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申万期货品种策略日报:油脂油料-20250707
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - Palm oil prices are supported by a decline in production in Southeast Asian producing areas, and the US biodiesel policy is favorable to the demand outlook for US soybean oil, so it is expected that oils will mainly maintain high - level fluctuations. Pay attention to the MPOB report data this month [3] - Protein meal: Recently, US soybeans have strengthened due to factors such as the possible release of positive signals in Sino - US trade relations and US biofuel policies, driving the continuous meal to follow a relatively strong shock. However, the domestic supply - loose pattern will still put pressure on the upside space, and it is expected that the continuous meal will maintain a shock situation [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Domestic Futures Market - **Prices and Changes**: The previous day's closing prices of domestic futures for soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil were 7944, 8472, and 9607 respectively, with price changes of - 50, - 6, and - 12, and percentage changes of - 0.63%, - 0.07%, and - 3.15% respectively. The previous day's closing prices of domestic futures for soybean meal, rapeseed meal, and peanuts were 2954, 2458, and 8844 respectively, with price changes of - 4, - 2, and 26, and percentage changes of - 0.14%, - 0.08%, and 0.29% respectively [2] - **Spreads and Ratios**: There are various spread and ratio indicators for different varieties, such as Y9 - 1, P9 - 1, etc. The current values and previous values of these indicators are provided, showing certain changes [2] International Futures Market - **Prices and Changes**: The previous day's closing price of BMD palm oil was 4032 ringgit/ton, with a price change of 22 and a percentage change of 0.55%. The previous day's closing price of CBOT soybeans was 1048 cents/bu, with a price change of 1 and a percentage change of 0.05%. The previous day's closing price of CBOT US soybean oil was 55 cents/lb, with a price change of - 1 and a percentage change of - 0.96%. The previous day's closing price of CBOT US soybean meal was 292 dollars/ton, with a price change of 2 and a percentage change of 0.58% [2] Domestic Spot Market - **Prices and Changes**: Spot prices of various oils and meals are provided, such as Tianjin first - grade soybean oil at 8150, with a percentage change of - 0.73%, and Nantong soybean meal at 2800, with a percentage change of - 0.71% [2] - **Basis and Spreads**: Spot basis and spreads between different varieties are also given, such as the spot basis of Tianjin first - grade soybean oil being 206 and the spread between Guangzhou first - grade soybean oil and 24° palm oil being - 350 [2] Import Profit and Pressure - Import profit and pressure indicators for different imported varieties are presented, such as the current value of the near - month Malaysian palm oil being - 580, showing a change compared to the previous value [2] Warehouse Receipts - Current and previous values of warehouse receipts for various varieties like soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil are provided, with some showing changes [2] Industry Information - Malaysia's palm oil production from June 1 - 30 is estimated to decrease by 4.69%, with different changes in different regions [3] - The global food price index in June increased by 0.5% compared to May, reaching an average of 128.0 points [3] - As of the week ending June 29, the good - to - excellent rate of US soybeans was 66%, the flowering rate was 17%, and the pod - setting rate was 3% [3]
油脂油料早报-20250707
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-07 05:19
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2) Core View The report presents overnight market information on the oilseeds and oils industry, including sales and export data of major crops in different countries and production data of palm oil in Malaysia [1]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Market Information - Brazilian 2024/25 soybean sales reached 69.8% of the expected output, and 2025/26 sales reached 16.4% of the expected output [1] - Brazil exported 13,420,303 tons of soybeans in June 2025, compared to 13,959,612 tons in the same period last year [1] - Canadian canola exports in the week ending June 29, 2025, increased by 47.2% to 173,500 tons from the previous week, and from August 1, 2024, to June 29, 2025, exports increased by 50.9% to 9.1055 million tons compared to the same period last year. As of June 29, the commercial inventory was 1.2112 million tons [1] - Malaysian crude palm oil production in June 2025 decreased by 4.69% or 1.69 million tons month - on - month, with different production trends in different regions [1] Spot Price - The report shows the spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from June 30 to July 4, 2025, with price fluctuations observed [2] Others - There are also sections on protein meal basis, oils basis, and oils and oilseeds futures price spreads, but no specific data is provided [3][6]
油脂油料早报-20250527
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-05-27 03:13
| 日期 | 豆粕江苏 | 菜粕广东 | 豆油江苏 | 棕榈油广州 | 菜油江苏 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/05/20 | 2850 | 2390 | 8130 | 8630 | 9580 | | 2025/05/21 | 2860 | 2410 | 8130 | 8600 | 9630 | | 2025/05/22 | 2880 | 2440 | 8100 | 8490 | 9600 | | 2025/05/23 | 2890 | 2460 | 8090 | 8490 | 9590 | | 2025/05/26 | 2870 | 2470 | 8020 | 8410 | 9560 | 蛋 白 粕 基 差 : 油 脂 基 差 : 油 脂 油 料 盘 面 价 差 : 油脂油料早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/05/27 隔 夜 市 场 信 息 : Datagro上调巴西2024/25年度大豆和玉米产量预估 农业咨询机构Datagro发布的一份声明显示,上调对巴西2024/25年度大豆和玉米产量预估。 Datagro表示,巴西大豆产量目前预计将 ...
油脂油料早报-20250430
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-04-30 07:35
| 现 货 价 格 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 豆粕江苏 | 菜粕广东 | 豆油江苏 | 棕榈油广州 | 菜油江苏 | | 2025/04/23 | 3780 | 2560 | 8290 | 8870 | 9420 | | 2025/04/24 | 3900 | 2630 | 8290 | 8860 | 9460 | | 2025/04/25 | 3700 | 2580 | 8440 | 9010 | 9600 | | 2025/04/28 | 3400 | 2530 | 8230 | 8790 | 9400 | | 2025/04/29 | 3300 | 2460 | 8220 | 8740 | 9430 | 油脂油料早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/04/30 隔 夜 市 场 信 息 : 【美国农业部】民间出口商报告向未知目的地出口销售11万吨大豆 民间出口商报告向未知目的地出口销售11万吨大豆,2024/2025市场年度付运。 Anec:巴西4月大豆出口量料触及1,380万吨 Anec预计,巴西4月大豆出口量料触及1 ...