全球首富又出来要钱了， 而且开口就是10万亿！ 外媒报道说，特斯拉CEO马斯克创立的SpaceX正积极推进IPO，估值1.5万亿美元，折合人民币超10亿元，募资超300亿美元（约合人民币2116.6亿元）。 如果真这样，它将刷新全球规模最大IPO的历史纪录。 1.5万亿美元什么概念？ 2024年，中国只有2个省的GDP总量比这个数多，全球也只有15个国家的年度GDP超过这一数字。 这相当于再造一个特斯拉。放眼全球，市场超过1.5万亿美元的也只有7家企业。 12月11日，马斯克在社交平台X上点赞了资深太空作家埃里克·伯格（Eric Berger）关于SpaceX上市的文章，并且评论"像往常一样，埃里克是对的"。 这就相当于官方确认"SpaceX计划IPO，并且要募资数百亿美刀"的事情了。 在特斯拉高达12位数的薪酬方案获批后，如果SpaceX市值真能达到1.5万亿美元，马斯克的总财富将达到9520亿美元。全球首个万亿美元富豪即将诞生！ 马斯克这是要把自己焊死在"全球首富"的铁王座上！ SpaceX凭啥值这么多钱？马斯克为啥要将这个23岁的"孩子"送进二级市场？今天我们就来给您讲明白！ 凭啥这么值钱？ 2002年 ...

Core Viewpoint - SpaceX's Mars mission timeline has been significantly revised, with the likelihood of launching the "Starship" to Mars in 2026 now deemed very low, pushing the potential launch window to between 2028 and 2030 [1][2] Group 1: Mission Timeline and Goals - Elon Musk has acknowledged that there is now only a "small chance" of launching a spacecraft to Mars by the end of 2026, with the next optimal launch window occurring in late 2024 [2] - The revised timeline suggests that the first uncrewed Mars mission could occur in approximately 3.5 years, with a crewed mission following in about 5.5 years, indicating a four-year delay from the original plan [2][3] Group 2: Technical Challenges - SpaceX has faced numerous technical setbacks with the "Starship," which is designed to be fully reusable and capable of carrying significant payloads for interstellar travel, but has only achieved limited success in testing [3] - The recent failures in the "Starship" test flights have necessitated substantial design modifications, delaying critical tests for in-orbit refueling technology essential for Mars travel [3][4] Group 3: Long-term Vision - SpaceX aims to launch between 1,000 and 2,000 "Starship" spacecraft during each launch window, with a goal of sending approximately 1 million tons of supplies to Mars to establish a self-sustaining "Mars civilization" [4] - The company must also address the challenges of long-duration space travel for astronauts, including the effects of cosmic radiation and the psychological impacts of isolation in a confined environment [4]

Core Insights - SpaceX is projected to generate approximately $15.5 billion in revenue this year, surpassing last year's estimate of $11-13 billion [1][3] - The company's revenue has more than doubled in three years, increasing from $4.6 billion in 2022 to a valuation of $350 billion by the end of last year [3] - SpaceX's revenue growth is primarily driven by two business segments: Falcon 9 rocket launch services and Starlink satellite internet services, with Starlink becoming the largest revenue driver [3][5] Revenue Breakdown - Starlink's revenue is expected to grow from $7.8 billion in 2024 to $12.3 billion, potentially accounting for nearly 80% of SpaceX's total revenue [5] - Starlink has over 5 million customers globally, with its user base doubling from 2023 to 2024, and has established a growing government business alongside corporate clients [5] - SpaceX plans to complete up to 170 launch missions this year, having already completed 62, with a record of 134 Falcon rocket launches in 2024 [5] Investment Focus - A significant portion of SpaceX's revenue is reinvested into the Starship project, which is crucial for Musk's Mars colonization plans [6] - The estimated cost per Starship launch is around $100 million, with a goal to reduce it to approximately $10 million [6] - The recent Starship launch, while achieving greater distance, ended in failure due to loss of control [6]