神奇公式

Search documents
顶级投资人都有一道“心理护城河”!乔尔·格林布拉特:你必须有情绪上的韧性,才能享受到10年后带来的回报……
聪明投资者· 2025-07-21 07:00
Core Viewpoint - The importance of emotional resilience in investing is emphasized, suggesting that understanding the market and maintaining patience can lead to significant long-term returns [1][24]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Joel Greenblatt advocates for a systematic value strategy, focusing on buying companies with high profitability and low valuations, referred to as the "magic formula" [2][12]. - The challenge in this strategy lies in its contrarian nature, requiring investors to buy when the market sentiment is negative [3][19]. - Greenblatt introduces the concept of a "psychological moat," which is built on deep understanding and experience, rather than just intelligence [5][6]. Group 2: Market Behavior and Investor Psychology - Many investors struggle to stick to a strategy during market downturns, often doubting their methods when faced with underperformance compared to popular stocks [4][16]. - The necessity of a long-term perspective is highlighted, with successful investors needing to maintain patience over extended periods, often beyond three years [17][18]. - Emotional resilience is crucial; investors must accept that market fluctuations are normal and prepare to endure periods of underperformance [24][33]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Techniques - Greenblatt discusses the importance of understanding company valuations and having a diversified portfolio to mitigate risks [28][30]. - He emphasizes that successful investing requires a clear understanding of a company's future earnings potential, integrating both growth and value perspectives [36][38]. - The discussion includes the transition from special situation investments to more systematic strategies, reflecting changes in market conditions and fund sizes [46][49]. Group 4: Practical Insights and Recommendations - Greenblatt shares insights on the difficulties of executing multi-strategy approaches, particularly in volatile markets, and the importance of risk management [55][57]. - He advises against easily replicating complex strategies without a solid understanding of the underlying principles and risks involved [58][59]. - The current market environment is characterized by extreme valuations, presenting opportunities for those who can identify undervalued stocks [60].
传奇投资者乔尔·格林布拉特最成功的投资,竟然是一家银行……
聪明投资者· 2025-05-15 03:24
乔尔 · 格林布拉特( Joel Greenblatt )是一个少数能将 " 投资实践 "" 学术教学 "" 思想传播 " 三 者兼而有之的人。 他曾在哥伦比亚大学商学院任教二十多年,是华尔街公认的价值投资布道者。早在 1985 年,他就用 " 垃圾债券之王 " 迈克尔 · 米尔肯( Michael Milken )的一张支票创办戈坦资本( Gotham Capital ),随后十年实现年均回报率 50% ,堪称投资史上的奇迹。 2005 年,他又将公司转型为戈坦资产管理,管理上百亿美元的机构资金,同时在市场上推广一种以 " 神奇公式 " 为代表的系统化价值策略,这套公式的核心就是挑选兼具高盈利能力和低估值的公司。 对于喜欢用理性解构市场、以逻辑赢得收益的投资者来说,格林布拉特是一种典范。 他在《股市天才》一书中分享了很多真实案例,但最常分享的一个投资故事,正是关于一笔银行股的投 资 —— 与今天的银行股行情不同,那是一家正在从 " 互助银行 " 向上市银行转制的特殊案例。 格林布拉特从中看到了结构性的估值低估,也遇到了一位 " 非典型 " 的投资同行:一个白天在超市切 肉、晚上分析财务报表的普通人。这次经历 ...