Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of Pop Mart (09992.HK), highlighting the launch of new collectible figures and the subsequent decline in stock price, raising concerns about future revenue growth [3][5][6]. Product Launch and Sales Performance - On October 23, Pop Mart launched a new series of collectible figures to celebrate its 15th anniversary, featuring a lineup of popular characters [3]. - The hidden variant "Sweetheart Party" based on MOLLY saw a price increase from 69 yuan to 519 yuan, reflecting a premium of 6.5 times, while other regular variants had premiums ranging from 1.3 to 1.9 times [3]. - The new series did not perform as well as previous hits, such as the "WHY SO SERIOUS" series, which had a hidden variant that increased from 159 yuan to 1999 yuan, a premium of 11.6 times [3]. Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - The lower premium on the new figures is attributed to the nature of the collectible market, where buyers are often deep fans of the IP, and the use of lower-cost PVC materials makes the figures more affordable [4]. - Pop Mart's collaboration with the popular series "Wednesday" resulted in a highly sought-after pendant, with the North American version seeing a price increase from 399 yuan to 5499 yuan, a premium of 12.8 times [5]. Stock Performance and Investor Sentiment - Since September, Pop Mart's stock price has declined nearly 30%, with significant drops occurring on October 21 and 23, including a nearly 10% drop on the latter date, marking the largest decline in six months [5]. - As of October 24, the stock closed at 230.4 HKD per share, down 0.86% [6]. - Concerns have been raised by analysts regarding the potential peak in revenue growth for Pop Mart, with expectations of slowing growth momentum starting next year [5][6]. Financial Performance - For the third quarter of 2025, Pop Mart reported an overall revenue increase of 245% to 250%, with China revenue growing by 185% to 190% and overseas revenue by 365% to 370% [6]. - Online sales in China saw a significant increase of 300% to 305%, while offline sales grew by 130% to 135% [6]. - Revenue growth varied by region, with Asia-Pacific up 170% to 175%, the Americas up 1265% to 1270%, and Europe and other regions up 735% to 740% [6].

Core Insights - Bubble Mart (09992.HK) launched multiple new figurines on October 23, celebrating its 15th anniversary with the "Celebrate This Moment" series, featuring 15 regular and 1 hidden variant, with significant price increases observed for certain models [1][2] - The premium pricing for the new series is lower compared to previous successful launches, indicating a potential decline in market enthusiasm for the brand's latest offerings [1][2] - The company's stock has seen a significant decline, dropping nearly 30% since September, with a notable drop of almost 10% on October 23, marking the largest decline in six months [2][3] Product Launch and Performance - The "Celebrate This Moment" series includes popular characters like MOLLY, with the hidden variant "Sweetheart Party" seeing a price increase from 69 yuan to 519 yuan, a 6.5x premium [1] - Other regular models such as "Childlike Innocence," "Blow the Horn," and "Under the Curtain" also performed well, with premiums of 1.8x, 1.9x, and 1.3x respectively [1] - Previous successful series like "WHY SO SERIOUS" and "LABUBU 4.0" had much higher premiums, indicating a shift in consumer interest [1][2] Market Trends and Financial Performance - The lower premium pricing for the new figurines is attributed to the nature of the products and the materials used, which are more affordable, leading to less collector enthusiasm compared to other merchandise like keychains [2] - Bubble Mart's collaboration with the popular series "Wednesday" resulted in a highly sought-after keychain, with the North American version seeing a price increase from 399 yuan to 5499 yuan, a 12.8x premium [2] - As of October 24, the company's stock closed at 230.4 HKD per share, down 0.86%, reflecting ongoing investor concerns about revenue growth potential [4] Revenue Growth Projections - Bubble Mart announced a projected revenue growth of 245% to 250% year-on-year for Q3 2025, with significant contributions from both domestic and international markets [4] - Domestic revenue is expected to grow by 185% to 190%, while overseas revenue is projected to increase by 365% to 370% [4] - Performance across various channels shows offline sales growing by 130% to 135% and online sales by 300% to 305%, indicating strong demand despite recent stock performance [4]

Core Insights - The LABUBU series from Pop Mart, which previously faced a price collapse and had over 60% of users bearish, has recently regained market interest with new Halloween-themed blind boxes selling out quickly and hidden items commanding premiums over 13 times their original price [1][7]. Price Trends - The LABUBU series experienced a significant price drop in late August, with initial prices for the fourth generation mini LABUBU series soaring to 1500-3200 RMB for unopened sets, but by early September, prices plummeted by over 50% [4][5]. - The third generation LABUBU series also saw drastic declines, with items that were once valued at 594 RMB dropping to 600-700 RMB, and previously high-priced hidden items falling by over 40% [4][5]. Market Sentiment - A survey indicated that among 14,000 users searching for LABUBU, 67% believed prices would continue to decline, reflecting a bearish sentiment in the market [5]. Recent Market Recovery - In October, new releases such as the Halloween "WHY SO SERIOUS" series and the "Star People" series have sparked renewed interest, with the Halloween series selling out within minutes and hidden items reaching peak prices of 2289 RMB, representing a 13.4 times premium [7][8]. - The "Star People" series also showed strong performance, with hidden items like "Little Bear Biscuit" achieving a peak price of 929 RMB, reflecting a nearly 14.7 times premium [8].

Core Insights - The "Starry People Delicious Moments Series" by Pop Mart was released on September 30 and sold out instantly, trending on Weibo [1] - The hidden variant "Little Bear Biscuit" saw its highest transaction price rise from 59 yuan to 929 yuan, an increase of 870 yuan, representing a nearly 15-fold premium [1] - The popularity of the series is reflected in the high demand, with over 9,000 users expressing interest in the products on the Dewu app [1] Pricing and Premiums - The single blind box price increased from 59 yuan to 249 yuan, a 3.2-fold premium [1] - The price for a complete box rose from 354 yuan to 1319 yuan, a 2.7-fold premium [1] - The top three most popular items in terms of transaction volume were "Vanilla Crisp," "Matcha Crisp," and "Salty Cookie," each with premiums exceeding 5 times [1] User Interest and Additional Products - The "Starry People Delicious Moments Series" figurines also gained significant attention, with 13,000 users indicating interest [2] - The price of a single blind box for this series increased from 69 yuan to 128 yuan, a 0.8-fold premium, while the complete box price rose from 828 yuan to 983 yuan, a 0.2-fold premium [2] - Upcoming products for the National Day holiday include various merchandise such as plush pillows and phone accessories, with the plush baguette pillow's price increasing from 169 yuan to 495 yuan, a 1.9-fold premium [2]

Core Insights - The "Starry People Delicious Moments Series" by Pop Mart is set to launch tonight at 10 PM, featuring collectible figures and plush accessories, with a notable focus on plush keychains priced at 59 yuan each [1] - The secondary market has seen significant price inflation, with complete sets of plush keychains selling for approximately 600-900 yuan, more than double the official price of 354 yuan [1] - The hidden variant "Little Bear Cookie" has reached a peak resale price of 929 yuan, representing a 15-fold increase from its original price [1] Pricing and Market Demand - The plush keychains consist of 6 regular and 1 hidden variant, with resale prices averaging 856 yuan on secondary platforms, indicating strong demand [1] - The top three most sought-after plush keychains have resale premiums exceeding 3.6 times their original price, while the least popular variant still sees a premium of 3.3 times [1] - The collectible figures from the same series, originally priced at 828 yuan for a set of 12 plus one hidden variant, are being resold for 1055 yuan, reflecting a 27% markup [1]

Core Insights - The upcoming release of the "Starry People Delicious Moments Series" by Pop Mart has generated significant pre-sale interest, with products already being listed on e-commerce platforms before the official launch [1][2] - The resale market for the series shows exceptionally high premiums, indicating strong demand and potential for investment opportunities [1][2] Pricing and Resale Data - The hidden "Little Bear Biscuit" pendant, priced at 59 yuan, has seen a resale price surge to 929 yuan, representing a 16-fold premium [1] - Individual blind boxes have increased from 59 yuan to 249 yuan, a 4.2-fold premium, while a complete box has risen from 354 yuan to 1499 yuan, also a 4.2-fold premium [1] - The average transaction price for the "Little Bear Biscuit" plush pendant on the QianDao app reached 612.7 yuan within three days of its listing [1] Comparison with Previous Releases - The current resale premiums for the "Starry People Delicious Moments" series exceed those of the mini LABUBU series, which had a hidden "Heart" pendant rise from 79 yuan to 991 yuan, a 12.5-fold premium [2] - The previous release of the "Starry People Good Dream Meteorological Bureau Series" also experienced a surge in popularity, causing platform outages due to high traffic [2] Stock Availability - Some products from the "Starry People" series are already sold out in physical stores, with only display items available, indicating strong consumer interest and demand [2]

Core Insights - The new "Starry People Delicious Moments Series" by Pop Mart has generated significant pre-sale interest, with products being listed on e-commerce platforms before the official launch [1] Pricing and Market Performance - The hidden version of the "Little Bear Biscuit" pendant, originally priced at 59 yuan, has seen its highest transaction price rise to 929 yuan, representing a 16-fold premium [1] - The price of individual blind boxes has increased from 59 yuan to 249 yuan, reflecting a 4.2-fold premium [1] - A complete box's price has surged from 354 yuan to 1499 yuan, also indicating a 4.2-fold premium [1] - The top three most popular items, "Vanilla Crunch," "Matcha Crisp," and "Salty Cookie," have all experienced premiums exceeding 3.6 times, while the least popular item, "Sweet Cream," still has a premium of 3.3 times [1] User Engagement - Over 3,000 users on the Dewu App have expressed interest in the new series [1] - On the Qiantao App, the average transaction price for the "Little Bear Biscuit" plush pendant has reached 612.7 yuan over three days, with individual blind box prices ranging from 79 to 525.5 yuan [1]

Core Insights - The upcoming release of the "Starry People Delicious Moments Series" by Pop Mart has generated significant pre-sale excitement, with products already being listed on e-commerce platforms before the official launch [2][3] - The resale market for the series shows remarkable price premiums, with the highest resale price for the hidden "Little Bear Biscuit" accessory reaching 929 yuan, a 16-fold increase from the original price of 59 yuan [2] - The popularity of the "Starry People" brand is evident, as previous releases have also experienced high demand, leading to stock shortages in physical stores [3] Pricing and Resale Market - The "Little Bear Biscuit" plush accessory has seen a resale average of 612.7 yuan on QianDao App, significantly higher than its original price [2] - The resale prices for individual blind boxes range from 79 to 525.5 yuan, indicating strong market interest [2] - Compared to the previous "Mini LABUBU" series, the current series shows higher resale premiums across all product types, with the highest premium for the hidden "Heart" variant reaching 12.5 times its original price [3] Market Demand and Performance - The "Starry People" brand has previously experienced explosive popularity, as seen during the release of the "Starry People Good Dream Meteorological Bureau Series," which caused platform outages due to high traffic [3] - There are reports of stock shortages in physical stores for certain "Starry People" products, indicating strong consumer demand [3]

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Disneyland's new product launch, "Duffy and Friends Summer Ocean Party Series," has generated significant consumer interest, leading to long queues and high resale prices on secondary markets [1][2][19]. Group 1: Product Launch and Consumer Behavior - The new product series was set to launch on July 8, with consumers starting to queue as early as July 7 evening, despite high temperatures around 32°C [1][8]. - Many consumers camped overnight, with reports of individuals waiting over 14 hours to enter the park for the launch [11][12]. - The online platform saw immediate sellouts of the new Disney dolls, indicating strong demand [4]. Group 2: Resale Market Dynamics - Resale prices for the new products have surged, with some items listed at over six times their original price, such as the green turtle keychain priced at 1129 yuan compared to its original price of 179 yuan [2][4]. - The phenomenon of "scalping" has emerged, with some individuals reportedly hiring others to queue for them, raising concerns among regular consumers about access to products [11][19]. - The secondary market for Disney collectibles has shown extreme price volatility, with past products experiencing significant price increases and decreases, highlighting the speculative nature of these transactions [21][22]. Group 3: Hotel and Early Access Incentives - Guests staying at Disneyland hotels received early access to the park, allowing them to purchase exclusive items, which has led to a new business model where hotel stays are resold for profit [13][14]. - The practice of reselling hotel stays for access to product launches has become common, with prices for such arrangements reaching several hundred yuan [14][17]. Group 4: Market Risks and Consumer Caution - Legal experts have warned about the risks associated with secondary market transactions, including issues of authenticity and potential legal disputes regarding contracts with minors [22]. - The market for Disney collectibles is characterized by significant price distortions, with popular items experiencing price surges while less popular items see steep declines, indicating a disconnect between price and intrinsic value [22].