Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that China's economy achieved a "good start" in Q1 2025, with a GDP growth of 5.4% year-on-year, supported by macro policies [1] - The report highlights three main drivers of economic performance: proactive fiscal policy with special bonds boosting infrastructure investment, a continuous rise in PMI with the construction sector reaching a 9-month high, and financial data exceeding expectations with M2, RMB loans, and social financing growth rates surpassing nominal GDP growth [1] - The report identifies two major contradictions: insufficient demand leading to a decline in prices, with Q1 CPI down 0.1% and PPI still in negative growth, and uncertainties in future exports despite a 6.9% growth in Q1 exports [1] Group 2 - In response to the complex economic situation, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences proposed targeted strategies, including accelerating the issuance of special bonds and suggesting an additional 2-3 trillion yuan in special bonds to stimulate the economy [2] - For consumption stimulation, short-term measures include issuing consumption vouchers and developing a comprehensive policy to support service consumption, while mid-term focus is on enhancing the vitality of the private economy and long-term strategies involve revitalizing existing assets to support sustainable consumption growth [2] - To stabilize the market, recommendations include developing a "dual rental and purchase" model in the housing market, introducing long-term funds to stabilize the stock market, maintaining a reasonable range for RMB exchange rates, and providing financial support for foreign trade enterprises to explore new markets and assist struggling companies with tax reductions [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent economic outlook in China, highlighting the effectiveness of domestic policies in stabilizing the stock market and the overall economy amidst external pressures [4][7]. Economic Performance - In the first quarter, China's GDP reached 31.88 trillion yuan, growing by 5.4% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [4][9]. - The retail sales growth rate increased from 3.7% to 4.6% year-on-year in the same period, indicating a positive trend in consumer spending [4][9]. Market Stabilization - The Chinese government has implemented measures to stabilize the stock market, foreign exchange market, and real estate market, with the central bank providing re-loans to support the "national team" in stabilizing the stock market [4][6][7]. - The offshore RMB exchange rate fluctuated but recovered to around 7.3 against the USD, demonstrating resilience in the currency market [7]. Consumer Stimulus - The "old-for-new" consumption policy has effectively boosted sales in various sectors, particularly in electronics, with the inclusion of mobile phones and computers in the program [9][10]. - Future consumption stimulus should focus on service sectors such as tourism, hotels, and dining, as these areas show potential for growth [6][10]. Real Estate Market - The real estate market is under pressure, with both exports and real estate facing simultaneous declines for the first time [7][8]. - While some regions show signs of recovery, a nationwide stabilization in the real estate market has not yet occurred, necessitating continued support for developers [8].