Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The government has taken measures to address "involution" in different industries. For example, the Ministry of Finance issued a notice to solve the problem of abnormally low prices in government procurement, and the People's Bank of China plans to promote the high - quality development of the modern payment system [1][2] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Meso - level Event Overview Production Industry - The Ministry of Finance issued a notice to address "involution" in government procurement. Purchasers should form scientific procurement requirements and set reasonable maximum prices [1]. Service Industry - The Chinese Foreign Ministry responded to a question about potential Sino - US trade negotiations, emphasizing the need to implement the consensus of the two heads of state. The People's Bank of China plans to promote the high - quality development of the modern payment system, including accelerating the construction of the RMB cross - border payment system and strengthening supervision [2]. 3.2. Industry Overview Upstream - Black: Iron ore prices slightly declined. - Agriculture: Egg and pork prices continued to rise. - Non - ferrous: Copper prices slightly declined [2]. Midstream - Chemical: The operating rates of PX and urea remained high. - Energy: The coal consumption of power plants was at a low level [3]. Downstream - Real Estate: The sales of commercial housing in second - tier cities increased seasonally. - Services: The number of domestic flight schedules decreased [4]. 3.3. Key Industry Price Indicators | Industry | Indicator | Value on 1/21 | YoY | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Corn spot price | 2264.3 yuan/ton | + 0.19% | | | Egg spot price | 7.9 yuan/kg | + 3.70% | | | Palm oil spot price | 8724.0 yuan/ton | + 1.09% | | | Cotton spot price | 15837.7 yuan/ton | - 0.62% | | | Average pork wholesale price | 18.5 yuan/kg | + 1.70% | | Non - ferrous Metals | Copper spot price | 100221.7 yuan/ton | - 3.75% | | | Zinc spot price | 24188.0 yuan/ton | - 1.31% | | | Aluminum spot price | 23721.7 yuan/ton | - 3.86% | | | Nickel spot price | 145100.0 yuan/ton | - 3.08% | | Ferrous Metals | Rebar spot price | 3204.7 yuan/ton | - 1.24% | | | Iron ore spot price | 807.6 yuan/ton | - 3.89% | | | Wire rod spot price | 3437.5 yuan/ton | - 1.72% | | | Glass spot price | 12.9 yuan/square meter | - 0.23% | | Non - metals | Natural rubber spot price | 15533.3 yuan/ton | - 1.32% | | | China Plastic City price index | 775.2 | + 0.14% | | Energy | WTI crude oil spot price | 60.4 dollars/barrel | - 0.94% | | | Brent crude oil spot price | 64.9 dollars/barrel | - 0.84% | | | Liquefied natural gas spot price | 3522.0 yuan/ton | - 1.29% | | | Coal price | 806.0 yuan/ton | + 0.62% | | Chemical | PTA spot price | 5044.9 yuan/ton | - 0.96% | | | Polyethylene spot price | 6725.0 yuan/ton | + 2.39% | | | Urea spot price | 1752.5 yuan/ton | + 0.29% | | | Soda ash spot price | 1202.9 yuan/ton | - 0.94% | | Real Estate | National cement price index | 133.7 | - 0.92% | | | Building materials composite index | 114.8 points | - 0.77% | | | National concrete price index | 90.2 points | - 0.17% | [37]

Group 1: Domestic News - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) emphasizes accelerating the construction of a cross-border payment system for the renminbi, aiming for a diversified and multi-layered development by 2026 [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) reports that the industrial and information sectors contributed over 40% to economic growth, with a projected 5.9% increase in industrial value added by 2025 [3] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development (MOHURD) plans to stabilize the real estate market by focusing on urban renewal, community construction, and improving housing sales systems [5] Group 2: International News - Former President Trump announces a framework agreement with NATO regarding Greenland, temporarily halting planned tariffs on European countries [6] - The U.S. Treasury yields show a general decline, with the 10-year Treasury yield down by 4 basis points to 4.26% [25] Group 3: Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market shows a strong performance with the 10-year government bond yield decreasing by 0.05 basis points to 1.8335% [10] - The credit bond market experiences significant price deviations, with some industrial bonds seeing price changes exceeding 10% [11] - Vanke announces a bondholder meeting where a proposal to extend the maturity of a portion of its bonds was approved [12] Group 4: Commodity Market - International crude oil prices rise, with WTI crude up 0.43% to $60.62 per barrel, and natural gas prices surge nearly 30% to $5.040 per million British thermal units [7] Group 5: Equity and Convertible Bond Market - The equity market sees a collective rise, with major indices increasing, and the convertible bond market also reflects this trend with major indices up by approximately 0.90% [21] - The convertible bond market records a trading volume of 912.89 billion yuan, with 308 out of 385 bonds rising in value [21]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the acceleration of the construction of a cross-border payment system for the renminbi, aiming for diversified and multi-layered development in cross-border payment services [1] Group 1: Payment System Development - The 2026 payment settlement work will closely align with the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the goal of building a strong financial nation, promoting high-quality development of a modern payment system [1] - The meeting calls for strict implementation of transparent regulation of payment institutions and functional regulation of payment services, aiming to create a healthy industry ecosystem through a combination of administrative and self-regulatory measures [1] Group 2: Service Optimization and Innovation - Continuous efforts will be made to optimize payment services, ensuring convenient and secure payment options for users [1] - The enhancement of service quality and efficiency in payment systems will be driven by innovation, facilitating the upgrade of the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of expanding domestic demand as a strategic foundation for high-quality economic development, highlighting the role of payment systems in facilitating consumption and reducing transaction barriers [1][4]. Group 1: Importance of Modern Payment Systems - The construction of a modern payment system is crucial for enhancing the compatibility of various payment methods, including cash, cards, mobile payments, and digital currencies, to support consumption growth [2]. - Recent policy documents reflect the government's strategic focus on optimizing the payment environment to promote consumption upgrades [2]. Group 2: Challenges in Consumption Growth - Despite a high contribution rate of consumption to economic growth, issues such as slowing marginal growth and structural differentiation are becoming more pronounced [3]. - Traditional policy tools have limitations, as they often focus on short-term effects without addressing deeper structural constraints in expanding domestic demand [3]. Group 3: Role of Payment Systems in Consumption Decisions - Payment systems significantly influence consumer decision-making by reducing transaction costs and psychological barriers, thus promoting impulse buying and high-frequency consumption [5]. - The convenience of digital payment technologies transforms consumer behavior, making transactions more seamless and immediate [5]. Group 4: Inclusivity and Accessibility of Payment Systems - Payment inclusivity is essential for unlocking the consumption potential of marginalized groups, such as the elderly and disabled, who face barriers to digital payment adoption [6][7]. - Initiatives like voice navigation and offline payment options are critical for integrating these groups into the modern consumption network [7]. Group 5: Fragmentation and Innovation Challenges - The current payment ecosystem is fragmented, with independent systems across various sectors, leading to inefficiencies and increased operational costs for merchants [9]. - There is a mismatch between rapid technological advancements in digital payments and the adaptability of older populations, exacerbating the digital divide [10]. Group 6: Security and Trust Issues - Concerns over data misuse and security risks contribute to a "trust deficit," which can suppress consumer spending [11]. - The potential for data breaches and fraudulent activities creates a defensive consumer mindset, counteracting the positive effects of payment convenience [11]. Group 7: Policy Recommendations - To enhance the payment system's role in boosting consumption, it is essential to break down ecological barriers, bridge the digital divide, and promote cross-domain collaboration [13]. - Establishing a more inclusive payment network and ensuring consumer data protection are vital for fostering trust and encouraging spending [14][16].