——煤炭行业周报（10月第2周） 证券研究报告 大寒潮+严安全，旺季积极布局 1.煤炭板块收涨，跑赢沪深300指数：截止2025年10月17日，本周中信煤炭行业收涨4.27%，沪深300指数下跌2.22%，跑赢沪深300指数6.49个百分点。全板块整周28只股价上涨，7只 下跌，2只持平。大有能源涨幅最高，整周涨幅为53.13%。 2.重点煤矿周度数据：中国煤炭运销协会数据，2025年10月10日-2025年10月16日，重点监测企业煤炭日均销量为705万吨，周环比增加7.7%，年同比减少5.7%。其中，动力煤周日均 销量较上周增加8.4%，炼焦煤销量较上周增加8.1%，无烟煤销量较上周增加1.3%。截至2025年10月16日，重点监测企业煤炭日均产量为691万吨，周环比增加2.5%，年同比减少6.1%； 重点监测企业煤炭库存总量（含港存）2436万吨，周环比减少3.9%，年同比减少11.3%。今年以来，供给端，重点监测企业煤炭累计销量200342.8万吨，同比减少2.6%；其中动力煤、 焦煤、无烟煤累计销量分别同比-3.6%、-2.8%、6.2%。需求端，电力、化工行业累计耗煤分别同比减少2.7%、增加15 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Views - The continuous rise in coking coal futures since June, with the main contract increasing from 709.0 CNY/ton to 924.5 CNY/ton, is attributed to several factors including mining accidents, geopolitical issues in Mongolia, and strong domestic demand for coking coal despite the steel off-season [1][78] - The report anticipates a short-term strong price trend for coking coal due to limited supply recovery and sustained high iron production in July, alongside supportive macroeconomic sentiments [1][78] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Market Overview - The coal mining sector has shown mixed performance over the past year, with a 1.8% decline over the last month, a 1.3% increase over three months, and a 15.5% decrease over twelve months [2] - Recent data indicates that coal prices at ports have increased, with a weekly rise of 9 CNY/ton [4][14] 2. Coking Coal Insights - Coking coal supply has seen limited recovery, with production capacity utilization rising by 0.25 percentage points, but overall supply remains tight due to ongoing geopolitical issues and seasonal factors [39] - The average customs clearance volume at the Ganqimaodu port increased to 764 trucks, but is expected to tighten again due to the Naadam Festival [39][44] 3. Thermal Coal Dynamics - Thermal coal prices have been rising, with the Qinhuangdao port price reaching 632 CNY/ton, up 9 CNY/ton week-on-week [15] - The demand for thermal coal is bolstered by record-high electricity consumption in southern China, driven by high temperatures [14][22] 4. Key Companies and Investment Recommendations - The report highlights several key companies for investment, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, recommending a "Buy" rating for most of them based on their strong cash flow and asset quality [9][8] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the performance of these companies in relation to coal price fluctuations and production recovery [8][9]