失。 参加游戏的所有人,他们的收益和损失全 部相加起来,为零。 赌博就是一个典型的零和游戏。 而我们投资股票基金,是一个正和游戏, 所有参与者的收益全部加起来,是可以为 正的。 因为投资股票基金,本质上是投资背后的 上市公司,而上市公司是可以产生盈利现 金流的。 A股上市公司的长期盈利增长速度,在年 化10%上下。 整体上来说,所有的参与者,都可以享受 这个年化收益率。 我们只需要在低估的时候买入,避免买的 ▼点击阅读原 文,免费学 ...