证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 30 日 星期二 【A 股市场大势研判】 沪指微涨走出"九连阳" 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3965.28 | 0.04% | 1.60 | | | 深证成指 | 13537.10 | -0.49% | -66.80 | | | 沪深 300 | 4639.37 | -0.38% | -17.87 | | | 创业板 | 3222.61 | -0.66% | -21.26 | | | 科创 50 | 1346.32 | 0.04% | 0.49 | | | 北证 50 | 1456.45 | -0.45% | -6.59 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概 | 念板块表现前五 | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 石油石化 | 1.48% | 有色金 ...

| 行情 资金净流入 | 涨跌分布 | | --- | --- | | 上证指数 深证成指 | 科创综指 | | 13538.89 3965.43 | 1638.46 | | +1.75 +0.04% -65.00 -0.48% +4.17 +0.25% | | | 万得全A 创业板指 | 北证50 | | 6413.93 3223.43 | 1456.96 | | -17.61 -0.27% -20.45 -0.63% -6.07 -0.42% | | | 沪深300 中证500 | 中证A500 | | 4639.49 7431.75 | 5641.21 | | -17.75 -0.38% -27.09 -0.36% -26.61 -0.47% | | | 中证1000 深证100 | 中证红利 | | 7597.82 5850.84 | 5502.33 | | -7.71 -0.10% -29.53 -0.50% | -11.42 -0.21% | | 万得全A涨跌分布 | | | 跌3314 | 涨2005 | | 成交额2.14万亿 | 预测成交额2.16万亿,缩194亿 | | 行情 | 涨跌分布 ...

截至收盘，沪指涨0.04%，深成指跌0.49%，创业板指跌0.66%。 创业板指 上证指数 深证成指 ▼13537.10 ▼3222.61 -3965.28 +1.6 +0.04% -66.8 -0.49% -21.26 -0.66% 市场概况 2446 1373 663 326 139 128 137 113 87 55 47 39 25 小于 大于 +8% 涨停 +4% 跌停 +8% +6% +2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% -8% 上涨 1995家 持平 139家 下跌 3332家 跌停 涨停 87家 停牌 11家 25家 两市成交额: 2.14万亿 市场热度: 33 0 较上一日:-209亿 今日预测量能: 0 50 100 2.14万亿 -209亿 今日A股三大指数涨跌不一， 沪指微涨走出九连阳 ，创业板指一度跌超1%。沪深两市成交额2.14万亿，较上一个交易日缩量209亿。 下载财联社APP获取更多资讯 盘面上，全市场超3300只个股下跌。从板块来看， 机器人概念午后反复活跃 ，步科股份20cm涨停创历史新高，五洲新春、模塑科技等多股涨停。 商业航天概念延续强势 ，神剑股份8连板，金风 ...

每经AI快讯，12月29日，三大指数涨跌不一，沪指微涨走出九连阳，创业板指一度跌超1%。沪深两市 成交额2.14万亿元，较上一个交易日缩量209亿元。盘面上，全市场超3300只个股下跌。从板块来看， 机器人概念午后反复活跃，上纬新材、步科股份20cm涨停创历史新高，五洲新春（603667）、模塑科 技（000700）等多股涨停。商业航天概念延续强势，神剑股份（002361）8连板，金风科技 （002202）、雷科防务（002413）等十余股涨停。碳纤维概念表现活跃，吉林化纤（000420）、和顺科 技（301237）双双涨停。下跌方面，电池、乳业、电力等板块跌幅居前。其中电池概念午后震荡下挫， 华盛锂电跌超7%。电力板块持续走弱，国电电力（600795）跌近8%。截至收盘，沪指涨0.04%，深成 指跌0.49%，创业板指跌0.66%。 ...

电池概念股走强，天赐材料涨超9%，先导智能涨超3%，亿纬锂能涨超2%。 每日经济新闻 受盘面影响，多只电池相关ETF涨超2%。 | 代码 | 类别 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 561160 | 主 | 锂电池ETF | 0.821 | 0.019 | 2.37% | | 159755 | 主 | 电池ETF | 1.054 | 0.023 | 2.23% | | 159767 | 主 | 电池龙头ETF | 0.856 | 0.017 | 2.03% | | 159796 | 主 | 电池50ETF | 0.958 | 0.020 | 2.13% | | 561910 | 主 | 电池ETF | 0.818 | 0.017 | 2.12% | | 159775 | 主 | 电池ETF基金 | 0.877 | 0.018 | 2.10% | | 562880 | H | 电池ETF嘉实 | 0.835 | 0.017 | 2.08% | | 159305 | 主 | 储能电池ETF广发 | 1.870 | 0.03 ...

Core Viewpoint - Battery-related stocks have experienced a decline, with significant drops in major companies such as Sunshine Power, Tianqi Materials, and CATL, leading to a decrease in battery-related ETFs [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Sunshine Power fell over 4%, Tianqi Materials dropped over 3%, and CATL decreased more than 2% [1]. - Battery-related ETFs also saw a decline, with the overall drop exceeding 2% [1]. Group 2: Market Analysis - Analysts suggest that recent policy support has injected strong momentum into the battery industry, with ongoing government initiatives promoting new energy vehicles, including trade-in programs and charging infrastructure development [2]. - The gradual implementation of "anti-involution" policies is expected to lead to more rational competition within the industry, potentially improving the overall profitability environment [2].

Market Overview - US and Asia-Pacific stock markets experienced a collective decline, with A-shares also falling significantly. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped by 2.45% to 3834 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 3.41%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 4.02% [1][2]. Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down by 96.16 points (2.45%) - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down by 442.75 points (3.41%) - The ChiNext Index closed at 2920.08, down by 122.26 points (4.02%) - The North China 50 Index fell by 4.71% to 1377.39 [2]. Sector Performance - Lithium mining and battery sectors faced significant declines, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit down, including Ganfeng Lithium, Jiangte Motor, and Tianqi Lithium [3]. - The organic silicon sector also saw a downturn, with stocks like Yuanxiang New Materials dropping over 10% [3]. - The titanium dioxide sector declined, with Guocheng Mining hitting the daily limit down [3]. - Battery stocks generally fell, with companies like Xingyuan Materials dropping over 10% [3]. - Fertilizer and phosphorus chemical sectors also experienced declines, with Chengxing Shares hitting the daily limit down [3]. - The photovoltaic equipment sector weakened, with Jincheng Shares hitting the daily limit down [3]. - Conversely, the shipbuilding sector rose against the trend, with Jianglong Shipbuilding increasing by over 14% [3]. - The AI application sector saw slight gains, with Kimi and Sora concepts leading the rise, and Yidian Tianxia hitting the daily limit up [3].

Group 1 - Battery concept stocks weakened in early trading, with EVE Energy and Ganfeng Lithium both dropping over 4%, and Xinwangda falling over 3% [1] - Battery-related ETFs declined approximately 2% [1] Group 2 - Specific performance of battery ETFs includes: - Battery ETF (code 159755) at 1.130, down 0.026 (-2.25%) - Battery ETF Invesco (code 159757) at 0.935, down 0.021 (-2.20%) - Lithium Battery ETF (code 159840) at 0.904, down 0.020 (-2.16%) - Battery Leader ETF (code 159767) at 0.921, down 0.018 (-1.92%) - Battery ETF Fund (code 159775) at 0.943, down 0.017 (-1.77%) [2] Group 3 - Analysts believe that recent policy support has injected strong momentum into the battery industry, with the government continuously launching incentives for new energy vehicles, including trade-in programs, charging infrastructure development, and promoting new energy in rural areas, further unleashing consumer potential [1] - The gradual implementation of "anti-involution" policies is leading to more rational competition within the industry, which is expected to improve the overall profitability environment [1]

Market Overview - The battery concept stocks saw multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, with Shen Gong Co., Ltd. experiencing a rapid increase, reaching a 20% limit up within one minute [1][3] - On November 11, the three major indices opened higher but later fluctuated downwards, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.29% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.13%, while the ChiNext Index rose 0.10% [1] Battery Sector Performance - Battery-related concept stocks collectively rose, with perovskite battery concept stocks leading the gains, including Zhonglai Co., Ltd. and Tuori New Energy both hitting the daily limit [6][8] - Shen Gong Co., Ltd. saw a 20% increase, closing at 73.43, with a trading volume of 1.29 million shares [4][7] Storage Chip Sector Activity - The storage chip sector was notably active, with Shen Gong Co., Ltd. hitting a 20% limit up and achieving a trading volume of 2.14 million shares [3][4] - SanDisk announced a significant price increase of up to 50% for NAND flash contracts, causing a ripple effect throughout the storage supply chain [5] Key Company Highlights - Zhonglai Co., Ltd. reported a 20.06% increase, closing at 8.02, with a total market value of 8.71 billion [4][7] - Tuori New Energy also saw a 10.13% increase, closing at 4.35, with a market value of 6.11 billion [4][7] - Other companies like Yijing Optoelectronics and Zhongli Group also experienced significant gains, with increases of 10.11% and 10.09% respectively [4][8] Technological Advancements - The Chinese Academy of Sciences reported a breakthrough in perovskite solar cells, achieving a power conversion efficiency of 27.2%, which enhances the stability and paves the way for industrial development [10] - Dongwu Securities highlighted the potential of perovskite technology, predicting it could become the next generation of photovoltaic cell technology by 2025 [11]

Core Viewpoint - The battery concept stocks are experiencing a strong upward trend, with several companies seeing significant price increases, indicating a bullish sentiment in the sector [1] Company Performance - 瑞泰新材 (Ruitai New Materials) reached the daily limit increase, indicating strong investor interest [1] - 华盛锂电 (Huasheng Lithium) saw a price increase of over 15%, reflecting positive market dynamics [1] - 多氟多 (Duo Fluoride), 江苏国泰 (Jiangsu Guotai), and 天际股份 (Tianji Co.) previously hit the price limit, showcasing robust trading activity [1] - 恩捷股份 (Enjie Co.) and 新宙邦 (Xinjubang) also experienced price increases, further supporting the overall positive trend in the battery sector [1]